A hub for independent voices and signals
BREAKING: The NY Empire State Manufacturing Index fell to -8.1 points in April, recording the 3rd negative reading this year. More importantly, 6-month outlook for general business conditions plummeted to -7.4, the lowest in 24 years. Additionally, the 6-month outlook …
The idea that we’re facing a simple deflationary crisis like the one we saw in 2020 is nothing short of foolish. During the pandemic, the Federal Reserve could just step in and unleash trillions in liquidity, keeping the markets afloat. …
Robert talks about the “silent depression” and how the real inflation rate has been way above CPI for many years. Robert talks about the Cantillon Effect and how the US exported many trillions of Dollars, financializing the US economy and …
“FINANCIAL ANALYSTS SPLIT ON TRUMP’S TARIFFS BULLISH VIEWS: 🔸 FUNDSTRAT: Predicts a V-shaped rebound if tariffs are targeted, arguing markets have overcorrected (-8% S&P 500) and clarity could spark a rally. 🔸 Treasury Sec. Scott Bessent: Sees tariffs as a …
Core inflation is back on the rise, and this is a trend we can’t ignore. With economic growth forecasts slipping, this kind of data paints a bleak picture for what’s to come. This isn’t a simple uptick; it’s a warning …
🇺🇸 GOLD CLIMBS AS STAGFLATION FEARS RETURN US consumer confidence just hit a four-year low, and markets are starting to panic. With inflation expectations rising and real yields falling, investors are rushing into gold—pushing it above $3,018. Fed officials admit …
The latest data show that Americans are taking an increasingly grim view of the U.S. economy and their own financial outlooks as uncertainty from the Trump administration’s tariff hikes and other policy changes drags on. The Conference Board’s consumer confidence …
This week the Federal Reserve met and announced interest rates would be unchanged for the time being. That came as no surprise to anyone. It was the second part of the presentation where Fed chair Jerome Powell said some things …
Model me this: Dario expects full reciprocal tariffs to bump CPI to estimated +1.3% pts – about the same negative hit to GDP. Stagflation on top of bear market. So now tell me: Why are markets a buy here? https://t.co/2pRSGdxYRH …
This is just the start of a downward spiral. The Bank of England’s decision to cut rates when inflation was already creeping up looks like a massive misstep, and people will be feeling the consequences for a while. https://twitter.com/rev_cap/status/1892149956833657199 Ouch‼️ …
Looks like the TOP is in for stocks for the foreseeable future: https://t.co/mO4EAthnNs — Sold At The Top (@soldatthetop) January 14, 2025 This is the worst start to a fiscal year EVER:– Spending is up 10.9%– Receipts are down 2.2%– …
via notayesmanseconomics As the UK has moved into 2025 the economic news has not been good. Official statistics by their very nature are always behind the times. But the latest monthly GDP figures for September and October both showed 0.1% …
ISM Manufacturing bringing the "stag" and the "flation" for Chair Powell… Stagflation: https://t.co/3yUmTD5B9w — Sold At The Top (@soldatthetop) January 3, 2025 ISM Manf. for Dec. came in at 49.3 (
#GOLD has confirmed a bullish breakout from an inverse head & shoulders pattern, followed by a successful retest of the neckline near $2,550. Current consolidation signals a build of potential energy for the next move. pic.twitter.com/F511TAvvYP — Gold Predictors (@GoldPredictors) …
by notayesmanseconomics As we arrive in Christmas week we find that the data on the UK economy is sending a rather unseasonal message. Here is the official release from earlier. UK real gross domestic product (GDP) is estimated to have …
The December Philly Fed Manufacturing survey was another disaster, collapsing from -5.5 to -16.4, versus an expected rise to +2.8. This is the weakest level of the year. More problematic, prices paid jumped while prices received fell. All signs point …
https://finviz.com/ It's begun .. pic.twitter.com/LPPK8arfBz — The Great Martis (@great_martis) December 18, 2024 I cannot wait to see this pig in an actual recession pic.twitter.com/0PeFOiX8GA — Darth Powell (@VladTheInflator) December 18, 2024 As we said in May 2024 when this …
NEWS: INFLATION 2.6% CORE 3.3% Inflation is not under control & still running wild through the economy as things like: shelter 🏠is up 5%Transportation 🚗 is up 8% Food 🥖 is up 4% pic.twitter.com/sbL4RhR4Yo — The Coastal Journal (@1CoastalJournal) November …
Stagflation. 1970s all over again . Even Lumber reignited. pic.twitter.com/sLNC5DSOSl — The Great Martis (@great_martis) November 4, 2024 51.4% of consumers expect to see higher stock prices over the next 12 months, the most in history 🚨 pic.twitter.com/ddt7FM1vGx — Win …
by pentoport The labor market is clearly weakening. But in reality, this is what needs to happen. Short-term pain is needed to reconcile the great imbalances created by decades of free money. The alternative is intractable inflation that renders the …
By Martin Armstrong Nine of the 12 Federal Reserve districts reported a decline in economic activity in August, up five districts from the July Beige Book report. Our system has warned that we are entering a period of stagflation, where …
Perfect recipe for stagflation? Chart @PkZweifel pic.twitter.com/pphPGsWWdm — Michael A. Arouet (@MichaelAArouet) July 25, 2024
JPMorgan Chase CEO Jamie Dimon recently issued a stark warning about the potential for a “hard landing” for the U.S. economy. He cited concerns about stagflation and persistent inflation. Dimon made these comments during an interview with CNBC at the JPMorgan …
Stagflation is happening all over the world. — Uncle Milty’s Ghost (@his_eminence_j) June 7, 2024 Global Context: Inflation: In recent years, inflation rates have risen in many countries. Factors such as supply chain disruptions, increased demand, and rising commodity prices …
Jamie Dimon, the chairman and CEO of JPMorgan Chase, has expressed concerns about the possibility of stagflation in the U.S. economy. Speaking at the JPMorgan Global China Summit in Shanghai, Dimon stated that a “hard landing” for the U.S. cannot …
Stagflation is when the economy experiences both high inflation and high unemployment. The last time America’s economy experience this was back in the 1970s. Many are now believing – including JP Morgan’s Jamie Dimon – that stagflation could be returning …
By Martin Armstrong “I don’t see the ‘stag’ or the ‘-flation’,” Fed Chairman Jerome Powell said during his Wednesday address. Powell believed inflation would be “transitory.” He believed that the economy would come down for a “soft landing.” He believed …
Investors are facing a challenging market with substantial upside potential in stocks but also the highest long-term risk since 1999. Stagflation warnings have been issued since early 2023, with signs indicating a severe and long-lasting stagflationary period ahead. Central banks …
