The private equity complex is in the midst of a pretty nasty crash
Current drawdowns from the highs:
Carlyle -25%
Apollo -39%
Ares -42%
Blackstone -43%
KKR -44%
Blue Owl -61% pic.twitter.com/MAlfqClMNw— Ben Carlson (@awealthofcs) March 4, 2026
Per Grok:
Drawdown here means the % decline in these public firms’ stock prices from their all-time highs (Nov 2024) to current levels, per the YCharts data—driven by 2026 private credit woes like redemptions, liquidity gates, and software/AI exposure fears.
Carlyle (CG, -25%): Least hit, diversified portfolio cushions it; stable for long-term holders.
Apollo (APO, -39%): Credit/insurance heavy; investor outflows pressure fees.
Ares (ARES, -42%): Credit-focused; similar redemption risks.
Blackstone (BX, -43%): Broad but scale amplifies sentiment hit.
KKR (-44%): Balanced but dragged by sector.
Blue Owl (OWL, -61%): Hardest hit after OBDC II redemption halt & $1.4B asset sales; signals acute liquidity crunch.
Investors in stocks face unrealized losses (high yields help offset), but core AUM fees persist. Public markets: flags private credit cracks, may widen spreads & weigh financials; indirect, not systemic.
⚠️US private credit stocks are under heavy pressure:
Blue Owl Capital fell -9% on Tuesday, dropping below its $10 listing price from 2021.
The stock is now down -50% over the last 12 months.
This comes as Blackstone's $82 billion private credit fund saw -$1.7 billion in net… pic.twitter.com/AAS0NEr7iF
— Global Markets Investor (@GlobalMktObserv) March 4, 2026