Independent thinking for complex markets and current events
U.S. Construction Spending MOM SAAR pic.twitter.com/4yP9esLhtu — Win Smart, CFA (@WinfieldSmart) September 4, 2024 Construction spending decreasing does NOT bode well for jobs in that sector. Construction is not a small piece of the economy either, and spending in other sectors will be negatively affected by increased unemployment in this sector. Remember, the unemployed don’t …
BREAKING: Lumber prices have declined to their lowest level since the 2020 pandemic, down 80% in 2 years. Lumber is a leading indicator for the US housing market, global economic conditions, and inflation. The rapid drop in lumber prices suggests that the US residential… pic.twitter.com/Ksc6aqczI0 — The Kobeissi Letter (@KobeissiLetter) August 15, 2024 Housing Permits …
It appears that there is a significant decline in China’s M1 money supply growth rate. According to the data and tweets provided, the M1 money supply in China has been decreasing since June 2023, with the most recent figures showing a 4.2% year-on-year decline in May 2024. This is a notable shift from the previous …
Credit card delinquencies are starting to go vertical pic.twitter.com/QcBcMdmbDF — QE Infinity (@StealthQE4) June 1, 2024 ‘We got to keep the consumer in the game’: Brian Moynihan worries about a spending slowdown Bank of America’s CEO says inflation has been sapping U.S. sentiment Bank of America Corp. Chief Executive Brian Moynihan said the economic …
Observation: Stocks are making their numbers but lowering guidance. These companies are warning you the economy is slowing down. Stocks are priced for perfection which is why the reactions to bad guidance are so violent. — QE Infinity (@StealthQE4) May 30, 2024 Stocks are meeting their current numbers but issuing lower guidance, signaling a slowdown …
Panasonic says EV market slowdown in U.S. worse than expected Japan's Panasonic Holdings said on Friday that its EV battery arm will likely miss its initial profitability target due to a worse-than-expected slowdown in the North American market for electric vehicles. "There was… — Tracy Shuchart (𝒞𝒽𝒾 ) (@chigrl) May 17, 2024 TOKYO — Japan’s …
This is nothing short of a crisis for young Americans. The staggering increase in debt levels among Gen Z, coupled with stagnant earnings, paints a grim picture of financial stability for the next generation. It’s alarming to see that despite earning less, they’re saddled with significantly more debt than Millennials were a decade ago. With …
Authored by Brandon Smith via Alt-Market.us, If people have learned anything from the past few years of Ivy League elites and TV talking heads feeding them economic predictions, I hope they finally understand that the “experts” are usually wrong and that alternative analysts have a far better track record. Whenever establishment economists make a a …
South Korean GDP growth is forecast to slowdown even further… pic.twitter.com/oNUDjXsN0F — Longview Economics (@Lvieweconomics) April 22, 2024
A financial shockwave reverberates: Discover credit card charge-offs peak since 2008, while Four Seasons Maui faces default on a $234 million loan. Amidst the unexpected downturn, even luxury icons falter, signaling broader economic turbulence. This is totally nothing like 2008 guys, relax! Also: Discover credit card charge offs hit highest level since 2008 pic.twitter.com/3152thEWBd — …
The US high-yield bond market is currently facing its swiftest sell-off since March, triggering concerns reminiscent of worries about a banking-market collapse. Spreads in this market have widened by almost half a percentage point since December 28, marking the fastest pace of widening since March 16. This sudden development has raised eyebrows, signaling potential turbulence …
I always find this chart staggering to look at. We've never seen the Federal Reserve slow the economy this violently before. Rates went from 0% to 5.33% within 18 months. That's unheard of. https://t.co/KoQ4CsPV0H pic.twitter.com/2vldAWuGei — Financelot (@FinanceLancelot) December 23, 2023 Don't believe that data. If inflation is 10% but official numbers say 5%, then …
As economic indicators signal a slowdown and companies prepare to cut back amid diminishing business activity, the prospect of a similar raise to the previous year dims for many workers. With the CFNAI pointing to a slowdown in economic growth in October and JPMorgan forecasting declines in key economic metrics, the landscape suggests a cautious …
The sustained 18-month decline in the Conference Board Leading Indicator is a worrying trend reminiscent of historical economic crises, particularly in 1973-74 and during the Global Financial Crisis. The current -7.8% decrease aligns with significant economic downturns over the past six decades, indicating a potential hard landing. This, coupled with a high and rising loan …
Global manufacturing PMI dropped to 47.6 in October, the lowest since Covid and below the 50 threshold for 14 months, indicating a clear global slowdown, with the decline driven by activity components while price pressures remained steady. 1/5. October global manufacturing PMI was down by 1pt to 47.6, the lowest level since Covid and below …
by confoundedinterest17 The US is experencing a slow down. The massive Federal government and Federal Reserve Covid stimulus has worn out and we are left with a sagging jobs report and soaring credit card delinquencies. After ADP’s reports printed almost perfectly in line with BLS last month (+177k vs +187k), all eyes are on today’s print, …
by bitkogan Bloomberg has reported, citing a study by Propel Inc., that a growing number of low-income Americans are struggling to make ends meet—falling behind on rent and having difficulty affording food. This is happening even as inflation appears to be slowing down. These developments could indicate that the strategy of “helicopter money,” or pumping liquidity …
The United States is at the beginning of a slowdown as the economy continues to face significant upside inflation risks and tighter credit conditions, according to new minutes from the July Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) policy meeting. (Article cross-posted from our premium news partners at The Epoch Times) Although the economy has been expanding …
Industrial US companies are seeing their businesses in China slow down considerably. DuPont, Dow and Caterpillar have cut their sales outlook for the country into this year. https://t.co/LJ0ARJ9jMW Tesla cut prices in China again. https://t.co/tuTnwNZFSO — Lisa Abramowicz (@lisaabramowicz1) August 14, 2023 Everything is fine … 🔥🔥🔥 Student loan payments resume in September. pic.twitter.com/l7C34hjf10 — …
by DesmondMilesDant As you can see from the charts above, Invitation Homes and American Homes 4 Rent are no longer on a buying spree. This is likely due to the mortgage rate shock and COVID-19 recession.
Apple has lost its title as the world’s only company with a market valuation of $3 trillion, after the company warned it was headed for a fourth straight quarter of declining sales. Shares of Apple closed down 4.8 percent at $181.99, wiping more than $140 billion off the company’s market capitalization, in the stock’s biggest …
Rail traffic is down sharply year over year and down even further from 2021. pic.twitter.com/npvGbB4sCB — Don Johnson (@DonMiami3) August 4, 2023 Shipping giant Maersk warns of sharp slowdown in global trade as it reports profit plunge The world’s second-largest shipping company, often seen as a bellwether for global trade, posted a second-quarter profit before …
by BoatSurfer600 As rates rise and the economy slows, banks tighten their credit lending standards out of fear of higher loan losses. If the credit to the economy dries up more than anticipated, then the slowdown might accelerate. A credit-starved economy is no bueno Source: Sagar Singh Yield curves around the world are inverting the …
by confoundedinterest17 This morning I wrote about the Renter’s Misery index with rents spiralling out of control for the middle class and low wage workers. Now let’s switch focus to the restaurant business which are suffering under Biden’s reign of economic error. Two years of negative real wage growth, depleted savings, mounting credit card debt, …
A labor slowdown is plaguing critical West Coast ports as workers refuse to turn up amid labor negotiations – stoking fears of a looming supply chain crisis. Though no strike is currently underway, several major ports along the West Coast, including the Port of Oakland, the Los Angeles Port, and the Port of Long Beach …
