US Experiences Longest and Steepest Yield Curve Inversion in Recorded History, ‘Smart Money’ Suggests Skepticism Over Fed’s Inflation Narrative.

The USA is currently experiencing the longest and steepest yield curve inversion in recorded history between the 10-year Treasury Note and 3-month Treasury Bill. Historical data shows that such inversions have preceded economic recessions. The prolonged inversion is seen as …

READ MORE

Market Echoes Early Pandemic Panic Buying: High Beta Collapses, No Mega-Stimulus Support This Time; Longest-Ever Yield Curve Inversion Raises Economic Concerns.

In a significant market development, the 10-Year minus 3-Month Treasury Yield Curve has remained inverted for a historic 278 consecutive trading days, marking the longest inversion in financial history. The inversion has deepened recently, reaching its lowest point since August, …

READ MORE

Tumbling Dice! US Yield Curve Inversion Steepens, Mortgage Rates UP 163% Since 2021, Retailers Offer Deep Black Friday Discounts As US Manufacturing PMI Contracts

by confoundedinterest17 The Federal Reserve reminds me of The Stones’ song “Tumbling Dice.” Why? The Fed can’t tell if inflation is cooling or re-accelerating. Hence, they are just rolling dice. Let’s start with mortgage rates, a critical component of the housing and …

READ MORE

Banking System Teeters on Unsustainable Yield Curve Inversion Amidst Risk of Massive Cash Withdrawals

by demonbeanie The banking system is facilitated by uncollateralized debt; fractional reserve banking, which had seen the reduction of the reserve requirements to 0% in 2020. https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/reservereq.htm On your bank’s balance sheet, there are assets labeled “cash on hand,” which includes …

READ MORE