treasury Archives - Page 8 of 10 - Citizen Watch Report

Biden’s Brawndo (The Economic Mutilator)! Fed Paid Treasury $76 Billion In 2022, $200 Million Every Day, Bank Willingness To Lend Crashes, Bank Credit Falls For 16th Straight Week, Biden Enacts War Powers To Get Households To Use Inefficent Electric Heat Pumps

November 20, 2023 11:44 am

by confoundedinterest17 Biden’s terrible economic policies and horrid fiscal managment has put stress on The Federal Reserve. The Federal Reserve paid an estimated $76 billion to the Treasury in 2022 while banks’ willingness to lend has plummeted. First, let’s look at Biden’s and The Fed’s Brawndo. One of the key ways central banks absorb liquidity back out of …

WSJ – Where Have All the Foreign Buyers Gone for U.S. Treasury Debt?

November 17, 2023 6:44 pm

Overseas private investors and central banks now own about 30% of all outstanding U.S. government debt, down from roughly 43% a decade ago Chart of foreign flows of US Treasuries over time: https://i.imgur.com/sPYl8E5.png Foreigners no longer have an insatiable appetite for U.S. government debt. That’s bad news for Washington. The U.S. Treasury market is in the …

Former US Asst Sec of the Treasury Paul Craig Roberts: “Ukraine was a wave that created problems for Russia. It is fading, Ukraine is devastated. They no longer have any army”

November 17, 2023 3:17 pm

Former US Asst Sec of the Treasury Paul Craig Roberts: “Ukraine was a wave that created problems for Russia. It is fading, Ukraine is devastated. They no longer have any army” pic.twitter.com/KVShMISsmS — The_Real_Fly (@The_Real_Fly) November 17, 2023

Unstable U.S. Treasury Market Experiences Its Worst Day in the Last Six Months

November 15, 2023 8:50 am

via naturalnews: The U.S. Treasury market has been awfully shaky for quite a while but it had its worst day in six months on Thursday, November 9, as measured by the performance of the Bloomberg Treasury Index. A disastrous auction of 30-year Treasury bonds sent long-maturity yields soaring as investors demanded additional compensation for funding a ballooning fiscal deficit. …

The UK Treasury to Provide £170 Billion to Offset Bank of England’s Bond-Buying Scheme Losses Over the Decade.

November 3, 2023 9:44 pm

via thetimes.co.uk: The government is to hand over £170 billion to the Bank of England to cover losses on its bond-buying scheme over the next decade, new analysis by the central bank suggests. Losses on the Bank’s quantitative easing (QE) programme, which are backstopped by the Treasury, are forecast to rise significantly as it sells …

Former Treasury Secretary Summers says the quiet part out loud: IRS must collect more taxes

November 1, 2023 8:10 pm

Former Treasury Secretary Larry Summers believes that the current federal budget deficit poses a greater challenge for the economy than it has before in U.S. history. Summers said Tuesday during an event staged by the Center for American Progress, a Democratic Party-aligned think tank, that the U.S. budget deficit, which came in at $1.7 trillion …

We need a VIX for the treasury market!

October 25, 2023 10:27 am

We need a VIX for the treasury market! — BankerG (@BankerG2) October 25, 2023 Remember when Bernanke said the Federal Reserve putting "assets" on its balance sheet wasn't monetizing debt because it was temporary? That was 15 years ago. pic.twitter.com/YLE9vV6JJm — Darth Powell (@VladTheInflator) October 24, 2023 A few people are finally noticing the risks …

2Y US Treasury yields interacting with historically significant levels

October 24, 2023 8:27 pm

It seems likes short term bond are being oversold, maybe in favor for longer ones since a recession might trigger Fed rates to drop, causing a consistent increase in value for longer durations. Of course this might not happen or I might just be wrong, so take it with a grain of salt. h/t …

Fire! Biden And Fed Lit A Fire The Is Burning Out Of Control, US Treasury 10Y Yield Climbs Past 5%, Real 10Y Yield At 2.46%, Mortgage Rates At 7.63% (Highest Since 2000)

October 20, 2023 3:52 pm

by confoundedinterest17 Fire! Yes, Biden and Congress created a fire with it reckless Federal spending leading in 40-year highs inflation, prompting The Fed to counterattack with rapid rate hikes. We now see the 10-year Treasury yield passing 5%. And the REAL 10-year Treasury yield passing 2.46%. And Freddie Mac’s 30-year mortgage rate survey is at 7.63%, …

Losses in Treasury bonds will far worse than mortgage losses in 2008. Banks in shambles.

October 16, 2023 2:38 pmOctober 16, 2023 12:03 pm

Fun fact: bank credit is now contracting! Since dollar standard (‘71), that’s only happened once before: 2008. Losses in T bonds will far worse than mortgage losses. Stocks are on the verge of a massive collapse. Fractional banking does’t work in reverse. Few. pic.twitter.com/0fzX16lYGn — Porter Stansberry (@porterstansb) October 15, 2023 Banks losses on held …

The U.S. is dealing with rising Treasury yields and the risk of a credit crunch, China is facing a housing bubble burst, and Europe is on the edge of a recession and debt crisis.

October 14, 2023 7:53 pm

If these problems in major economies collide, it could spell global financial disaster soon, and it feels like we need some urgent solutions, but we’re not getting them. On top of that, the recent Treasury bond auction didn’t go so well, which adds to worries about the U.S. debt piling up and how Wall Street …

Fear The Talking Fed! 10Y Treasury Yield Subsides As Fed Presidents Speak While Hamas Terrorizes Israel (Fed Halting Rate Increases OR Flight To Safety?)

October 10, 2023 3:28 pm

by confoundedinterest17 Like President Biden enjoying a barbeque at The White House with a live band (probably NOT Justin Moore singing “Small Town USA”) while Hamas declared war on Israel and Americans are being held hostage with the promise of public executions of hostages livestreamed. Nothing that “Empathy Joe” does ever surprises me anymore, but I …

Alarm! 30-Year Treasury Yield Surges, Breaks 5%, Yield Curve Steepens

October 7, 2023 9:50 pm

by confoundedinterest17 Alarm! US Treasury yields are a runaway train. The 30-year Treasury yield is soaring and rose above 5% … again. First time since 2007, just before the financial crisis and The Great Recession. The 30Y-5Y yield curve is steepening.

The current and ongoing collapse in Treasury bonds now ranks among the worst market crashes in history – the quiet but deadly financial crash

October 5, 2023 8:27 pm

The public focuses on the stock market but this bond market is much more important to the economy. There are major consequences for all the banks who hold Treasury Bonds. The level of unrealized losses has probably gone through the roof and possibly hundreds of banks are technically insolvent if they had to mark their …

30y treasury yield hits 5%; Mortgage rates just hit 8%

October 4, 2023 3:52 pm

Student loan payments start again this month, and mortgage rates just hit 8%. My company is usually a little high, even Rocket Mortgage is showing 7.846% with 2.25 points. Not fear mongering, but its gonna be a “winter of death”. Biden got it right, but was talking about the market, not the COVID. h/t Mediocre-Bits

Why have 10 year Treasury yields gone up so much even though FED paused rate hikes?

October 4, 2023 2:55 pm

by StatisticalMan Long bonds are not based solely on the current fed funds rate. They are based on projected short term rates over the duration of the long bond. They have a yield at a premium to short term rates due to the risk/lockup but not just the current short term rate that exists right now. They …

US Debt on Pace to Grow $1 Trillion in One Month; China’s Treasury Holdings Fell Again.

October 4, 2023 9:34 am

This is not sustainable. The US added – checks notes – $275 billion in debt in, uh, ONE DAY Total US debt is now $33.442 trillion, hit $33 trillion just 2 weeks ago, and on pace to rise by $1 trillion in 1 month. WTF is going onhttps://t.co/tOrhqmkFXL pic.twitter.com/w3qnBAIfLh — zerohedge (@zerohedge) October 3, 2023 …

Ed Yardeni believes that the sell-off in Treasury bonds reflects widespread worry about the United States’ fiscal policy, particularly the growing federal budget deficits.

October 3, 2023 2:27 pm

Everyone’s waiting to discover the level at which yields spur financial instability. From @kitjuckes this morning: “For now, the FX market is a bystander, watching Treasuries and waiting for them to break something.” — Lisa Abramowicz (@lisaabramowicz1) October 3, 2023 via Bloomberg: The slide in Treasuries has been excessive given recent economic data and Federal …

Inverted yield curve between the two-year and the 10-year treasury note gets differential chopped in half. The confusion before the black swan?

September 28, 2023 5:34 pm

by theSilverVigilante

Freddie Mac’s 30Y Rate Rises To 7.31%, Highest Since Dec 2000, 10-year Treasury Yield Up To 4.67% (Mortgage Rate Up 69% Under Biden)

September 28, 2023 5:31 pm

by confoundedinterest17 Freddie Mac’s mortgage rate is up to 7.31%, the highest level since December 2000. That means that mortgage rates are up 69% under Biden. That is in spite of $2.5 TRILLION in agency MBS being held on The Fed’s balance sheet. As the 10-year Treasury yield is up to 4.67%.

BIS WARNS OF “TREASURY TRADE MELTDOWN.” $150 Crude Oil “SHOCKWAVE.”

September 26, 2023 9:43 am

“LIKE THE DOT-COM BUBBLE”: Monster stock market rally & short squeeze likely before year end

Saudi Arabia has significantly reduced its US Treasury holdings, dropping 41% from $184 billion in February 2020 to $108 billion, while China’s holdings reached a 14-year low of $835 billion.

September 11, 2023 1:08 pm

While China has been offloading US Treasuries for 10+ years, the rate has accelerated. Both Canada and Mexico also now account for a higher % of US imports than China. It seems like the trade war is back. Follow us @KobeissiLetter for real time analysis as this develops. pic.twitter.com/paivr3aYSS — The Kobeissi Letter (@KobeissiLetter) September …

Fed Warns of “Financial Stability Vulnerability Due to Leveraged Treasury Short Positions

September 1, 2023 4:08 pm

via Mike Shedlock: Hedge funds and asset managers are in opposite camps, with leverage, posing risk of an accident. Hedge Fund Basis Trade ‘Probably’ Back and Posing Risk Bloomberg reports Hedge Fund Basis Trade ‘Probably’ Back and Posing Risk, Fed Says Hedge funds have “probably” increased their positions in highly leveraged Treasury basis trades, posing a …

Treasury yields have broken their secular downtrend

September 1, 2023 9:46 am

That’s why alot of folks are betting on extended duration treasuries. This system doesn’t work if rates trends away from zero h/t InternationalTop2405

U.S. Department of the Treasury, IRS Release Proposed Regulations on Sales and Exchanges of Digital Assets by Brokers. OPEN for comment!

August 25, 2023 4:29 pm

by Dismal-Jellyfish Source: https://public-inspection.federalregister.gov/2023-17565.pdf How to comment: www.regulations.gov (use IRS and REG-122793-19 to identify your submission) 60 days is October 28th, 2023 60 days is October 28th, 2023 Press Release: The U.S. Department of the Treasury (Treasury Department) and the Internal Revenue Service (IRS) today released proposed regulations on the sale and exchange of digital assets by …

Fed needs to make back almost 100 billion in profits before the Treasury receives any remittances again, which at this rate will probably never happen

August 25, 2023 9:22 am

by SM1334 I think its fair to say the treasury ain’t getting its money… Sauce : https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/RESPPLLOPNWW

Whoever went short the 20+ year treasury might be about to cover a ~$800m position around the 28th

August 21, 2023 9:41 pmAugust 21, 2023 8:25 pm

by 2ndSifter For context, the date of the hypothetical FTD short was on or around 07/24/2023 which may correspond with the beginning of the recent decline. If this short was truly a naked FTD short, that position must hypothetically cover at or around the date T+35 and may initiate a bond market rally.

Treasury yields reach highest since 2007; Liquidity issues in Treasuries; Investors demand higher compensation for US government debts and elsewhere.

August 21, 2023 3:37 pmAugust 21, 2023 2:51 pm

Treasury Yields Reach Highest Since 2007 Amid Elevated Rate Fears: Rising Real Yields Reflect Firmer Economy and Higher Deficits; 10-Year Yield Surpasses 4.34%, Marking Highest Level Since Financial Crisis The US bond-market selloff resumed Monday, driving 10-year yields to a 16-year high, as the persistently resilient economy has investors positioning for interest rates to remain …

10-year Treasury yield briefly rose above 4.31%, the most since the 2007-2008 global financial crisis, and the 30-year rate at 12 years high

August 17, 2023 3:49 pm

by Ok_Significance_4008 I asked Bard and that’s what it said: A rising 10-year Treasury yield can have a number of implications for stocks. First, it can make it more expensive for companies to borrow money, which can weigh on their earnings. Second, it can make stocks less attractive to investors who are looking for income, …

Global Treasury Yield Hits 15-Year High, Back To 2008 Despite No Change In Industrial Production (REAL 10Y Yield Now Highest Since 2009, Approaching 2%)

August 17, 2023 3:06 pm

by confoundedinterest17 This is very strange. Global Treasury Yields just rose to a 15-year high (2008). This is primarily due to Central Bank moneta And REAL 10-year Treasury yields also the highest since 2009. At the same time, US industrial production is at the same level as pre-financial crisis (2007). Despite Federal Reserve monetary stimulypto …