Independent thinking for complex markets and current events
This probably comes down over the next few years. No guarantee, but rates are likely coming down somewhat in the next couple years. Bonds may do well over the next five years. h/t HighYieldLarry
by ChampionshipUsed9855 Another interesting point is that NVIDIA stock-based compensation equals 10% of its revenue. That is record high Pul/Call ratio on 2-year low:
by ChampionshipUsed9855 Salesforce is a great company, but their stock price isn’t anything to get excited about. Insiders have been selling and the trend looks like it will continue. I wouldn’t recommend buying this stock right now. Here is monthly breakdown for last 18 months Disclaimer: This information is only for educational purposes. Do …
Disclaimer: This information is only for educational purposes. Do not make any investment decisions based on the information in this article. Do you own due diligence or consult your financial professional before making any investment decision. h/t ChampionshipUsed9855
In 2023, major financial institutions such as Citigroup, Goldman Sachs, Farmers Insurance, Robinhood, Charles Schwab, Wells Fargo, Ally Financial, Morgan Stanley, Bank of Nova Scotia, and RBC have collectively announced layoffs, totaling more than 20,000 employees according to Forbes. These layoff announcements contribute to the ongoing struggles in the US banking sector, with bank stocks …
The heavy concentration of the seven largest stocks in the S&P 500 raises concerns about diversification and market stability, especially if these stocks face underperformance. 🇺🇸 S&P 500 The concentration of the seven largest stocks in the S&P 500 raises concerns about diversification and market stability, as potential risks emerge if these stocks underperform👉 https://t.co/yIk7SZYp6p …
by mrmrmrj As you can see from the chart, a rise in bond yields typically ends with a financial accident. The most recent example is the 2018 global selloff that was sparked by the US Federal Reserve raising interest rates and scaling back its quantitative easing program. This led to a sharp increase in bond …
by mrmrmrj A mere 7 corporate giants are single-handedly generating over 100% of the S&P 500’s profit growth, with a mere 10 stocks shouldering 90% of the market’s gains this year. This high level of dependence on a select few raises red flags, as the fate of these companies now dictates the health of the …
by DAVID HAGGITH People right now are wondering what the big upsurge in stocks last week means. Is the market going back into a bull rally? I gave my brief take in one section of my “Deeper Dive” this weekend, and I’m going to share that section with everyone, just as I wrote it …
h/t ChampionshipUsed9855
https://www.ft.com/content/4ec10c1b-a365-483f-8566-e2ff47435dd5?ftcamp=traffic/partner/feed_headline/us_yahoo/auddev “Conglomerate offloads more than $5bn worth of US and international shares” “The company sold more than $5bn worth of US and foreign stocks in the third quarter, according to results released on Saturday. The sales lifted Berkshire’s divestments of listed shares to nearly $40bn over the past year.” h/t WildcatBlue
Gold is now outperforming the S&P 500 this year pic.twitter.com/GI2yMt8vcv — Barchart (@Barchart) October 27, 2023 U.S. stocks have lost -$4.5 trillion in value since the July peak. That's the equivalent of three Googles. pic.twitter.com/UjothrbzV1 — Hedgeye (@Hedgeye) October 26, 2023 $AAPL Apple closes below its 200 SMA for the first time since early March. …
by DAVID HAGGITH Photo by Maxim Hopman on Unsplash Stocks and bonds continued their race downhill today (bond prices down/yields up) with the S&P busting down and holding below 4200 for the first time since last spring, and the NASDAQ jolting down 2.4% in its worst day since February (meaning even worse than any of the days during …
JPMorgan’s CEO Criticizes Central Banks for ‘Dead Wrong’ Forecasts Jamie Dimon of JPMorgan lambasted central banks for their glaring past forecasting errors, casting doubt on their ability to navigate the looming economic uncertainties. He drew a grim parallel between today’s economic situation and the wasteful 1970s, while dismissing the potential impact of rate …
"Impervious" Nasdaq Risks Big Downside If Mideast Conflict Spirals https://t.co/pZGX7DJyvn — zerohedge (@zerohedge) October 19, 2023 Hedge Funds have increased their short stock exposure to the highest level of the year pic.twitter.com/IXb4OHLPA5 — Win Smart, CFA (@WinfieldSmart) October 23, 2023
Shorting large cap tech stocks has been a losing trade for over a decade. It's unlikely that changes without a shift in market sentiment. It may really be that a few stocks driving the market is the new normal. Follow us @KobeissiLetter for real time analysis as this develops. — The Kobeissi Letter (@KobeissiLetter) October …
Good Morning Everyone! China dumps U.S. stocks and bonds! The most in FOUR years. Over $21.2B SOLD in August Mostly treasuries and bonds, but wait… China also UNLOADS a record $5.1B in U.S stocks Their U.S treasury holdings now the lowest since 2009😲 pic.twitter.com/05Xy6NK8I8 — Genevieve Roch-Decter, CFA (@GRDecter) October 19, 2023 Lowest holdings since …
The Nasdaq’s return compared to US Treasuries is now at a record high, surpassing levels seen during previous bubbles and indicating a significant gap between equity and bond returns. So many unsustainable metrics out there right now. This also underscores the significant outperformance of the S&P 7 to the remainder of the index. Markets are …
As we have noted multiple times this year, the same trend can be seen in the Nasdaq. 70% of the index's YTD performance is from just 10 stocks. Perhaps this is just the new normal as tech giants become bigger. Follow us @KobeissiLetter for real time analysis as this develops. — The Kobeissi Letter (@KobeissiLetter) …
Fun fact: bank credit is now contracting! Since dollar standard (‘71), that’s only happened once before: 2008. Losses in T bonds will far worse than mortgage losses. Stocks are on the verge of a massive collapse. Fractional banking does’t work in reverse. Few. pic.twitter.com/0fzX16lYGn — Porter Stansberry (@porterstansb) October 15, 2023 Banks losses on held …
https://twitter.com/leadlagreport/status/1712426706743542265 US corporate bond spreads widen as hopes dim for soft landing Oct 4 (Reuters) – U.S. corporate bond spreads widened on Tuesday and are expected to widen further after the latest jobs data helped confirm many investors’ expectations of higher-for-longer U.S. interest rates and an upcoming economic downturn. High-grade bond spreads jumped two basis …
Emerging Market Stocks have fallen to their lowest valuation relative to the S&P 500 in AT LEAST 36 years pic.twitter.com/QrwRdszRl7 — Barchart (@Barchart) October 11, 2023
In the last 24 hours: – Mortgage rates hit +8.09%– Credit card interest rate hits record high– Car loan interest rate hits highest since 2001– Oil prices jump highest in 6 months– China planning +$137 billion stimulus– War continues on in Israel But guess what? Stocks are… — Genevieve Roch-Decter, CFA (@GRDecter) October 10, 2023 …
by UnusualWhalesBot Many bought defense company $GD, General Dynamics. Numerous Republicans bought heavy into oil + energy companies, with buys in $XOM, $DVN, $CVX. Democrats bought cybersecurity like $FTNT. These companies lobby Congress heavily. http://twitter.com/1200616796295847936/status/1711156014752604647
By Graham Summers, MBA Bonds finally bounced yesterday. However, the bounce was relatively weak and didn’t signal the “all clear.” Simply put, things stabilized. But they didn’t actually improve much. And market leading indicators suggest this correction isn’t over yet. High yield credit typically leads stocks both the upside and the downside. It bottomed weeks …
T-bills are paying 5.5% risk free, meanwhile, stocks are yielding 1.5% with end of cycle risk. Let's draw a picture to help bulls understand: pic.twitter.com/aqDLJiOEl2 — Mac10 (@SuburbanDrone) October 4, 2023 Yield Curve flattening – after inversions – is textbook #recession behavior. Today seems no exception! pic.twitter.com/NRGLvqBgWr — jeroen blokland (@jsblokland) October 5, 2023
The Bear Market never ended. The end of this bear market rally is rapidly approaching……. https://t.co/kf0JCvL7XA — Win Smart, CFA (@WinfieldSmart) October 5, 2023 G, we already there… Long-duration US TSY bonds have now lost more in % terms than stocks did during the GFC in 2008-2009 The drawdown in Vanguard Ext Duration Treasury ETF …
