I feel so dumb now — President Trump promises $2,000 tariff dividend to every person in America: ‘People that are against Tariffs are FOOLS!’https://t.co/Pzym1BNeAt
— Charles Gasparino (@CGasparino) November 9, 2025
BREAKING: 90% chance no "tariff dividend" is issued this year, despite rumors of a $2,000 airdrop.https://t.co/u7xmp6qzIc
— Polymarket (@Polymarket) November 9, 2025
https://polymarket.com/event/will-trump-create-a-tariff-dividend-in-2025?tid=1762703395020
Will Trump Do It? It Pays to Bet ‘No’
Polymarket data shows wagers against Trump taking action would have yielded returns similar to the S&P 500. And gambling that he’ll actually follow through was a losing proposition.
https://www.bloomberg.com/opinion/features/2025-10-20/polymarket-bets-on-trump-inaction-pay-off