The U.S. is in very serious danger of igniting another inflationary storm.
Gurus and pundits like to point to the decline in official inflation data points like the Consumer Price Index (CPI) as indicating that inflation has been tamed in the U.S. What these individuals fail to tell you is that the ONLY data in the CPI that is actually falling is energy prices (well that and used cars).
See for yourself.
Yes, every other component is still rising in value albeit at a slower pace. The DE-flation story being pushed by the media is largely an energy story. The other main components continue to rise.
In this context, the U.S. is extremely vulnerable to another inflationary storm if energy prices stop falling. Well, guess what the War in Iran is doing?
Now, you know why President Trump is panicking. If energy prices remain elevated, the U.S. will enter another inflationary storm in short order.
Given that Iran has shown no interest in surrender… that it is backed by China and Russia both of which have zero interest in handing Iran’s natural resources to the U.S… and that EVERYONE knows the U.S. is vulnerable to energy shocks… what are the odds this conflict ends quickly?