Independent thinking for complex markets and current events
Homeowners are trapped by low interest rates which creates a supply bottleneck that keeps prices artificially elevated as sellers refuse to move Institutional investors are setting floor prices that permanently exclude the average professional regardless of salary or savings Inspection waivers remain common in competitive markets as “as-is” sales are often the only way to …
by confoundedinterest17 Redfin’s Housing Turnover Report, Q1–Q3 2025 Just 2.8 homes out of every 1,000 changed owners in the first nine months of 2025—the lowest turnover rate in at least three decades. This marks a 38% plunge from the 2021 frenzy, when 44 per 1,000 homes sold, and is 44% below the pre-pandemic 2019 pace of 40 …
They say the economy’s fine. That’s the first lie. You walk through any town that used to have factories, used to have warehouses, used to have jobs, and you don’t see recovery. You see silence. Long-term unemployment just hit a post-pandemic high. That means people aren’t just out of work. They’ve been out for half …
US economy teeters on path to Japan-style stagnation! Take a close look at this chart because this is what’s going to happen in the future in the US and in any other country that will continue to persist on a similar irresponsible monetary and fiscal path like the one Japan entered and never left for …
Authored by Charles Hugh-Smith via oftwominds, If we borrow all of tomorrow’s prosperity to spend today, there won’t be any future prosperity, there will only be penury. The developed nations share many of the same sources of stagnation: 1. Demographically, their cohort of retirees drawing government benefits is expanding with no end in sight while …
🇩🇪GERMANY SLASHES GROWTH FORECAST – STAGNATION NOW ON THE MENU Germany just tossed its 2025 growth forecast in the trash – now expecting zero growth instead of the already sad 0.3%. That’s 2 years of economic flatlining…and with Trump’s tariffs back in play, Berlin’s staring… https://t.co/hCh8K7x1Mm pic.twitter.com/HPvspVNnGl — Mario Nawfal (@MarioNawfal) April 22, 2025 BERLIN …
2/2 But the stock is being legally manipulated via weekly call option buying daily, so the “stock price bros” can ignore all that (for now). But that won’t last as the real biz crumbles. 2025E is the “year of the TSLA bear”. pic.twitter.com/emfKds5V9b — Gordon Johnson (@GordonJohnson19) January 4, 2025 You want to sell when …
Simply, the whole topic could be summed up with this cartoon. Sadly the keyword and mindset in Europe is: “NO. IT’S IMPOSSIBLE.” But these matters are always nuanced so first, let's understand the full picture… pic.twitter.com/y2glFsZfCK — Alessandro Palombo (@thealepalombo) December 5, 2024 First, the salary gap is staggering. Senior software engineer compensation: • Silicon …
https://twitter.com/MichaelAArouet/status/1835572094702108992 🇩🇪 Germany is no longer in the top 20 richest countries in the world* *Measured by GDP per capita in USD adjusted for purchasing power. https://t.co/oRY2YCNm1d pic.twitter.com/qAGS9qnH1N — PiQ (@PiQSuite) September 16, 2024 Is there any industry other than luxury handbags and obesity drugs where Europe is still leading against US corporations? pic.twitter.com/2nO15cYNq9 — …
China’s stagnation in one picture. Their economy is facing a similar issue to what Japan experienced after the bursting of its asset price bubble in the late 80s, which led to a long period of low growth known as the “Lost Decades”. After three decades of accruing more debt… pic.twitter.com/XPGbt9Dk3l — Otavio (Tavi) Costa (@TaviCosta) May 26, …
Authored by Michael Lebowitz via RealInvestmentAdvice.com, We recently wrote Japan’s Lost Decades to appreciate better why Japan’s GDP is smaller than it was in 1995 and why it took 35 years for its stock market to set its recent record high. Many pundits claim the U.S. is following Japan’s path. The path includes a stagnant economy, massive government …
Earlier this week, Xi spent nearly two hours on the phone with President Joe Biden, striking a markedly friendlier tone than before. This comes after November’s San Francisco summit, in which Xi promised all sorts of goodies to the US and left analysts wondering what on earth China got in return. Things aren’t happy at …
M2 money supply is contracting for the FIRST time since the 1930s ht g.o.t. pic.twitter.com/saWAj4OSoS — Win Smart, CFA (@WinfieldSmart) January 14, 2024 In the intricate web of economic indicators, a disconcerting picture emerges, suggesting a looming period of stagnation. The M2 money supply is contracting for the first time since the 1930s, a historical …
https://www.wsj.com/world/europe/germany-is-losing-its-mojo-finding-it-again-wont-be-easy-c4b46761 Germany Is Losing Its Mojo. Finding It Again Won’t Be Easy. BERLIN—Two decades ago, Germany revived its moribund economy and became a manufacturing powerhouse of an era of globalization. Times changed. Germany didn’t keep up. Now Europe’s biggest economy has to reinvent itself again. But its fractured political class is struggling to find answers …
by confoundedinterest17 I wonder if Biden’s proposed railroad from the Pacific to the Indian Ocean will generate massive industrial production growth? Is this more Bidenomics?? Industrial production unexpectedly dips in May. It peaked eight months ago. On a year-over-year basis, May’s Industrial Production declined to a lame 0.23%. As The Fed hikes rates and slows …
