Independent thinking for complex markets and current events
TikTok continues to meltdown over the cost of living here. pic.twitter.com/rtNJ91NY7Z — QE Infinity (@StealthQE4) May 4, 2026 The gas prices are disgusting.My gas bill has doubled. We are living in Energy crisis. — Prof (@TheProfInvestor) May 4, 2026 A recent survey by Generation Lab found that more than 8 in 10 young adults rate …
According to a new poll by financial services company JG Wentworth, conducted in February 2026 and surveying 1,421 U.S. adults, almost half of all personal bankruptcies are due to the cost of living and tariff costs. When asked what contributed most to their bankruptcy, 43.4 percent of respondents cited the cost of living crisis, making …
🇮🇷🇮🇱 Pew surveyed 24 countries. 20 hold majority unfavorable views of Israel. The US sits at 53% unfavorable. India is one of the few exceptions at 34% favorable vs. 29% unfavorable. Modi is in Israel finalizing $8.6B in defense deals including full technology transfer of… https://t.co/x1gSACMiJK pic.twitter.com/KajgiT2GkK — Mario Nawfal (@MarioNawfal) February 27, 2026 Pew …
Rent is due. The electric bill sits on the counter. The grocery receipt from last week still stings. For half of Americans, keeping up with basic monthly bills has become nearly impossible. A nationwide survey of 5,000 Americans from Talker Research reports 52% now struggle to pay bills like rent on time each month, while …
by Michael Artificial intelligence is rapidly transforming virtually every major institution in our society, and that even includes church. In the not too distant future, you may find yourself in a service where the songs have been written by AI, the prayers have been written by AI, and the sermon has been written by AI. …
AAII survey jumped back to ultra bull last week 😏 pic.twitter.com/OjphXTx203 — TT3 (@TradingThomas3) December 4, 2025 We now have: 1. The biggest technological boom since the internet2. Ongoing Fed interest rate cuts into the AI boom3. Trump's impending new Fed Chair announcement4. $700B+ in annual technology CapEx5. The end of Quantitative Tightening (QT)6. Widespread …
Key reasons cited by respondents include: Soaring tuition costs, which many say are out of reach for average families. Poor job preparation, with skepticism about whether degrees translate into real-world skills. Concerns over free speech and ideological bias, particularly among conservative respondents. Doubts about the return on investment, especially as student debt remains high and …
GOLDMAN: “.. the expected change in the unemployment rate over the next year has never been this bad outside recessionary periods since the University of Michigan started asking the question in 1978.” https://bsky.app/profile/carlquintanilla.bsky.social/post/3m3p56fas7k2r If you're curious how the economy is doing, look at heavy truck sales. Combined with oil prices falling, this shows we're in …
by confoundedinterest17 Mortgage applications decreased 3.9 percent from one week earlier, according to data from the Mortgage Bankers Association’s (MBA) Weekly Mortgage Applications Survey for the week ending May 30, 2025. This week’s results included an adjustment for the Memorial Day holiday. The Market Composite Index, a measure of mortgage loan application volume, decreased 3.9 percent …
JUST IN: 67% of US consumers now expect higher unemployment over the next 12 months, the highest since 2008. This percentage has more than doubled over the last 5 months. Currently, more Americans anticipate higher unemployment than during the 1981-82, 1990-1991, and 2001… pic.twitter.com/oAw2AOUJ6w — The Kobeissi Letter (@KobeissiLetter) May 26, 2025 The best leading …
US executives are getting more concerned about the economy: The share of S&P 500 companies mentioning “recession” during their Q1 2025 earnings calls spiked to 23%, the highest since 2022. This percentage has surpassed levels recorded in all years between 2008 and 2020, except for 2010. Additionally, 62% of US CEOs expect either a slowdown …
Worst Dallas Fed manufacturing survey since 2020: New orders collapse.Prices paid soars. There’s a term for this. It’s called ‘margin compression’, and it’s deflationary for asset prices. pic.twitter.com/5HmmYd57T2 — Kalani o Māui (@MauiBoyMacro) April 28, 2025 Dallas Fed Manufacturing Index down to -35.80 (forecast-17, previous-16.30). 👇🏼 pic.twitter.com/isnBK90Tw2 — Kalani o Māui (@MauiBoyMacro) April 28, 2025 …
U.S. Profit Outlook is now the most unfavorable since November 2007 🚨 Anything interesting happen in 2008? 🤔👀 pic.twitter.com/NadMu4F7ps — Barchart (@Barchart) April 16, 2025 Wow, that’s a worse print than during the 2001 and 2009 recessions. It’s getting really more and more difficult to imagine how we can avoid a recession right now. pic.twitter.com/ycRrqfEVge …
The December Philly Fed Manufacturing survey was another disaster, collapsing from -5.5 to -16.4, versus an expected rise to +2.8. This is the weakest level of the year. More problematic, prices paid jumped while prices received fell. All signs point to #stagflation. Sorry, Fed. — Peter Schiff (@PeterSchiff) December 19, 2024 The markets still don't …
by Michael Are you ready for economic conditions to get even worse in 2025? It would be difficult to find any economist that is willing to argue that global economic conditions are better in late 2024 than they were in late 2023. The Chinese economy is deeply struggling, Europe is a mess, and four years …
Despite two volatile weeks, $3,000 gold in 2025 is starting to seem inevitable. Meanwhile, everyday Americans are finally starting to catch on to gold’s role in diversifying their savings. Then we investigate the increasingly popular opinion that leaving the gold standard was the worst decision our nation ever made. Could we go back? By Peter Reagan …
Americans have high expectations of what it means to be financially successful, but many of them do not expect to meet their desired level of success, according to a survey by financial planning company Empower. An annual salary in excess of $270,000 is needed for a person to be considered successful in the United States, …
by confoundedinterest17 Not a great sign for the mighty US economy. This morning, the flash PMI for manufacturing printed at 47.8. Three straight months of print below 50 means … contraction. Do I say contraction?
JUST IN: 🇺🇸 50% of liberal women under 30 admit they have a mental health condition – Pew survey 😳 pic.twitter.com/ZbI4sPRbPy — Radar 𝘸 Archie🚨 (@RadarHits) October 10, 2024 The claim that 56% of white liberal women aged 18-29 report having a diagnosed mental health condition comes from a Pew Research Center survey. This statistic …
Which would explain the even larger jump in the “Not Seasonally Adjusted” section. Teachers are not included in the Seasonally Adjusted figures. h/t ValenTom
More good news: A nice bounce in consumer sentiment in September, according to the University of Michigan Survey of Consumers. People are noticing lower prices and cooling inflation: 1-year Inflation expectations are down to the lowest since 2020. pic.twitter.com/u8KupQHMRu — Heather Long (@byHeatherLong) September 13, 2024 1. Highest consumer sentiment since May 2. Lowest 1-yr …
by Michael Hundreds of millions of dollars are being spent to persuade the American people to vote for either Kamala Harris or Donald Trump. But ultimately two things are probably going to matter more than anything else. Millions of Americans will be basing their votes on how they currently feel about the economy and who they …
Source: https://www.newyorkfed.org/microeconomics/sce/labor#/ TLDRS: The Federal Reserve Bank of New York’s July 2024 SCE Labor Market Survey reveals significant changes in the job market, with 28.4% of individuals actively searching for jobs, the highest level since the survey’s inception in 2014. The rise in job searches was particularly pronounced among those over 45, without a college degree, …
by confoundedinterest17 The slowing US economy has a silver lining: Treasury and mortgage rates are declining. And the is spurring faster mortgage prepayments. Mortgage applications increased 6.9 percent from one week earlier, according to data from the Mortgage Bankers Association’s (MBA) Weekly Applications Survey for the week ending August 2, 2024. The Market Composite Index, …
More and more Americans are saying they feel financially unstable, with diminishing hopes of saving money for retirement, their children’s education or for a rainy day fund. A recent Bankrate survey found that three in four Americans say they are not completely financially secure. The average American requires a much larger income to live comfortably, …
University Michigan Sentiment Prelim: 66.0 vs a Forecast of 68.5 Inflation expectations of 2.9% for one-year ahead vs 3% on the prior reading Overall consumers still don't feel particularly great according to this survey pic.twitter.com/XQ0KAYd2tW — Markets & Mayhem (@Mayhem4Markets) July 12, 2024 🇺🇸 United States Michigan Consumer Expectations (Jul) $USD Actual: 67.2 🔴Expected: 69.8Previous: …
Indeed, according to a recent survey by Empower, over 90% of Americans are planning domestic travel in 2024, with an average expected spending of $1,163 per trip. Additionally, approximately 37% of travelers are planning international trips, budgeting an average of $2,904 for each adventure. Over 90% are planning domestic travel this year, expecting to spend an …
The rate of price increases for food has subsided in recent months, according to the latest government inflation data. However, shoppers still report feeling burdened by the prices they’re seeing in the grocery store aisles. To that point, within the past few years, 80% of Americans say they’ve felt a notable increase in the cost …
Ukrainians’ trust in President Volodymyr Zelensky has fallen below 60 percent for the first time since Russia’s February 2022 invasion, according to a leading poll published Friday. Zelensky has faced many challenges in the past year, including a failed summer counteroffensive, a divisive debate on mobilisation and high-profile corruption scandals involving senior officials. Public trust in the …
A new AARP survey finds that 20% of adults ages 50+ have no retirement savings, and more than half (61%) are worried they will not have enough money to support them in retirement. The findings also reveal a decline in overall sense of financial security among men, 42% of whom describe their financial situation as “fair” or …