Independent thinking for complex markets and current events
via reclaimthenet A study published this month in Nature looks into how reframing a “fact-check” as a “confirmation” helps those behind this activity increase engagement with their output, what’s termed “corrections of information.” In other words, what effect does different framing – as confirmation or refutation – have on the likelihood that people will share, …
The 2008 US housing market crash stands as one of the worst collapses in economic history — and its lessons remain relevant as China deals with its own real estate crisis. Beijing is facing a narrow policy path toward an economic rebound this year, and the International Monetary Fund has warned that the country is …
NEW: Judge in the Georgia criminal case against President Trump says "I think it's possible that the facts alleged could result in disqualification [for Fani Willis]. I think an evidentiary hearing must occur to establish the record on those core allegations" pic.twitter.com/TkP2nDQAxX — Greg Price (@greg_price11) February 12, 2024 Judge Scott McAfee on Monday said …
The USA is currently experiencing the longest and steepest yield curve inversion in recorded history between the 10-year Treasury Note and 3-month Treasury Bill. Historical data shows that such inversions have preceded economic recessions. The prolonged inversion is seen as “smart money” signaling skepticism about the Federal Reserve’s narrative on inflation. This skepticism raises questions …
Over the weekend, Holcim, a Fortune Global 500 company and one of the largest construction material companies in the world, announced plans to spin off its U.S. division. Holcim USA has been the largest, fastest growing, and most profitable part of the Switzerland-based company. On its own, the U.S. division will be the “leading pure-play …
During a monologue about the Taylor Swift psyop, late night comedian Jimmy Kimmel suggested that it was a ‘crazy conspiracy theory’ to believe that Joe Biden might be suffering from dementia. Kimmel weighed in on assertions by Trump supporters that the NFL might be involved in promoting Swift as part of a voter recruitment strategy …
Map of 2024 based on CNN projections Obviously take this with a grain of salt, but if this is indicative of reality and holds until November, this year will be interesting pic.twitter.com/IEsIGTaVrX — Jesse Hughes ✝️🇺🇸 (@JesseHughes) January 6, 2024 CNN has come out with its first electoral map of the campaign season and the …
In case there is still any confusion: "Prices are unlikely to return to pre-Covid levels. It would probably take a historically painful recession to engineer that degree of deflation. In other words, past inflation is mostly water under the bridge for the Fed." – BofA — zerohedge (@zerohedge) December 26, 2023 The survey, which polled …
via Yahoo: Jain told Reuters part of his electric vehicle’s suspension broke when he was driving with his family the day after he’d received delivery of the Model Y. He said the car had 115 miles on its odometer when the suspension issue caused portions of the vehicle to come in contact with the road …
by ValenTom https://www.newyorkfed.org/research/capital_markets/ycfaq#/interactive Rate cuts doesn’t mean the printer is coming back for fun. It means the printer is coming back due to need. The broad economy is in a very high risk position right now and the global economy is deteriorating by the day. The market and economy are not reflecting the reality of …
In a surprising move, the Federal Reserve is hinting at multiple rate cuts in 2024, sparking questions about the stability of the financial system. This decision has historical echoes, as every major rate cut since the 1970s has been followed by a substantial 30% drawdown in the S&P 500. For the first time in recent …
Verified document from Israeli Ministry of Intelligence on October 13 suggests forced displacement of Gaza civilians to Egypt would "yield positive and long term strategic results" The advisory document envisions a three stage process including the establishment of tent cities… pic.twitter.com/T5JWp9QGkv — WikiLeaks (@wikileaks) October 30, 2023
I sat down today with former Fox News reporter, Clayton Morris, to discuss disturbing reports of Ukrainian troops being drugged. This was in response to a chat I had on Wednesday with Russian war correspondent, Marat Khairullin. Marat told me that Ukrainian troops who are captured or who have surrendered to Russian forces are showing …
Pope Francis has suggested he would be open to having the Catholic Church bless same-sex couples. Responding to a group of cardinals who asked him for clarity on the issue, he said any request for a blessing should be treated with “pastoral charity”. “We cannot be judges who only deny, reject and exclude,” he said. …
by Chris Black This is one of his better ideas. If Trump was serious about this, I would be tempted to vote for him. Col MacGregor said Milley is typical of the system in that the upper ranks say and do what they must to keep their rank and position. Milley should have been out …
A missile strike that killed at least 15 people in a Ukrainian market was blamed on Russia. There’s now growing evidence it was fired by Ukraine. A missile that struck a busy market in Kostyantynivka, east Ukraine, was likely misfired by Ukraine and not the result of a Russian attack, a New York Times analysis …
The surgical N95 mask has been held up as the gold standard when it comes to protecting against Covid. But a study quietly re-shared by the National Institutes of Health in spring suggests the tight-fitting mask may expose users to dangerous levels of toxic chemicals. Researchers from Jeonbuk National University in South Korea looked at …
by DesmondMilesDant Caption: Link : https://libertystreeteconomics.newyor… Caption: Maybe monetary policy is trying to align with Fiscal Policy. Caption: Conclusion : The impact of this New york Fed (liq controllers) paper on US bond market :
LOL, F*CK OFF The American Medical Association (AMA) has suggested that taxpayers should subsidize uterus transplants worth up to $300,000 to help transgender women get pregnant. Arguments were made to reduce the cost of the surgery in its Journal of Ethics issue in June titled Patient-Centered Transgender Surgical Care. But the AMA has been criticized …
by confoundedinterest17 The Case-Shiller home price numbers are out for May. The national home price index is down -0.46% YoY as The Fed slows M2 Money growth into negative growth territory. No doubt Biden (and Karine Jean-Pierre) will take credit for slowing home price growth, although The Federal Reserve slowing monetary stimulus is mostly responsible. …
According to Robert Shiller, a renowned economics professor at Yale University, the remarkable ten-year surge in U.S. home prices may find its conclusion when the Federal Reserve concludes its cycle of rate hikes. Yale University economics professor, Robert Shiller, predicts that the impressive decade-long rally in U.S. home prices will likely taper off once the …
USD has just closed its lowest weekly candle since April 2022 With the break of key support and a bearish MACD cross, downward momentum looks dominant pic.twitter.com/Y7OhawkHjX — Bravos Research (@bravosresearch) July 18, 2023 2-year Treasury yield and USD have significantly diverged Signaling that the Fed has mattered less to the Dollar in 2023 pic.twitter.com/CFsDKmAvYv …
The United Nations (UN) and the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) have recently called for a significant financial investment to combat the pressing issue of climate change. Their proposal includes the implementation of global taxes aimed at generating trillions of dollars in funding. Jamie Dimon, CEO of JP Morgan Bank, recently suggested exploring unconventional …
The article was quickly edited. New York Times column suggests 'death' as a 'solution' to student debt after court strikes down Biden handout https://t.co/5ij0osQlJt — Fox News (@FoxNews) July 1, 2023 New York Times column suggests ‘death’ as a ‘solution’ to student debt after court strikes down Biden handout The article was soon edited, but …
by confoundedinterest17 The film “The Core” was a silly film, but core inflation in the US is a serious problem for the middle class and low-wage workers. It remains elevated despite Treasury Secretary Janet “The Marxist Gnome” Yellen saying it was “transitory.” Looks pretty permanent to me! The Federal Reserve’s preferred measures of US inflation …
Millions of Americans are at risk of a stroke if they exercise too hard, a study suggests. Researchers found people with carotid artery stenosis, estimated to affect five percent of the country, are at risk of suffering sudden clots in the brain from simple activities like a brisk walk, swimming or even Zumba. During strenuous …
by Dismal-Jellyfish Source: https://www.marketwatch.com/story/this-incredible-chart-shows-the-close-relationship-between-the-s-p-500-and-fed-liquidity-166542a7 Earnings, schmearnings. Is what really matters just liquidity? This incredible chart, from Apollo Global Management chief economist Torsten Slok, shows the close relationship between S&P 500 SPX, -0.37% performance and net Federal Reserve quantitative easing (QE) since the pandemic began. Here, Fed QE is defined as the Fed’s total assets minus the balance of the …
