2/ The yield curve has now been inverted for the longest period since 1929
This signal has accurately predicted every economic downturn
And also reflects the condition of the labor market pic.twitter.com/TBSFZxciOG
— Bravos Research (@bravosresearch) July 24, 2024
4/ Conversely, after yield curve inversions the curve steepens
This usually suggests a weakening labor market and rising initial jobless claims pic.twitter.com/liW0ioBNGo
— Bravos Research (@bravosresearch) July 24, 2024
6/ We won't be too concerned until initial jobless claims exceed around 260,000
When that happens, it would indicate the job market is cracking
And the stock market is at risk of a large correction pic.twitter.com/CrEayVb3MO
— Bravos Research (@bravosresearch) July 24, 2024
8/ We've closed 46 trades in 2024
With some exceeding 30 to 50% gains
And almost all losing trades being under 5%
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— Bravos Research (@bravosresearch) July 24, 2024