Independent thinking for complex markets and current events
The silence screams. President Donald Trump has not appeared publicly in six days. No press briefings. No campaign stops. No Labor Day events. His official schedule shows nothing. His voice is gone. The void is filling with questions and speculation. Forbes: Trump seen with bruised right hand again — here’s everything we know about the …
Businesses are eating 64% of tariffs right now. We know that. But according to Goldman, by October this will drop to only 8%, with consumers eating 67%. Nice one in @SamRo's note this morning. pic.twitter.com/vvWgG39mwS — Ryan Detrick, CMT (@RyanDetrick) August 17, 2025 Even the goat is bearish 🐐 pic.twitter.com/lIqSb7eHwv — QE Infinity (@StealthQE4) August …
Bitcoin’s price is climbing again, but the foundation looks hollow. On July 15, it broke past $123,000 before pulling back to $117,500. That’s a 25% gain year-to-date and a 1,150% surge over five years. The headlines call it momentum. The charts show bullish indicators. But the underlying driver isn’t utility. It’s speculation. There’s no industrial …
Margin debt across brokerage accounts in the United States reached $920.96 billion in May 2025, according to FINRA’s latest verified data. That number reflects an 8.3% jump over April and places leverage at levels not seen since the final quarter of 2021. The notable shift isn’t just the size—it’s the composition. Debt exposure is spread …
Flash warning for brutal unwind ahead. S&P call option volume has become completely unhinged. While the #speculation is currently working, which is drawing more investors into the scheme, this will eventually have very bad outcomes. pic.twitter.com/gsVGIEbUzD — Lance Roberts (@LanceRoberts) June 25, 2025 $NVDA Just as we test ATHs, volume is quickly fizzling out, showcasing …
#Citi bank is expecting #GOLD to go under $3000 / oz later this year. Is this an indirect signal that pricing of a recession is imminent? Why tell us now? Or, is a #Ratecut coming soon? SEE PIC. $GLD $BTC $SPY pic.twitter.com/S7FUX42IMb — Astro Zan (@alshfaw) June 18, 2025 Also one month earlier, Citigroup said …
Speculation is swirling after recent photos of Trump surfaced, showing unusual creases and bulges in his pant legs. The images, taken during a UFC event and a White House appearance, have fueled theories about leg braces, a catheter, or another medical device. Observers noticed hard lines running down both legs, prompting questions about whether Trump …
by Michael The death of Pope Francis has created a firestorm of speculation about the next pope. There is no clear frontrunner, and all sorts of names are being thrown around. Many liberal Catholics are hoping for another liberal pope that will be able to continue the legacy of Francis, while many conservative Catholics are desperate …
Why this housing cycle is worse than 2008: 1. More speculation 2. More fraud 3. More unaffordable 4. MUCH worse demographics 5. Structural inflation Reason its delayed: 1. Government keeping MILLIONS of homes off the market using taxpayer dollars. — Darth Powell (@VladTheInflator) April 19, 2025 https://twitter.com/PhilipSoos/status/1913804783745683479 This is exactly how the 2008 Financial Crisis …
Crypto’s biggest problem isn’t just its volatility—it’s the illusion that it’s solving anything. If you can convince enough people to buy into the hype, it works. Not because of any intrinsic value, but because new buyers are always needed to keep the system afloat. Sound familiar? It should. This is the essence of a pyramid …
Trump signed an executive order directing officials to create a sovereign wealth fund for the U.S. But the U.S. is $36.5 trillion in debt. Doesn't it make sense to pay that debt off first, as it's a guaranteed return? Otherwise, the sovereign wealth fund will be highly leveraged. — Peter Schiff (@PeterSchiff) February 3, 2025 …
by Jesse Felder LINK “Speculation has run amok on Nasdaq,” writes Helene Meisler. “And it’s not as though the speculation stops at the stocks themselves. It veers right into options land as well.” CHART Of course, options aren’t the only form of leverage available to traders these days. Leveraged ETFs have also exploded in popularity. “If …
$700k houses on $5M plots of land. California’s Wildfires highlights the Land Speculation Problem. byu/Not-A-Seagull ingeorgism
In the last two days, $NVDA, a $3 trillion market cap company, swung 6% up and 6% down like a penny stock. What does this tell us? It highlights the speculative nature of hedge funds moving in and out. Just 10 years ago, even a $100B company wouldn’t move more than 2% in either direction. …
1/3 #bitcoin and all of crypto is 🐀 poison, has ABSOLUTELY no value, generates no cash flow, and has no use case beyond harmful speculation (b/c it sucks up valuable resources – i.e., capital that could be used to fund useful assets and valuable energy resources)… https://t.co/L2MTGOyPFw — Gordon Johnson (@GordonJohnson19) December 20, 2024 3/3… …
https://twitter.com/Dani3lAndrew/status/1862163986159981018 Someone is lying hard here. pic.twitter.com/Pj5z1EOcAB — Guilherme Tavares (@i3_invest) November 27, 2024 U.S Home Sales on track for worst year since 1995 🚨 pic.twitter.com/y374xS1HMw — Barchart (@Barchart) November 29, 2024
Tensions escalate as Federal Reserve Chair Powell and Treasury Secretary Yellen offer conflicting narratives amidst economic turbulence, exacerbating concerns over stagflation. Powell’s dismissal of stagflation contradicts recent economic indicators, including a sharp GDP growth downgrade to 1.6% and consecutive months of surging PCE inflation. In a puzzling turn, Yellen asserts consumer prosperity despite rising prices, …
Warren Buffett echoed Charlie Munger’s criticism in his annual letter, that the stock market has become increasingly “casino-like.” Buffett believes too many investors act as speculators rather than long-term investors focused on company fundamentals. The ease of online trading apps has made buying and selling stocks more akin to gambling, in Buffett’s view. He warned young investors … https://www.msn.com/en-us/money/savingandinvesting/warren-buffett-joins-charlie-munger-s-criticism-in-annual-letter-criticizing-the-stock-market-as-becoming-casino-like/vi-BB1j0fsf Financial Nihilism Making sense …
SWEDEN’S top banking chief has branded Bitcoin as ‘pure speculation’ that doesn’t belong in the nation’s financial system. Speaking after a parliamentary hearing earlier today, Erik Thedeen, governor of Stockholm’s central bank, warned Swedes off investing in cryptocurrency. “I want as little Bitcoin as possible in the Swedish financial system,” he said. “It’s an instrument …
DES MOINES, Iowa (AP) — The third-party presidential movement No Labels decided Friday to field a presidential candidate in the 2024 election after months of weighing the launch of a so-called “unity ticket” and discussions with several prospects. Delegates voted in favor of moving forward during an online convention of 800 of them from every state, said Mike …
The BOJ held steady on rates. Again. Bulls believe the BOJ won't ever raise rates, but the Fed will cut any day now. Either of those scenarios would explode the carry trade. Most likely, is global RISK OFF. With the Fed/BOJ both dick in hand. pic.twitter.com/Zl4hdIBW0i — Mac10 (@SuburbanDrone) December 19, 2023 JUST IN: Fed's …
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The rise of Geert Wilders and the anti-immigration PVV party in the Netherlands, securing 35 seats and becoming the largest party, sends a powerful message about the growing influence of nationalist sentiments. In the face of his impending victory, the ban on Wilders from speaking about mass immigration in the U.K. in 2009 takes on …
Sentiment has approached the extreme greed zone These levels have occurred near local tops since mid-2021 pic.twitter.com/29KVxaXxdv — Bravos Research (@bravosresearch) July 4, 2023 The S&P 500 could hit a new record high thanks to tech and bank stocks, BMO investing chief says – SP500 NEW ATH soon “The Fed is just going to have …
via realinvestmentadvice: The current market speculation surrounding artificial intelligence (A.I.) has garnered everyone’s attention. You can’t turn on a television or pick up a newspaper without a mention of “artificial intelligence.” The “F.O.M.O.” (Fear Of Missing Out) in stocks associated with developing and implementing artificial intelligence is evident. The chart below shows the performance differential between the basket of the …