Independent thinking for complex markets and current events
Something extremely dangerous may be forming in global markets, and most investors have not processed it yet because it happened while markets were closed. The escalation began when U.S. strikes reportedly targeted Kharg Island, the facility responsible for roughly 90 percent of Iran’s oil exports. At the same time, shipping activity through the Strait of …
BANK OF JAPAN QUIETLY BEGINS ETF SALES PROGRAM SET TO LAST A CENTURY – NIKKEI — First Squawk (@FirstSquawk) February 9, 2026 Per AI: Multiple major Japanese financial outlets — including Nikkei Asia, which is the country’s most credible economic newspaper — reported that: The BOJ has started selling ETFs from its balance sheet. The …
“We’re standing at the edge of a market reckoning that will leave 2007-2008 looking like a footnote. The longest bull market in history doesn’t end quietly. Consider this your final warning. Heading into 2026 the underlying stress in financial markets is clearer than most headlines suggest. Regional banks still carry significant commercial real estate exposure …
$MSFT news last week now this, what is SEC doing? https://t.co/ieuyGXnoC3 — TT3 (@TradingThomas3) December 12, 2025 Grok: Oracle stock fell after Bloomberg reported delays in some OpenAI data centers to 2028 due to labor/material shortages. Oracle denied it, stating no delays to contractual sites and all milestones on track. This echoes last week’s report …
THE WORLD’S LARGEST FINANCIAL SECRET JUST DIED For thirty years, Japan exported the cheapest money in human history. Near-zero rates. Infinite liquidity. Trillions borrowed in yen, deployed into every asset class on Earth. This week, that era ended. Japanese 10-year yields hit 1.86%. Highest since 2008. The Bank of Japan signals December rate hike. Probability: …
“Liquiditists” should make note of the situation in Japan. You cannot print Wealth! This is the exact situation which Keynes avoided to answer: “What happens when you have stimulated the economy over and over and rates reach Zero?” His answer: “In the long run we are all dead”. Fact is… we will now see what …
When JPMorgan starts pumping the market, it often means they’re preparing to unwind positions in key tickers — possibly NVDA, ORCL, and others. The impact usually shows up the following week. https://t.co/hJjkcNTnL0 — optionGeek (@StockShark16) November 26, 2025 Investor fear levels are rising: The cost of a 5-year put option protecting against at least a …
The explosion of the “greatest carry trade in financial history,” explaining how for 30 years, Japan’s zero-interest policy artificially suppressed borrowing costs worldwide, fueling everything from cheap mortgages to sky-high stock multiples. For risk assets, the sudden reversal of the decades-old yen carry trade is the actual nightmare. For years, global funds borrowed almost gratis …
“THE GLOBAL FINANCIAL SYSTEM JUST BROKE IN TOKYO Japan’s 30-year bond yield hit 3.41% today. That number means nothing to you. Here’s why it should terrify you. Japan owes 230% of everything it produces. It’s the most indebted nation in human history. For 35 years, they kept the lights on by borrowing at near-zero rates. …
CNBC’s Jim Cramer unpacked Thursday’s market action and worried about declines in the broader tech sector, suggesting insider selling in certain companies is reminiscent of the dotcom era. “Today was a hideous day, but particularly for tech, most especially the data center and AI stocks. See, the money’s headed to the sidelines or headed to …
When traders bid up the near-term $VIX over the next month’s contract, it means fear is front-loaded; they expect turbulence immediately. That’s exactly what we just saw. The Nov-Dec VIX spread widened significantly, followed by a rapid contraction. This kind of reversal often… pic.twitter.com/wP9DT1pDdN — Kurt S. Altrichter, CRPS® (@kurtsaltrichter) November 11, 2025 This chart …
Oh… (fund managers are underweight tech) pic.twitter.com/cRUdIFRgAY — Callum Thomas (@Callum_Thomas) May 13, 2025
In 2008, the Fed came to the rescue of the Wall Street banks that caused the 2008 crash by transferring $2.7 trillion in toxic-waste Mortgage Backed Securities (MBSs) from the banksters to the public ledgers. Now it can’t offload these MBSs without imploding the housing bubble. Thanks to the Keynesian fraudsters at the Fed turning …
……..and almost no demand at these prices… pic.twitter.com/uzqEYs3ybc — Saw Chuck (@Saw_Chuck2023) December 18, 2024 Distressed sellers inbound. They keep droping the rates on these townhomes. 2.99% interest rates. I drive by it every day and I don't see cars. They also stopped building at the halfway point. Apartments all around this area with banners, …
https://twitter.com/AGAndrewBailey/status/1773402838430867693 President Trump will immediately unwind Joe Biden’s unconstitutional student loan forgiveness program, Politico reported. Last month a federal judge gave Joe Biden a win a few weeks before the election and said he can move forward with his student loan forgiveness plan. US District Judge in Georgia, Randall Hall, a George W. Bush appointee …
🇯🇵 #Japan | #BOJ highlights rising wage pressure from structural job market change – Reutershttps://t.co/yfeIGBJzYv — Christophe Barraud🛢🐳 (@C_Barraud) August 21, 2024 BREAKING: now the #ECB joins the #BOJ and begins lending $USD to the banking system ⚠️ Yes, a small amount, but whoever needed it had no other alternatives and that’s usually a bad …
This is excellent. Kyle Bass breaks everything down in 5 minutes. He thinks switching the Treasury auctions from long duration bonds to t-bills enabled the Treasury to throw another $2 trillion of liquidity into the market. He then gets into the Yen/carry trade. 👇👇 pic.twitter.com/5qeV7cKKxc — QE Infinity (@StealthQE4) August 5, 2024 How big is …
https://twitter.com/frankoz95967943/status/1800027464586117553
US Treasury market debate around hedge fund collateral intensifies “NEW YORK, Nov 21 (Reuters) – As U.S. regulators ready rules that would push more trading in Treasuries to a central clearing venue, the industry’s focus is turning on a key question: how much collateral should hedge funds and others put up to trade there. At …
More funny money liquidity being injected into the banking system, but those experts on CNBC assure me that Everything is Awesome Reverse repo $1.401 trillion, down from $1.492 trillion; injects $91 billion in liquidity — zerohedge (@zerohedge) September 15, 2023 Why risk losing 20-30% in stocks if a recession hits when you can make 5% …
