Iran’s economic freefall deepens

The Iranian rial has lost nearly 90% of its value since 2018. Economic desperation is a core driver behind Tehran’s aggressive missile diplomacy. Officials are conditioning any ceasefire on the release of frozen foreign assets. Nuclear site inspections remain at …

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Consumer pessimism at current levels last showed up during recessions like 2008 and the early 1980s. The gap between sentiment and economic data also looks like a typical pre-recession signal.

American consumers have NEVER been this pessimistic about the economy: The University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index fell to 49.8 in April, the lowest reading EVER in over 70 years of polling, with declines occurring across all income levels, ages, …

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The Fed is openly acknowledging a weakening labor market. AI hype overshot reality and now the supply chain is stuck dealing with it. The Walmart Recession Signal (WRS) currently warns of a potential recession or at least a significant economic slowdown.

As shown below, the Walmart Recession Signal (WRS) currently warns of a potential recession or at least a significant economic slowdown. I haven’t published the WRS for some time and “Walmart Worries” just keep multiplying. For the details see my …

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The Greatest Economic Crash Ever

by David Haggith The “greatest economy ever,” as the king and all the king’s men (and women) keep calling it, is creating the greatest private-credit crisis ever. A crisis that is increasingly being described as something that could rapidly achieve …

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