Independent thinking for complex markets and current events
https://twitter.com/charliebilello/status/1984639422055289179 Foreign investors selling U.S. treasuries fast — deficit ballooning, Fed cutting, BRICS pushing gold-backed rival. Confidence fading.
The trade deficit will find another level but the situation is actually worse once people step back and think about sht for more than a degenerate price tick. The underlying problem with this disorderly “Flood the Zone” manner in which the current ‘rebalancing’ of US trade is being conducted is that trade disruptions are happening …
1994-1995 period the only time the US managed to achieve a soft landing. h/t RobertBartus h/t RobertBartus
🇺🇸 Richmond Fed Manufacturing Index 6-month outlook for new orders -26. An all-time record low! Chart: @zerohedge pic.twitter.com/wmKOQNUzGZ — Alex Joosten (@joosteninvestor) April 23, 2025 Goldman Sachs, $GS, says to brace for a bigger stock drawdown, wider credit spreads and recession — unusual_whales (@unusual_whales) April 23, 2025 JPMORGAN: MIGRATION CONCERNS HURTING U.S. TOURISM This is …
Search for “stocks crash” now in the levels of the Covid crash 5 years ago. It’s time. pic.twitter.com/iktmI58rHs — Heisenberg (@Mr_Derivatives) March 13, 2025 🚨 Heisenberg Observation 🚨$SPX The 2020 March Covid Crash peak to trough, never had consecutive green days. Not one. Until it bottomed. This current drawdown peak to current trough, we have …
The US bond market has been in a drawdown for over 52 months, by far the longest in history. Video: https://t.co/PlZ0poWqfU pic.twitter.com/a948poplO9 — Charlie Bilello (@charliebilello) December 27, 2024 The US Bond Market has now been in a drawdown for 53 months, by far the longest in history.https://t.co/l5IYmkf6Ih pic.twitter.com/bGFIn2cMFW — Charlie Bilello (@charliebilello) January 1, …
The market is completely controlled by margin trading and the risk on appetite. As long as yen yield is low and sentiment is good we will double down on margin on the dips. So this bull market will continue but man will it have a seizure like end but I’m not timing it pic.twitter.com/WcU0nBEubo — …
Now would be a good time for the old rug pull. h/t Perfect_Alarm_2141
2/ The yield curve has now been inverted for the longest period since 1929 This signal has accurately predicted every economic downturn And also reflects the condition of the labor market pic.twitter.com/TBSFZxciOG — Bravos Research (@bravosresearch) July 24, 2024 4/ Conversely, after yield curve inversions the curve steepens This usually suggests a weakening labor market …
The $250 million package includes air-defense munitions, additional ammunition for High-Mobility Artillery Rocket Systems (HIMARS), 155 mm and 105 mm artillery ammunition, and anti-armor munitions, Secretary of State Antony Blinken said in a statement. White House national-security spokesman John Kirby said last week that President Joe Biden was planning one more military aid package in …
In a surprising move, the Federal Reserve is hinting at multiple rate cuts in 2024, sparking questions about the stability of the financial system. This decision has historical echoes, as every major rate cut since the 1970s has been followed by a substantial 30% drawdown in the S&P 500. For the first time in recent …
The fight against inflation is still ongoing… OPEC just said that global oil markets will face a massive supply shortfall next quarter. They expect a supply shortfall of more than 3 million barrels per day. If OPEC is correct, it would result in the biggest inventory drawdown since 2007. Voluntary production cuts by OPEC… pic.twitter.com/9I1ZPWrzU8 …