Independent thinking for complex markets and current events
Authored by Mike Shedlock via mishtalk, The Fed is not in a good spot. Cyclical and acyclical PCE price data from the San Francisco Fed, chart by Mish Please consider Cyclical and Acyclical Core PCE Inflation by the San Francisco Fed. The personal consumption expenditures price index (PCEPI) is one measure of U.S. inflation that is considered …
The Department of Labor won’t issue its report on U.S. hiring in January on Friday as planned because of the partial government shutdown. “The Employment Situation release for January 2026 will not be released as scheduled on Friday, February 6, 2026. The release will be rescheduled upon the resumption of government funding,” a spokeswoman for …
Layoffs over the last year: • UPS: 48,000 • Amazon: 32000 • Intel: 27,159 • Microsoft: 15,387 • Nestle: 16000 • Verizon: 15000 • Google: 12000 • Chevron: 8000 • Paramount: 7000 • Walmart: 7000 • Procter & Gamble: 7000 • Estée Lauder: 7000 • Citigroup: 6500 • Disney: 5500 • Salesforce: 5000 • HP: …
ADP National Employment Report And What the Headline Misses About Today’s Labor Market ADP says private employers added 41,000 jobs in December, framing it as a rebound. But when you slow down and look at where those jobs came from, the picture changes. Nearly all of the net… pic.twitter.com/D1zs99G6CR — EndGame Macro (@onechancefreedm) January 27, …
Amazon to Cut 16,000 Jobs in Latest Round of Layoffs The e-commerce giant has been cutting costs while pouring resources into building data centers to compete in the race to dominate artificial intelligence. Though business has been booming, Amazon said on Wednesday that it was laying off 16,000 more corporate employees as it looked to …
Elon Musk has issued a chilling warning about artificial intelligence and the future of human work. In this video, we break down Musk’s claim that AI could take all jobs, what he really means by it, and how fast automation is actually advancing. From self-driving cars to humanoid robots and AI software replacing white-collar workers, …
Washington Post journalists have begged the newspaper’s billionaire owner Jeff Bezos to spare their jobs – while his wife Lauren Sanchez flaunted expensive couture outfits at Paris Fashion Week. Up to 300 Post staffers are set to be affected by job cuts as CEO Will Lewis transforms the paper and reverse millons of dollars in …
Hundreds of Valero layoffs begin in California as company idles major refinery #MacroEdge — MacroEdge (@MacroEdgeRes) January 15, 2026 Are California’s regulations killing energy jobs faster than companies can adapt? Valero is idling its Benicia refinery due to high operational costs, strict California regulations, and ongoing environmental violations, including a recent $82M fine and lawsuit …
It's starting to look like maybe an AI driven productivity boom. pic.twitter.com/UC6fxl3NcJ — infinite monkey (@RobertDobalina7) January 9, 2026 Inflation is falling off a cliff. It now sits at 1.9% The Federal Reserve must cut rates by another 100 basis points. pic.twitter.com/fitTVZs6lf — Anthony Pompliano 🌪 (@APompliano) January 9, 2026 JUST IN: The U.S. economy …
The U.S. labor market ended 2025 on a soft note, with job creation in December less than expected, according to a report Friday from the Bureau of Labor Statistics. Nonfarm payrolls rose a seasonally adjusted 50,000 for the month, lower than the downwardly revised 56,000 in November and short of the Dow Jones estimate for …
$TLT target is $101 before March. on the macro side: without healthcare and education, private job for Dec. is negative. and The reason Fed’s Miran Says More Than Full Point of Cuts Needed in 2026 is huge slump at the job market has already began. on the TA side: 20dma support,… pic.twitter.com/oUWTzZWaj7 — SwingTrader (@SwingTraderQ) …
On a frigid day after Mass at St. Ann’s Catholic Church in rural Nebraska, worshipers shuffled into the basement and sat on folding chairs, their faces barely masking the fear gripping their town. A pall hung over the room just as it hung over the holiday season in Lexington, Neb. “Suddenly they tell us that …
Unemployment is rising – and most job creation is coming from one sector: Healthcare. This trend reveals a deeper imbalance: Fewer workers paying taxes, more people living on benefits and growing inflationary pressure across the economy… By Peter Reagan Listening to media talking heads and politicians about the economy can leave you confused and wondering …
🚨 “No risk free path.” Powell just told you the endgame is here. Either inflation silently destroys your savingsOr recession violently destroys jobs The Fed cannot save both.Liquidity already broke the system.There is no escape. Pick your poison. pic.twitter.com/m6RZGK2b03 — Wall Street Gold (@WSBGold) December 16, 2025 4.6% unemployment rate is very serious. There has …
by Michael Frustrated job seekers all over America just got more bad news. The unemployment rate just hit the highest level that we have seen in four years, and that is yet another indication that the labor market is getting even tighter. If you currently have a good job that you highly value, hold on …
Anthropic's CEO Dario Amodei: "AI will wipe out half of all white collar jobs and spike unemployment to 10-20% in the next 1-5 years." He's known for being honest (that's why he left OpenAI). He DGAF and doesn't sugar coat it like @Sama. He knows AI is net negative for growth. pic.twitter.com/AzssdSRwyQ — Zoomer 🧢 …
Micron said on Wednesday that it plans to stop selling memory to consumers to focus on providing enough memory for high-powered AI chips. “Micron has made the difficult decision to exit the Crucial consumer business in order to improve supply and support for our larger, strategic customers in faster-growing segments,” Sumit Sadana, Micron business chief, …
For the record, U.S. stocks peaked in October 2007 and the economy entered recession in December 2007. As of now, the S&P 500 peaked in October. ADP private payroll job creation year to date is at the same level it was at when the GFC recession started. Is the AI super bubble killing jobs? It’s …
Canadians now prioritize jobs and economy over the environment a complete reversal since 2015 2015 →24%2025 →57% And yet Canadians voted for more Liberal government The same people who caused this suffering Soon 100% of 🇨🇦 will say F the environmentpic.twitter.com/ICjBueAXnv — Marc Nixon (@MarcNixon24) November 29, 2025 10 years the liberals had to do …
The system is quietly trapping everyone while pretending nothing’s wrong. According to the BLM's most recent numbers, private employers are reporting 13,500 job cuts a WEEK. These are PRIVATE EMPLOYERS. NOT GOVERNMENT JOBS. The BLM reports we are seeing the worst job numbers since 2008. If you can HONESTLY justify that, you're a lot of …
The Donald Trump administration keeps cancelling key economic reports and everyone is concerned. On Monday (24 November), the US Bureau of Economic Analysis cancelled the release of its growth estimate report for the third-quarter GDP. Before it was cancelled, the report had already been pushed back once, as it was scheduled to be released on …
$SPY is in danger of forming a Head & Shoulders… A 675 rejection would form the right shoulder After that, a 654 break would give us maximum downside to 480s😬😬 pic.twitter.com/mrOgdFMA62 — ThiccTeddy (@ThiccTeddy) November 24, 2025 GROK: Based on current charts (as of Nov 24, 2025), SPY shows elements of a potential head and …
BREAKING: The US Labor Department announces that November CPI inflation data will be released on December 18th. The "employment situation" data for October and November and CPI inflation data are BOTH coming after the Fed meeting. The Fed is in a data blackout still. — The Kobeissi Letter (@KobeissiLetter) November 21, 2025 💥BREAKING: 🇺🇸 BLS …
SEC. LUTNICK: THE U.S. GDP WILL HIT 6% “The construction jobs alone, you can’t invest $3 trillion a year without driving our GDP off the charts. You are gonna see fours, you’re gonna see fives, and you’re gonna see 6% GDP growth under this president because the factories are coming home, the tariffs are bringing …
In the sewer business, they say a good flush beats a full house. This one isn’t a good flush. It’s the other kind that fills your house with a stinking mess you have to live with. by David Haggith Adam Taggart, in his interview below with Freightwaves’ Craig Fuller, says Fuller’s take on the economy sounds stagflationary, …
AI could wipe out half of all entry-level white-collar jobs and spike unemployment to 10% to 20% in the next one to five years, predicts Anthropic CEO Dario Amodei. https://t.co/K53oCApIeF pic.twitter.com/6BgAlQ30pM — 60 Minutes (@60Minutes) November 17, 2025 Anthropic CEO’s Prediction: “AI could wipe out half of all entry-level white-collar jobs in 1 to 5 …
I don’t understand why anyone would support AI. It’s going to: Steal your job Triple your electricity bill Destroy younger generations. People should be outside of OpenAI HQ among others with torches and pitchforks. https://t.co/MyH8gPMeqL — QE Infinity (@StealthQE4) November 15, 2025 We need regulations that prevent companies from using AI to eliminate jobs to …
New reporting reveals the Class of 2026 will graduate into the worst job market seen since the first year of the COVID pandemic. pic.twitter.com/YU0GJdZ80S — FactPost (@factpostnews) November 14, 2025 Companies Predict 2026 Will Be the Worst College Grad Job Market in Five Years Hires from the Class of 2026 will stay largely flat, employers …
