Independent thinking for complex markets and current events
Real-time market analysis with charts, signals, and coverage of key financial and geopolitical developments.
via gainspainscapital The pullback wasn’t unexpected and should not have been surprising. As we have been outlining to our clients for the last two weeks, both credit and breadth were signaling that a pullback was imminent. High yield credit usually leads stocks. The reason for this is simple: high yield credit/ junk bonds have a …
by Martin Armstrong The May inflation report came in exactly where many expected, yet the details beneath the headline reveal what is actually taking place in the economy. Consumer prices rose 0.5% for the month and 4.2% year-over-year, the highest inflation reading in three years. Core inflation, which excludes food and energy, rose only 0.2% …
The Chinese industrial machine is running on overdrive while the local consumer remains trapped in a deflationary hole Notayesmanseconomics notes industrial input prices jumped 5.8 percent year on year while consumer goods prices fell 0.8 percent This is a classic mercantilist trap where the export machine is hyper-efficient but the internal economy is hollow Beijing …
I was reading a recent JPMorgan strategy note and one stat really caught my attention. US household wealth is now sitting around 630% of GDP. For context, it was roughy 486% during the Dot-Com bubble and about 435% before the 1987 crash. It´s obviously that doesn’t mean a crash is around the corner, but it …
by Martin Armstrong The Pentagon has now added BYD, Alibaba, Baidu, and dozens of other Chinese firms to its list of companies allegedly linked to China’s military establishment. Washington wants the public to believe this is about national security. China’s greatest crime is not that it has a military. Every major power has a military. …
Apple Foundation Model (AFM) Cloud Model will run on Nvidia Blackwell B200 GPUs hosted inside Google Cloud. 9 June 2026: Apple partnering with Google and Nvidia for most advanced AI model https://www.cnbc.com/2026/06/08/apple-google-nvidia-ai-chips.html Apple AI executive Amar Subramanya at World Wide Developers Conference (WWDC): ”We work with both Google and Nvidia to extend our private cloud compute …
By Claudio Grass Part of the upcoming “World War III” documentary The interview that follows offers a most necessary and timely opportunity for self-reflection that the US and Europe so desperately need at this critical moment. Colonel Douglas Macgregor holds up a mirror to the West and uses his deep historical knowledge and personal experience of previous …
By Peter Reagan “But it’s just three feet deep, on average!” There’s an old joke about the economist who drowned crossing a river that was, on average, just three feet deep. That’s the problem with averages. They can be technically accurate and practically useless at the same time. I thought of that joke while reading the …
This should be the biggest story in America. How much foreign money has been funneled to democrats through ActBlue over the past decade?! https://t.co/qtoBHyPjHh — Alex Bruesewitz 🇺🇸 (@alexbruesewitz) June 10, 2026 Big Law firms NEVER want to be critical of their clients in public. It’s a bad look. In this case, the law firm …
Stop looking at the stock market and start looking at the empty job sites. The foundation is gone, and no amount of corporate press releases will build it back. ‘It’s only a matter of national security.’ America Workforce Academy’s mission to fill the workforce gap. Some raw facts from the American Builders and Contractors Association …
The market is being conditioned to view the SpaceX IPO as a guaranteed winner. Institutional demand is currently sitting at roughly four times the offering size. Investors have already signaled over $250 billion in interest for the $75 billion raise. Wall Street is running a massive marketing blitz to ensure a high-price debut. SpaceX is …
Inflation just spiked to 4.2% annually. This is the highest level in three years. The cause is the administration’s war in Iran and the energy squeeze. When asked about the pain, the president said, “I love the inflation.” He is openly mocking you while your savings evaporate. Oil prices are hovering around $100 per barrel …
Iran will treat all of Elon Musk’s companies in the Middle East, including SpaceX’s Starlink internet service, as military targets as it retaliates against the U.S., Iranian state media outlet Fars reported Thursday. Iran is targeting “all interests related to economic holdings managed by Elon Musk in West Asia,” including a regional Starlink ground station, …
IRAN AND ISRAEL BOTH DENY EXISTENCE OF ANY AGREEMENT. – N12 NEWS — First Squawk (@FirstSquawk) June 11, 2026 BREAKING: POTUS 🇺🇸 Trump cancels tonight's strikes in Iran 🇮🇷, says final points of a deal have been approved; time and place of deal signing to be announced shortly pic.twitter.com/FYXwx7f7QY — Aleph א (@no_itsmyturn) June 11, …
via SSB: “Over the next few hours increasingly negative stories will be leaked to the press driving the market down. Then 5 min before market close hell hold a press conference with the ayatollah. They’ll announce they’ve reached a permanent truce, as they hold hands looking deeply into each-others eyes. Then theyll announce Baron Trump …
The U.S and Iran traded strikes for a second day, pushing the Middle East closer to the resumption of a full-scale war. https://abc7.com/post/iran-responds-second-day-us-strikes-firing-gulf-states-jordan/19275082/
🇺🇸U.S. producer prices rise to a 4-year high, — Bloomberg ▪️6.5% — increase in the U.S. producer price index in May compared to last year. This is the highest figuresince 2022, — notes Bloomberg ▪️The shock of rising energy prices is increasingly affecting the U.S. economy.… pic.twitter.com/OkoEGrWvRR — S p r i n t e …
DeSantis notes companies concluding models aren’t worth extravagant token prices This is the signal the AI narrative is cracking in real time Businesses are increasingly concluding that the value of the AI model is not worth the extravagant costs. pic.twitter.com/SjSDQ7ax2n — Ron DeSantis (@RonDeSantis) June 11, 2026 While I was analyzing Nvidia’s monthly chart, it …
The company is allegedly buying its own gear. It marks those internal swaps as record revenue. This is a classic accounting trick to fool the market. It looks exactly like the fraud that destroyed Enron. The tech giants are just passing cash in a circle. They are pumping a bubble to hide the lack of …
The Asian currency crisis is escalating and it’s forcing governments all over the region to get desperate. From India to Indonesia, South Korea and Japan, their situations are becoming a genuine threat to stability. When a country’s currency falls because of a dollar shortage, it is not just a foreign-exchange problem. It is not just …
by Michael Now that the war with the Iranians appears to be fully back on, there will be no turning back now. President Trump just told reporters in the White House that “we’re going to be attacking them and attacking them very hard”, and so it should now be apparent to everyone that there isn’t going …
Meanwhile the spacex preIPO coin drops 80%. Anyone who puts money in this is going to lose their shirt and then their pants. View post on imgur.com More than 4,400 current and former SpaceX employees are likely to become millionaires in the I.P.O., according to an analysis by Hill.com, a San Francisco-based investment platform. Of …
A stranger at a bar said this is where you’d want to be when everything falls apart. That offhand warning is harder to shake than it should be, and the reason why is what this video is about. Across America the signals are stacking. Fuel reserves at their lowest in two decades while pump prices …
An 8-5 schedule is a scam. They sell it to you as a 40-hour work week, but that is a lie. You are at the office for nine hours because they force you to take a lunch break you do not want. Add in the 30-minute commute both ways, and you are losing 10 hours …
The latest report from the Bureau of Labor Statistics confirms that inflation rose to 4.2% in May 2026. This is the highest level since April 2023. The main driver of this surge is the energy shock caused by the war in the Middle East. Rising gasoline and transportation costs accounted for over 60% of the …
Private shares too illiquid too risky too fake Banks see the trap the herd still chases 🚨BREAKING: SoftBank tried to borrow $6 billion against its 13% OpenAI stock… to keep funding OpenAI Banks said NO They don’t believe OpenAI is worth $852 billion 💀 pic.twitter.com/SguYi39jmy — NIK (@ns123abc) June 10, 2026 Factcheck: Bloomberg reports SoftBank’s …
The SEC must delay the SpaceX IPO until investors are protected. pic.twitter.com/OkE9LqpWw8 — Elizabeth Warren (@SenWarren) June 10, 2026 THE BIGGEST IPOs OF THE LAST 15 YEARS HAVE ONE THING IN COMMON: THEY CRUSHED THE PEOPLE WHO BOUGHT THE HYPE. 🇺🇸 Robinhood -90%. Rivian -88%. Lyft -79%. Coinbase -57%. Facebook -54%. Median max drawdown: -54% …
Bond guys positioning for recession while retail chases the narrative PIMCO admits credit loss cycle already rolling Lower quality borrowers leveraged junk private credit about to explode AI disruption smashing overindebted businesses Markets sitting there complacent like subprime never happened Schiff on Fox live screaming this beats 2008 picnic Guy who called the last crash …
