Independent thinking for complex markets and current events
Real-time market analysis with charts, signals, and coverage of key financial and geopolitical developments.
Latest estimate: -3.7 percent — April 01, 2025 The GDPNow model estimate for real GDP growth (seasonally adjusted annual rate) in the first quarter of 2025 is -3.7 percent on April 1, down from -2.8 percent on March 28. The alternative model forecast, which adjusts for imports and exports of gold as described here, is …
by Martin Armstrong Vladimir Putin is one world leader who has studied history thoroughly. In a recent address, Putin discussed America’s plan to annex Greenland and explained that it is not some “extravagant plan” that Trump imagined. In fact, the United States had plans to annex Greenland going back to the 1860s. Secretary of State …
A Bitcoin loyalist, fleeing the garbage as predicted. Rest of the cattle will follow. https://t.co/5cM3jdU7Xr — The Great Martis (@great_martis) April 2, 2025 Bitcoin Bad news for bulls. A symmetrical triangle shown. A highly probable downside continuation pattern. God bless and godspeed. pic.twitter.com/GFa79zyztr — The Great Martis (@great_martis) April 2, 2025
CNN actually reported Democrats approval rating currently at a new low, 21% – Wisconsin votes for Voter ID But somehow Susan Crawford wins the Wisconsin Supreme Court election? Who thinks there needs to be a Federal Audit? This makes absolutely no sensepic.twitter.com/QwpLYRpXUT — Wall Street Apes (@WallStreetApes) April 2, 2025
Ford: little intention of lifting tariffs #MacroEdge — MacroEdge (@MacroEdgeRes) April 2, 2025
Scott Jennings was on a CNN panel explaining why the results of the elections in Wisconsin and Florida demonstrated lower numbers for Republicans than during the 2024 election. It comes down to one thing: GOP voters will come out strong when Donald Trump is on the ballot and they simply won’t when he’s not on …
PRESIDENT TRUMP’S LIBERATION DAY SCHEDULE – APRIL 2, 2025 Advancing American Prosperity Through Strategic Trade Policy 🔸 9:00 AM ET: President Trump convenes with his expert trade council to finalize the transformative tariff initiative. 🔸 11:30 AM ET: Press Secretary Karoline Leavitt previews the historic announcement. 🔸 4:00 PM ET: Rose Garden Address – President …
Are we on the verge of another epic stock market crash — or worse, a “lost decade” where equities go nowhere?Join us as we dive into the “Blood Indicator,” a historic signal that has often preceded major market downturns. In this discussion with Alan Hibbard and Mike Maloney, you’ll discover: Why excessive household investment in …
by Mike Shedlock Let’s do a fact check on Trump’s Canada claims. In addition, the US has a huge services surplus with Canada driven by sectors like technology, financial services, and intellectual property licensing from companies such as Microsoft, Google, and Amazon. I do not have year-by-year services numbers. Grok AI notes “Estimates from earlier …
The Trump administration has suspended several dozen research grants to Princeton, University President Christopher Eisgruber ’83 wrote in a campus-wide email on Tuesday. The grants were issued from several federal agencies, including the Department of Energy, NASA, and the Defense Department. The exact amount in question and the reasoning for the pause itself are unclear, …
CNBC’s Jim Cramer Goes Nuclear on Trump Over Stock Market — Hits Him With Worst Trump Insult Possible CNBC host Jim Cramer went nuclear on President Donald Trump over the cratering stock market as the commander in chief’s tariff deadline approaches, dishing out one of the worst insults Trump can think of. The biggest round …
Florida is losing people due to move-outs, according to new data from the US Census Bureau, with counties like Miami, Palm Beach, and Broward all losing people in 2024.
Wow https://t.co/jqQKzoF0ja — Elon Musk (@elonmusk) April 1, 2025 “Do not talk about the Biden matter” 🚨 NEW INTERNAL FBI CHAT LOGS SHOW THE FBI IMPOSED A “GAG ORDER” ABOUT THE NY POST STORY ON HUNTER BIDEN’S LAPTOP THE DAY IT CAME OUT 🧵 THREAD: pic.twitter.com/Rnc1hHBOir — House Judiciary GOP 🇺🇸🇺🇸🇺🇸 (@JudiciaryGOP) April 1, 2025 …
Attorney General Pamela Bondi on Tuesday directed federal prosecutors to seek the death penalty for Luigi Mangione, the man accused of gunning down UnitedHealthcare CEO Brian Thompson in New York City last year. Mangione, 26, was federally charged in December with stalking and murdering Thompson after the CEO was fatally shot on the streets of …
DOGE To Send $1 Million Stimulus Checks to Every Republican A surprising announcement from the Department of Government Efficiency (DOGE) has even the most stalwart advocates for the new federal office doing a double-take. DOGE’s de facto leader Elon Musk has stated that the Department plans to distribute $1 million stimulus checks to every Republican …
Druckenmiller "So, the next thing that happened when I started at Duquesne, Ronald Reagan had become President, and we had a radical man named Paul Volcker running the Federal Reserve and inflation was 12 percent. The whole world thought it was going to go through the roof,… — Win Smart, CFA (@WinfieldSmart) April 1, 2025
via WSJ: “The group was made up of “violent criminals” who were members of Venezuela’s Tren de Aragua and El Salvador’s MS-13 gangs, Rubio wrote on X, describing them as “murderers and rapists.” The Pentagon described the operation as a “successful counterterrorism mission.” El Salvador President Nayib Bukele touted the “joint military operation” between the …
by Martin Armstrong Cuba is a tragic example of what can happen to a society under a Marxist–Leninist socialist republic—equal in poverty. New reports show that nearly a quarter of Cuba’s population has fled the nation in the past four years alone in search of economic opportunities. Such a mass exodus is usually only seen during times …
By shifting from U.S. Treasuries to #gold, #China is making what I think is a clear statement: it wants greater financial sovereignty and less exposure to Western economic leverage. h/t MonetaryCommentary
Latest estimate: -3.7% – April 01, 2025 h/t Cool-Entrepreneur-68
A gay makeup artist was deported to El Salvador after U.S. immigrations officials claimed his “mom” and “dad” tattoos were “consistent” with gang activity, according to an unclassified document filed over the weekend. Andry, whose full name has been withheld for his safety, sought asylum in the United States from Venezuela over persecution for being …
The U.S. Department of Health and Human Services (HHS) and one of its offices have released a new tool that lets people see the levels of contaminants in various foods, such as fruits and vegetables. The tool is an online searchable database that lists contaminant levels.… pic.twitter.com/8lpPciEvDK — Epoch Health (@epochhealth) April 1, 2025 Kennedy …
While details are scarce, the Washington Post reported that the Trump administration is weighing a 20% duty on most imports into the U.S., though no final decision had yet been made. “We remain Tactically Bearish” ahead of Wednesday, wrote traders at JPMorgan in a note. “We think the policy uncertainty is the dominant factor in …
Three of the four missing U.S. Army 3rd Infantry Division soldiers were found dead in Lithuania on Monday, a U.S. Army Europe and Africa statement said.
$VIX Weekly looks ominous. Brace for unbearable volatility. pic.twitter.com/UUZFkwocMp — The Great Martis (@great_martis) March 31, 2025 So here we are with two days to go and we just learned that Trump plans a $600 billion tax increase on the U.S. working class and a global financial crisis: https://t.co/NK2zin9W1G Ok, I think Wall Street got …
