Independent thinking for complex markets and current events
CRASH IMMINENT! How do we know??WE ARE BUYING SOOO MUCH SAUSAFE!! Increased sausage demand could be worrying signal on the economy https://t.co/Reyeic1grU — cowboy (@COWBOYCHILLI) August 27, 2024 An uptick in sausage demand can offer the latest sign of consumers tightening their belts as they continue grappling with high prices. There has been “modest growth” …
A series of bizarre developments that have unfolded in Great Britain over the last few weeks suggest that its financial system came to the verge of collapse, probably as a consequence of Ukraine’s debt default. The last thing the people in power will tell us is the truth, but if we dig in dark places …
WARNING: Labor market conditions index has been steadily declining This systematically happens prior to recessions pic.twitter.com/w3YYWHR566 — Bravos Research (@bravosresearch) August 26, 2024 US firms’ ‘low firing’ approach may turn to more layoffs, Fed’s Barkin tells BBG WASHINGTON, Aug 26 (Reuters) – The “low-hiring, low-firing” approach that U.S. businesses currently take to their employment decisions …
Collapse of carry trade is massive head wind for SPY — Silver is stake in British vEmpire (@Steve_I_AG) July 31, 2024 I know I might sound silly, but what’s happening here is the equivalent of a #9 earthquake in many risk/derivative books Someone is being hurt very badly and the #BOJ better pray that’s not …
On July 1, 2024, the People’s Bank of China (PBOC) made a groundbreaking announcement: it would undertake bond borrowing operations with select primary dealers to ensure the stability of the bond market. This unprecedented move has already ignited widespread discussion in China, particularly concerning its potential long-term effects on the renminbi exchange rate and the broader …
by herbanoutfitter 2009 was bad but this time around it won’t just be mortgages—EVERYTHING is overleveraged. Consumer loans including credit cards, mortgages, car loans, small business loans, corporate loans, private credit instruments. When interest rates were low, that worked fine. Decent returns for low volatility. But now inflation is still not at target and higher …
Both Walmart and Target have experienced significant decreases in profit for their first quarters, which could signal an oncoming recession—or a recession that we’re already in, according to experts.
🚨#BREAKING: Emergency officials are on high alert as a Minnesota dam is in imminent danger of critical failure ⁰⁰📌#Rapidan | #Minnesota Currently, emergency officials and dam operators in Rapidan, Minnesota, are on high alert following recent heavy flooding of the Blue Earth… pic.twitter.com/SBUjh7Kh5Y — R A W S A L E R T S (@rawsalerts) …
The yen seems to be slipping again. How long until the plunge protection team springs into action? pic.twitter.com/vqqqzfvCaw — Plumb Mad🇷🇺 (@Jimstonewall) June 18, 2024 また始まった🥲🤷🏻♂️ $JPY https://t.co/XcPGgy52CD — JustDario 🏊♂️ (@DarioCpx) June 18, 2024 🚨BREAKING: #Norinchukin loss for 2024 fiscal year expected to increase from ~7bn$ to ~9.5bn$ This number is aligned with the …
🚨Update: 8x Russian bear bombers have taken off and are moving towards their launch positions to target Ukraine!! It’s going to be a long night across Ukraine! I’m still surprised Moscow has not carpet-bombed Kiev and Lviv, and razed both cities to the ground. pic.twitter.com/66yACcN0rx — US Homeland Security News (@defense_civil25) May 31, 2024 ⚠️❗️❗️The …
🇺🇸 S&P 500 and equal-weight S&P 500 3-month rolling correlation. At historic lows! Chart: @t1alpha pic.twitter.com/szTRHIBpDj — Alex Joosten (@joosteninvestor) May 16, 2024 The S&P 500 is a stock market index that tracks the performance of 500 large companies in the U.S. The equal-weight S&P 500 is similar, but each company is given the same …
The US Treasury grapples with dwindling cash reserves, teetering on the brink of a debt crisis as tax day’s boost fades into obscurity. With just $45 billion remaining before hitting the theoretical limit, the nation faces an imminent surge in national debt, signaling turbulent times ahead for the economy. April’s tax day influx of $250 …
Last year’s warnings echo louder as M2 data forecasts inflation surge, dismissing deflation fears. In Florida, over half of renter households strain under excessive rent burdens. Brace for wealth erosion as Biden’s historic Capital Gains Tax proposal looms, while gold’s ascent prompts speculation of $3,000 per ounce. In situations where the government runs record deficits …
1) California hit 445,103 this week for continuing claims pic.twitter.com/SIWR07FrTO — WarnTracker 2.0 (@j77324) March 30, 2024 3) California lost 3,400 jobs last month. The new fast-food minimum wage goes into effect next week. I’m curious to see what impact it will have, if any. pic.twitter.com/kxbf8yEQ1E — WarnTracker 2.0 (@j77324) March 30, 2024 The top …
The world is sitting on the edge of a precipice. It is a world which is highly leveraged. Global debt, for every $1 growth in GDP last year, required $3 of debt, and that doesn’t exclude America. In the fourth quarter, for every $1 of GDP growth, it needed $25 of debt. And when you …
“American billionaires are selling stocks by the boatload – sparking fears of an impending financial disaster. Jeff Bezos – the third-richest man behind Louis Vuitton’s Bernard Arnaut and Elon Musk – unloaded $8.5billion in Amazon shares this month alone. Mark Zuckerberg – the fourth-richest – sold about 1.4 million Meta shares worth roughly $638million. Jamie …
'Avoid large gatherings over the next 48 hours' The US and UK are warning of an imminent terrorist attack in Moscow, urging the public to avoid large gatherings in the city. The warning comes after Moscow police says it also thwarted a planned Islamist attack on a synagogue. pic.twitter.com/rRAdHBlwPG — GB News (@GBNEWS) March 8, …
🚨JUST IN: NEW YORK COMMUNITY BANCORP HALTED FOR PENDING NEWS. STOCK DOWN -41% TODAY. PROBABLY NOTHING. pic.twitter.com/LYMrLJ6vKv — Genevieve Roch-Decter, CFA (@GRDecter) March 6, 2024 This bank is on end of life support in the Bank ICU. This will be a very large failure and will be the first of many due to the horrendous …
In this video, you will see the impact bank failures have on the housing market and the broader economy. These Bank failures shocked the US Citizen’s occurrence, often causing ripples throughout the economy. Besides the economy, the housing market, in particular, is vulnerable to the effects of bank failures. The collapse of banks like Citizens …
Second, within an hour of the report, three Members of the U.S. House Intelligence Committee have told Politico that the National Security Threat caused by a New Russian Capability is “Disturbing” but that it is a Longer-Term Concern “Not a Today thing” and that, “It is a Serious Issue but not an Immediate Crisis.” So, …
Subprime Auto-Loan Delinquencies Rise to 2019 Levels: a Dive into Subprime Lending and Securitizations pic.twitter.com/A5gyIrxj3e — QUACK (@RichQuack) January 14, 2024 Credit Card Debt Climbs: 56 Million Americans in Prolonged Debt Amid Economic Pressures The credit card debt situation in the U.S. is becoming increasingly concerning, with a record $1.08 trillion in balances as reported …
CHINA SPARKS FEARS OF IMMINENT TAIWAN INVASION AS MILITARY SWARMS ISLAND BY SEA AND AIR (MSN) Taiwan's Ministry of National Defense has tracked six Chinese military aircraft and six naval ships moving near the island nation, once again sparking fears of an invasion. One of the… pic.twitter.com/FPs3A5v694 — FXHedge (@Fxhedgers) January 5, 2024
Mark Spitznagel, chief investment officer of Universa Investments, issues a stark warning about the Federal Reserve’s actions, claiming they’ve inflated the “greatest credit bubble in human history.” In a recent interview, Spitznagel painted a grim picture of the U.S. economy, predicting a mega inferno in the form of a major market crash within the next …
https://twitter.com/_/status/1736094001306964364 BE ADVISED: As tensions mount in the Red Sea, two USAF B-2 Stealth Bombers left the United States and landed today at RAF Fairford in the UK. It's noted that the callsign used by these aircraft was "Death 31 and Death 32". pic.twitter.com/WvAZyGPIgt — Chuck Pfarrer | Indications & Warnings | (@ChuckPfarrer) December 13, …
The signs of an impending auto loan debt crisis are becoming increasingly apparent, as noted by AutoMoBlog. Wall Street’s lucrative practice of selling car loans to individuals with limited capacity to repay is fueling concerns, mirroring practices reminiscent of the 2008 financial crisis. Simultaneously, the rapid increase in defaults on Commercial Mortgage-Backed Securities (CMBS) is …
The decision to issue 2-year treasuries instead of 30-year bonds may not have been a mistake; it could be indicative of a forthcoming forced liquidation in the financial markets. Most of the global financial system and global banking system is insolvent already with losses on US Treasury bonds. The PPT & ESF are trying to …
-DXY breaking out towards 107 -10 yield is nibbling at 5% -Futures red and accelerating lower as I type this. -Cypto suflee is crushing down. Dollar Index DXY pic.twitter.com/SdGxqSuhcX — The_Chartist 📈 (@_chartitude) October 26, 2023 Despite the ongoing debates, the current economic cycle has unfolded much more like the 1970s period than the World …
