Travel disruptions, tariffs, and layoffs are rattling major sectors. Delta, Nike, and Walmart show mounting damage. As the AI bubble bursts, a 30% market drop looks increasingly likely.

The damage to the economy is becoming undeniable as we face government layoffs, spending cuts, tariffs, and increasingly strained international relations. The Trump administration’s policies have angered some of our closest allies, deported countless individuals, and led to the harassment …

READ MORE

There is a mounting probability of a looming surge in massive credit card loan delinquencies and defaults.

by GreggraffinCI https://fredblog.stlouisfed.org/2023/12/three-measures-of-us-credit-card-debt/#:~:text=In%202023%2C%20outstanding%20credit%20card,for%20consumer%20spending%20going%20forward. From a disposable income standpoint the Fed data agrees that the consumer is better able to service their debt now than they ever have. That peaked during the stimmie checks but that gap has closed from -25% …

READ MORE

U.S. Bank lending on the decline! Commercial and Industrial loans slide for two weeks straight. Meanwhile, GDP up 2.4% last quarter? Is it sustainable growth or fueled by mounting debt? #Economy #BankLending #GDP #Debt”

by Dismal-Jellyfish Reminder, while banks have the liquidity fairy, ‘we’ get the promise of 2 more rate hikes this year, Atlanta Fed President Raphael Bostic yet again enrichens himself inappropriately from his position. What I want to talk about this afternoon is–Commercial and …

READ MORE