Corporate insiders unload shares at record pace with economic cycle nearing a dangerous turn

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Corporate insiders are making their move. They aren’t just trimming their holdings—they’re dumping shares at a rate unseen in over twenty years. When the people running the companies start bailing out, it’s usually a sign of trouble ahead. Wall Street might be ignoring the signals, but those with a front-row seat to corporate finances are heading for the exits.

The numbers tell the story. According to SEC data, insider sales have spiked 35% compared to last year, with technology and consumer goods sectors leading the charge. These aren’t small players cashing out a few shares. These are executives, board members, and founders—the people who know exactly what’s coming. When insiders lose faith in their own companies, why should anyone else be buying?

This is happening against the backdrop of a changing economic landscape. The Trump-era policies that aimed to reduce government intervention have squeezed consumption, curbed exports, and cooled monetary stimulus. While designed to curb reckless spending, these shifts have also pulled liquidity out of the market. The sugar high of cheap money and endless government support is wearing off. The result? Slower growth, weaker corporate earnings, and a stock market running on fumes.

Scott Bessent didn’t mince words. “Let me be clear — the U.S. does NOT have a revenue problem; we have a spending problem.” His warning highlights the deeper issue. The government isn’t short on cash, but it continues to burn through money at an unsustainable pace. As stimulus fades and debt piles up, the cracks in the system are getting harder to ignore.

Investors should take note. The end of a supercycle is never gentle, and the people closest to the action are already preparing. Stocks may still be climbing in the short term, but when the insiders leave the party, it’s only a matter of time before the music stops.