BREAKING: 4,000 federal workers were just laid off. There is 69% chance that government shutdown will last over a month!

BREAKING: 4,000 federal workers were just laid off. pic.twitter.com/6I7VE2XlQV — Spencer Hakimian (@SpencerHakimian) October 13, 2025 The Office of Management and Budget confirmed that more than 4,000 federal employees received Reduction in Force (RIF) notices beginning Friday, October 11, 2025. These layoffs are not furloughs. They are terminations. Unlike previous shutdowns where workers were temporarily …

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Downshift! US Home Prices Fall By 0.7% In September, 5th Straight Month Of Declines (Tampa Leads The Decline Followed By San Francisco)

by confoundedinterest17 US home prices are downshifting to a lower gear. Home prices across the top 20 cities in the US fell by 0.07% MoM (less than the 0.2% decline expected) – the fifth straight monthly drop in prices. This pulled the YoY price appreciation down to 1.82%, the lowest since July 2023. The U.S. housing market …

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ISM Manufacturing Down Sixth Month, Employment Weak, Prices High

Authored by Mike Shedlock via mishtalk, The ISM report for August reads like mild stagflation. ISM chart and excerpts below by permission from the Institute for Supply Management® ISM® Please consider the August 2025 Manufacturing ISM® Report On Business® by Susan Spence, Chair of the Institute for Supply Management®. “In August, U.S. manufacturing activity contracted at a slightly …

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New Poll Finds Nearly 70% Of Us Think The American Dream Is Dead, And The Month Of September Is Typically The Worst Month Of The Year For The Stock Market

by Michael I kept warning about what would happen to our economy if we stayed on the path that we were on.  For decades, our leaders have been making unbelievably bad decisions, and now the consequences are really starting to catch up with us.  The cost of living has become incredibly painful, a larger housing bubble than …

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Canada replaces Pride Month with year-round celebration, fulfilling Mark Carney’s warning about the “wokest country on Earth”

During election campaign Mark Carney warned: while Americans go to war against WOKE Canada will become the wokest country on Earth. NOW Mark Carney announced: PRIDE MONTH is GONE. Replaced with PERMANENT PRIDE 365 WOKEY = BROKEY. During election campaign Mark Carney warned: while Americans go to war against WOKE Canada will become the wokest …

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Crypto is a leading indicator for equities in terms of risk on and risk off. BTC is trading near 2 month lows currently.

BTC peaks before stocks. QQQ soon will follow. $BTC is trading near 2 month lows currently. Diverging from the $QQQ lately. Last time BTC was trading this low, Q’s were about 4% lower than current levels. 🤔 pic.twitter.com/ALwrZMOLm9 — Heisenberg (@Mr_Derivatives) September 1, 2025 XRP The rare, majestic broadening top has appeared. The abyss awaits. …

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Federal debt $36.2 trillion, annual revenue $5.4 trillion, debt-to-revenue ratio worse than 2008. Debt up $550 billion in a month

We Cannot Afford A Recession There has been ongoing debate as to whether the U.S. economy can weather some of the headwinds we’re currently facing. However, if the past two recessions are any indication, we simply cannot afford a recession—not fiscally, not politically, and certainly not mathematically. The core issue is that the debt-to-revenue ratio …

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Wars And Rumors Of Wars: The U.S., Venezuela, Israel, Iran, Russia And China Make Moves As The Pivotal Month Of September Approaches

by Michael September is shaping up to be such a pivotal month, and right now major powers all over the globe are positioning themselves for what is to come. Just when we thought that global peace may be breaking out, it appears that a lot more war is on the horizon. In fact, I just …

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What It Costs A Family Of 4 To Live 1 Month In America: $996 For Groceries, $1,437 For Health Insurance, A $745 Car Payment And A $2,259 Mortgage Payment

by Michael You may be quite shocked by the numbers that I am going to reveal in this article. So many people are bitterly complaining about the rising cost of living, and so I decided to do some investigating. What does it really cost for a family of four to live the “American Dream” today? As …

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Hours after Trump meets Zelensky, Russia unleashes one of its largest attacks this month

HOURS AFTER TRUMP–ZELENSKY MEETING, RUSSIA UNLEASHES MASSIVE ATTACK ON UKRAINE While the U.S. and EU were talking about security guarantees, Moscow responded with one of its biggest airstrikes this month. 270 drones and 10 missiles were launched overnight. Ukraine shot down or suppressed 236, but hits still landed, including on the Kremenchuk Oil Refinery. Source: …

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Federal budget posts rare surplus after brutal fiscal start, June tax receipts jump 12.9% while outlays drop 7.0%, first month this year with spending under $500B

Despite the worst start ever to a fiscal year, several key metrics have really turned around w/ Jun tax receipts up 12.9% and outlays down 7.0%, resulting in a surplus; last month was the first time this fiscal year that federal gov’t spending was below $500B: N.B.: Those are year-over-year increases — E.J. Antoni, Ph.D. …

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China building 500,000 killer drones a month

🚨🇨🇳 UNSTOPPABLE: China can produce 500,000 FPV drones every month — and scale up to 700,000 in wartime. The PLA has already run 3 full-scale war drills using this drone swarm power. No one matches this speed, scale, and strategy.The future of warfare is Made in China. pic.twitter.com/g1Nspsk7za — Defence Index (@Defence_Index) June 2, 2025

The housing market is weakening faster than last month

-Building Permits Dropped 4.7% (April to May)Building permits are a leading indicator of future construction. A 4.7% decline suggests homebuilders are pulling back due to weak demand, rising financing costs, or economic uncertainty. This is the sharpest drop in months and hints that builders are less confident about near-term sales. -Single-Family Housing Starts Fell 2.1%This …

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Property taxes $1,342 per month?!

I received my tax notice from the City of Edmonton. My property taxes are now $1,342 per month for a three-bedroom, two-bath bungalow, a one-year increase of $230 per month. We are seniors, living near the river valley and I’m retired. This increase is criminal and needs… — June Marie (@auntiemlin) May 20, 2025

Inflation starting to creep up to multi month highs according to Truflation

Inflation starting to creep up to multi month highs according to Truflation… pic.twitter.com/48e7Q8x6Cb — Heisenberg (@Mr_Derivatives) May 19, 2025 Trump imposing tariffs then demanding that retailers not pass on the cost of tariffs to their customers by raising prices would be like the Fed raising the Fed Funds rate but then demanding that banks not …

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DXY has given back all of its gains following China trade news. Foreign Investors bought $57 billion worth of Japanese Assets (Equities + Bonds) last month, the most in AT LEAST 20 years

DXY has given back all of its gains following China trade news. pic.twitter.com/W9c8dZTGs9 — Michael J. Kramer (@MichaelMOTTCM) May 14, 2025 BREAKING NEWS THAILAND'S RICHEST MAN IS WARNING THAT THE UNITED STATES RISKS LOSING ITS GLOBAL LEADERSHIP POSITION IF COUNTRIES PULL BACK FROM INVESTING IN US TREASURIES Many powerful people now see it… — Gold …

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Recession talk spikes on S&P 500 earnings calls. CEO survey shows 62 percent brace for slowdown or worse. Small business optimism drops fourth month to 95.8

US executives are getting more concerned about the economy: The share of S&P 500 companies mentioning “recession” during their Q1 2025 earnings calls spiked to 23%, the highest since 2022. This percentage has surpassed levels recorded in all years between 2008 and 2020, except for 2010. Additionally, 62% of US CEOs expect either a slowdown …

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This is like February 2020 with absolutely no public awareness of what would hit within weeks. the current tariffs are still 20pts higher than where they were a month ago.

honestly, this is like February 2020 with absolutely no public awareness of what would hit within weeks (bonus – full thread starting Feb 2, 2020 for those who have any interest in watching a profoundly mishandled slow-motion trainwreck day by day: https://t.co/bewiFY9GSg) https://t.co/mbjjD8xGiz pic.twitter.com/OICJraFzlv — John P. Hussman, Ph.D. (@hussmanjp) May 4, 2025 (sigh)Tariffs went …

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Seattle is confronting a funding shortfall of nearly $350,000 for its Pride Month events

Seattle Pride is confronting a substantial funding shortfall of nearly $350,000 for its Pride Month events, attributed to recent rollbacks in diversity, equity, and inclusion initiatives and political challenges facing the LGBTQIA2S+ community. https://t.co/N6G7WiSqcG — KOMO News (@komonews) April 27, 2025 MS-13 Added To LGBTQ Acronym https://t.co/v0qNg60VZu pic.twitter.com/O81L8q7lYP — The Babylon Bee (@TheBabylonBee) April 26, …

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Housing defaults have skyrocketed. This is unlike anything we’ve seen in a decade. No showings in a month? It’s priced too high.

2/ The Fed had been on an unprecedented hiking cycle Taking rates from near 0% to 5.5% in just 1.5 years Ensuring tight monetary policy in the process pic.twitter.com/s8OvQS8I6C — Bravos Research (@bravosresearch) April 21, 2025 4/ During the recent hiking cycle, 30-year mortgage rates broke out a key downtrend line It rose from 2.65% …

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Canada to provide 6 month delay for certain retaliatory tariffs

The Minister of Finance, the Honourable François-Philippe Champagne, today announced new measures for Canadian businesses and entities affected by the tariff dispute between Canada and the United States. These measures include the remission of some of the countermeasure tariffs announced by Canada in response to unjustified tariffs imposed by the U.S. on Canadian products. First, …

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