market

People are going to have mental breakdowns from anxiety if the market stays open 24 hours

https://www.ft.com/content/31c3a55b-9af9-4158-8a49-4397540571bf The New York Stock Exchange is considering going 24/7, the FT reported. The exchange polled market participants about the merits of round-the-clock trading, per the outlet. Meanwhile, a Steve Cohen-backed startup is seeking SEC approval for a 24-hour exchange. https://www.businessinsider.com/new-york-stock-exchange-24-hour-trading-steve-cohen-startup-2024-4?op=1

CRE CLO market faces volatility as delinquencies rise and issuers resort to maneuvers.

Key points: Commercial Real Estate Collateralized Loan Obligations (CRE CLO) issuance surged from $19 billion in 2019 to $45 billion in 2021. 72% of collateral is linked to multifamily properties. Delinquent loans or those in special servicing rose to 8.6% in January but decreased to 7.4% in February. Issuers repurchase delinquent loans using cash reserves …

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Investor euphoria persists despite market drops; housing recession amid economic boom.

Investor euphoria persists despite recent market drops, raising concerns about the absence of hard lessons since 2009. Glenn Kelman’s insights resonate deeply with real estate professionals, highlighting a housing recession amid a booming economy. As monetary policy falters and debt cycles override business cycles, the strain on households becomes palpable, reflected in record-high credit card …

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Market on the brink: S&P 500 nears cliff as options market treads cautiously.

Market indicators flash warning: Discretionary and Staples teeter on the edge as S&P 500 hovers precariously near its 20-week moving average. Amidst cautionary whispers, even the options market hesitates, while a Reddit tale spins a tale of high-risk fortune. #SPX #SP500 $SPY #ES_F 📉 🥶https://t.co/Unj4i0DpAT — Invariant Perspective (@InvariantPersp1) April 21, 2024 New lows. The …

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Tech’s worst week since 2022: Nvidia loses $212B market cap, SMCI stock crashes -15%.

#recession … #Tech Bubble 2.0 edition #ArtificialIntelligence $SMCI 📉 ☠️ https://t.co/aMbJZAmuol pic.twitter.com/TzrnPdiFGR — Invariant Perspective (@InvariantPersp1) April 19, 2024 🚨BREAKING STOCK NEWS📉 : Super Micro Computer (SMCI) Stock CRASHES -15% Amid Financial Result Concerns – $SMCI reached its peak on the day of the ODTE white paper bubble release in March and has since plummeted …

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Could EVs Even Compete in a True Free Market?

It seems we’ve reached “peak EV,” with sales in trouble and assembly line workers losing their jobs. The hard truth is electric vehicle sales would have never reached the level they have if the government had not trespassed into private matters. The EV troubles are all around. Sales are slowing. Unsold cars have piled up …

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Fund managers’ bullishness peaks, signaling a potential market reversal.

With fund managers reaching their highest bullish sentiment since January 2022 and cash levels dropping close to the contrarian sell signal, coupled with the Financial Stability Board’s advice to hedge funds to increase liquidity for market shocks, there are indications of an impending market reversal. Fund Managers are the most bullish on stocks since January …

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Housing starts dip 4.28% year-over-year, signaling potential market adjustment.

The latest data on housing starts reveals a 4.28% year-over-year decline, marking a significant shift in trend and raising questions about the state of the housing market. Housing starts, a key economic indicator, reflect the initiation of construction on new privately owned houses within a given period, offering insights into future real estate supply levels …

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A market that can’t rally is going to crash amid extreme complacency.

The current state of the market reveals concerning trends, as the Dow struggles to maintain upward momentum, with each rally attempt met by afternoon declines. This pattern, coupled with the VIX’s significantly lower level compared to previous market peaks, suggests a market environment characterized by extreme complacency. Such conditions, reminiscent of periods preceding market crashes, …

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Market volatility underscores the double-edged sword of leverage.

The recent market turbulence highlights the dual nature of leverage, capable of amplifying both gains and losses. With a staggering 88% of futures SPX positions now in the red, the potential for further downside moves looms large, particularly if the selling pressure persists. As futures markets show signs of stabilization early this morning, the market’s …

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Bitcoin’s current valuation appears inflated, driven by ETF and halving anticipation, but facing realities of shifting market dynamics.

Amidst the fervor surrounding Bitcoin’s price surge, fueled by expectations surrounding ETFs and halving events, critical analysis suggests that the current valuation may be detached from underlying fundamentals. As speculation outpaces historical patterns, concerns arise regarding the sustainability of this momentum, especially in light of emerging factors such as liquidity dynamics and inflationary pressures. With …

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Chinese renminbi replacing the U.S. dollar as most traded currency in Russia’s foreign exchange market

via naturalnews The Central Bank of Russia has just released a financial risk review noting how trading in the Chinese renminbi reached a historic high in March. This surge in yuan usage comes as part of Russia’s ongoing shift away from major Western currencies, spurred by sanctions imposed by the United States and the European …

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Perhaps this is why the market is rallying today.

Probably why the market would rally today https://t.co/hIEYzCw0qr — Global Markets Investor (@GlobalMktObserv) April 11, 2024 Looking at Auto Insurance’s contribution to US Supercore CPI… Looking at Auto Insurance's contribution to US Supercore CPI… I should have made this chart yesterday: pic.twitter.com/vzu417hKtZ — Michael McDonough (@M_McDonough) April 11, 2024

Since 2022, Meta (former Facebook) has added ~$1 trillion in market cap.

Since 2022, Meta (former Facebook) has added ~$1 trillion in market cap. Below you can see the forward P/E valuations (earnings are estimated by Wall Street) for the Magnificent Seven and their performance year to date. Despite an almost 30% drop, Tesla is still an outlier. pic.twitter.com/CE50fYfvH4 — Global Markets Investor (@GlobalMktObserv) April 11, 2024

Investors are buying lots of gold, showing they’re worried about the stock market.

Investors are feeling nervous, as shown by the Goldman Sachs Panic Index hitting a high. Despite this, macro hedge funds are still heavily invested in U.S. stocks. Additionally, money managers are increasing their gold holdings, indicating a desire for safety in uncertain times. Goldman Sachs Panic Index jumped to its highest level since October pic.twitter.com/0WUIWvbsTa …

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The dwindling presence of small-cap stocks in the US market raises concerns reminiscent of the Great Depression.

The U.S. Stock Market is the most concentrated it’s been since the Great Depression pic.twitter.com/VpsGnsHJNY — Win Smart, CFA (@WinfieldSmart) April 9, 2024 The dwindling presence of small-cap stocks in the US equity market is ringing alarm bells reminiscent of the Great Depression era. Currently, these stocks represent less than 4% of the entire market, …

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Americans, whose wealth is largely tied up in their homes, face the looming threat of a housing market crisis as home prices teeter on the edge.

Americans are poor people with a manipulated home price. They don't have/save shit pic.twitter.com/j8b8IDajcU — Darth Powell (@VladTheInflator) April 7, 2024 Guys this time is totally different! Also this time: pic.twitter.com/65cBdcJZDn — Darth Powell (@VladTheInflator) April 7, 2024 How many people have held onto their house because they were told rates would come down before …

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Despite a robust labor market and economic growth, many Americans still struggle to find jobs

Americas’ Unemployment Problem In 2023, the United States reported an unemployment rate of 3.4%, marking the lowest figure in 54 years with nearly 11.2 million unemployed Americans. Despite this historic low, the narrative surrounding America’s Unemployment Problem reveals a complex and multifaceted issue. The early months of 2024 have shown a robust labor market, yet …

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Another Lousy Job Market Indicator: WARNs Are Soaring… And Challenger-Grey Announced That March Saw Most Job Cuts Since January 2023

by confoundedinterest17 Bidenomics was born under a bad sign. Or born under large corporate donor payoffs. In the real world labor market, 2024 has been a deluge of layoffs of the US economy… 1. Everybuddy: 100% of workforce 2. Wisense: 100% of workforce 3. CodeSee: 100% of workforce 4. Twig: 100% of workforce 5. Twitch: 35% of …

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Trump Media is the most expensive stock to short on U.S. markets. Highest short-selling fees market has ever seen.

Trump Media, which began being publicly traded last week, is now far and away the most expensive stock to sell short, according to S3 Partners, a leading financial data marketplace platform. Investors who wanted to borrow Trump Media shares to sell them short on Wednesday would have had to pay financing costs of between 750% …

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Societe Generale warns of stock market bubble; Hedge funds heavily exposed to AI-driven momentum stocks.

The Stock Market is in a bubble and the AI craze is getting out of hand warns Societe Generale pic.twitter.com/SKoAsWxxlU — Win Smart, CFA (@WinfieldSmart) April 4, 2024 Hedge Fund exposure to momentum stocks has reached all-time highs pic.twitter.com/1vD3drYVU3 — Win Smart, CFA (@WinfieldSmart) April 4, 2024 Google sued two people based in China it …

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China’s economic stagnation prompts global retreat; $5 trillion market cap loss. India rises to fourth-largest market.

Earlier this week, Xi spent nearly two hours on the phone with President Joe Biden, striking a markedly friendlier tone than before. This comes after November’s San Francisco summit, in which Xi promised all sorts of goodies to the US and left analysts wondering what on earth China got in return. Things aren’t happy at …

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Tim Cook’s massive sell-off of Apple shares, alongside a broader insider exodus.

Insiders have been dumping shares heavily over the last 60 days pic.twitter.com/KrT0SyQgQm — Win Smart, CFA (@WinfieldSmart) April 3, 2024 As the storm clouds gather on the horizon, a chilling revelation strikes fear into the hearts of investors: insiders are fleeing the market en masse, signaling a looming crisis. Over the past 60 days, insiders …

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The widening gap between financial indicators and market valuations portends a looming financial crisis.

Disconnect between Fed 🏛 & S&P 500 pic.twitter.com/V4HEctJ1O8 — Win Smart, CFA (@WinfieldSmart) April 3, 2024 10 largest stocks trade at P/E of 26x vs. 47x at peak of DotCom pic.twitter.com/9K2BTuGSGm — Win Smart, CFA (@WinfieldSmart) April 3, 2024 A stark dissonance grips the financial markets as the gap between the Federal Fund Rate and …

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The US stock market now accounts for a massive ~45% of global market cap, while hard assets hit lows not seen since 1925!

The top 10% of S&P 500 stocks now account for 75% of the index's market cap. This is an even higher percentage than the peak of the Dot-com bubble. Big stocks are getting even bigger in the new AI-based world. Follow us @KobeissiLetter for real time analysis as this develops. — The Kobeissi Letter (@KobeissiLetter) …

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