Tumbling Dice! US Yield Curve Inversion Steepens, Mortgage Rates UP 163% Since 2021, Retailers Offer Deep Black Friday Discounts As US Manufacturing PMI Contracts

by confoundedinterest17 The Federal Reserve reminds me of The Stones’ song “Tumbling Dice.” Why? The Fed can’t tell if inflation is cooling or re-accelerating. Hence, they are just rolling dice. Let’s start with mortgage rates, a critical component of the housing and …

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DAVID HAGGITH: People See Better Than Economists – We’re no longer even sure what economists are since they clearly are not people who understand economics, so maybe not even people at all.

by DAVID HAGGITH Statue of a REAL economist — Adam Smith. Photo by K. Mitch Hodge on Unsplash Can you believe the Treasury market is already unwinding its bets that the Fed is done fighting inflation, even as the Champaign is still bubbling …

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Survey of Consumer Expectations: U.S. households probability of being able to come up with $2,000 if an unexpected need arose within the next month falling to its lowest level since 2013.

Source: https://www.newyorkfed.org/microeconomics/sce/credit-access#/financial-fragility1 Wut Mean?: Overall Decline in Consumer Credit Demand (2023): General weakening in most credit application rates. Credit card limit increase applications rose. Rejection Rates Trends: Overall rise in rejection rates for credit applications. Decline in rejection rates for …

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Credit card debt in the US has hit an all-time high of $1.08 Trillion (The average interest rate on credit cards is now over 20%, also an all-time high) [Balances have increased $154 Billion year over year, the largest increase since 1999]; U.S. Household debt reaches $17.29 Trillion

Another record credit card debt Collectively, Americans now owe $1.08 trillion on their credit cards, according to a report from the Federal Reserve Bank of New York. Steadily, persistently higher prices have caused consumers to spend down their savings and increasingly turn …

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Simply Unaffordable! Income Needed To Buy A Home Is $111k While Median Household Income Is Only $78k, Credit Card Delinquencies Highest Since 1991, REITs Down > -10% YTD (Bitcoin, Gold UP YTD!)

by confoundedinterest17 Bidenomics is a windfall for the donor class (high rate of return on campaign contributions) while the middle class gets beaten to a pulp. Waiting for Biden to lean over and creepily whisper “It’s working!” Even though it …

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Addicted To Gov? US Added $600 Billion In Debt In One Month And $10.47 TRILLION Since Covid Outbreak, Credit Card APR Now 28.93% As Credit Card Debt Exceeds $1 TRILLION, Family Healthcare Costs Surge 7% To $24,000, Q3 Real GDP Rises 4.9%

by confoundedinterest17 Bidenomics new theme song is “Addicted To Gov.” Bidenomics needs lots of Federal spending and borrowing to survive. But all this spending and borrowing is causing rapid price increases and other distortions. The US Federal government just added $600 billion …

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Bidenomics! New Home Sales Exploded In September, As Homebuilders Eat Soaring Mortgage Costs (Highest Mortgage Rate Since 2000 And Still Plenty Of Fiscal Stimulus Distorting The Market)

by confoundedinterest17 Bidenflation, a name for the combination of reckless Federal spending and excess monetary stimulus related to Covid, is still causing severe pain for the middle class. The massive Federal spending splurge is still working its way through the …

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