Independent thinking for complex markets and current events
The madness of the market never ceases to amaze. Seven billion dollars flooding into tech funds in a single week? That’s not smart investing—it’s sheer desperation, a frenzied herd chasing gains long after the easy money has been made. We’ve seen this story before: euphoric buying, absurd valuations, and everyone convincing themselves that this time …
by Mike Shedlock Gold does not believe the Fed has things under control and neither do I. Image from Trading Economics, Annotations by Mish. Gold Hits Record High on Safe-Haven Demand Amid Tariff Threats Reuters reports Gold hits record high on safe-haven demand amid tariff threats Gold prices rose to hit a lifetime high on Thursday, …
by confoundedinterest17 Because they’re young. Bonds that is. Longer term bonds and notes are preferred by primary dealers over short-term Treasury bills. The US Treasury yield curve 10Y-2Y is finally positive after years of being negative. And the all important 10-year Treasury yield sits at 4.56%.
This is arguably one of the most critical macro developments unfolding today. Even when adjusted for inflation, the 30-year yield has reached its highest level in 15 years. The US cannot sustain this for long, in my opinion. It will need either higher inflation or a… pic.twitter.com/CBshI3xGwd — Otavio (Tavi) Costa (@TaviCosta) January 15, 2025 Gold is looking …
January 14, 2025. The report shows that the prices for final demand goods increased by 0.6% in December, which was in line with expectations. The 9.7% jump in gasoline prices significantly contributed to this overall increase. Here’s a detailed breakdown of the latest Producer Price Index (PPI) report for December 2024: Producer Price Index (PPI) …
In a historic economic milestone, China has officially recorded a trade surplus amounting to an unprecedented $1 trillion. This achievement marks a new era in global trade dynamics, showcasing China’s significant influence on the world stage. The record-setting surplus underscores the country’s robust export capabilities, even amidst global economic fluctuations and increasing trade tensions with …
Bjarne Schieldrop, Chief Commodities Analyst at SEB, discusses the recent moves in the energy market and how Trump’s policies would impact the price of crude oil.
UK. Pound collapses. Bond yields soar. No one resigns. Britain's Bond Turmoil Invokes Memory of 1976 Debt Crisis.https://t.co/VUYnXhYiNB pic.twitter.com/eVCX6gaoXq — Daniel Lacalle (@dlacalle_IA) January 9, 2025 Britain’s Bond Turmoil Invokes Memory of 1976 Debt Crisis Soaring yields prompt some comparisons with Truss debacle But the economy’s woes may be more similar to IMF bailout era …
BREAKING: #Bitcoin plummets under $100K and loses over $103 billion in market valuation within hours. pic.twitter.com/jcpQiNuCD9 — Jacob King (@JacobKinge) January 7, 2025 BTC sells off, and Tether can’t hold its $1 peg. The faithful will say it’s no big deal, but despite all its liquidity and treasury assets, Tether time and time again shows …
The Japanese 10-yr JGB traded this morning at 1.14% – the highest yield since July 2011. This should keep rising along with the US treasury 10-yr – which will likely breach 5% in the coming weeks. The Japanese 10-yr JGB traded this morning at 1.14% – the highest yield since July 2011. This should keep …
Bellwethers. Large weekly topping formations depicted. pic.twitter.com/SkI4SUEnJj — The Great Martis (@great_martis) January 1, 2025 Santa Rally option skew through yesterday's close is the highest in history. As the algos maintain the illusion through year end. pic.twitter.com/hDWqahSbXe — Mac10 (@SuburbanDrone) December 31, 2024 $MEK.ax One of the cheapest Goldies on the ASX. Cup and Handle …
BlackRock, State Street & Vanguard are the biggest shareholders in UnitedHealth. Private Equity giants are the main reason healthcare is a commodity & not a right. They’re also why you’ll most likely never own a home & build wealth. Ending this is THE fight of our lifetimes. — Revolutionary Change (@JenPerelman24) December 28, 2024 BlackRock's …
https://twitter.com/JustinWx/status/1872728337799626871 Next Friday: Very high pressure develops in the Arctic (1053 mb) This sets the stage for a major Arctic blast into Jan 6-10 period across Eastern Lower 48. pic.twitter.com/SDp2q3zFS4 — Ryan Maue (@RyanMaue) December 27, 2024
Option skew has only hit 180 once in history. That was today. The next highest level was 174 in early December. Eight out of the top ten skew readings in history are now in December. Every reading above 170 is in 2024 (blue rectangle). Wow. pic.twitter.com/MtnwoJxtI4 — Mac10 (@SuburbanDrone) December 27, 2024 Last week's rate …
Checking in on crypto … pic.twitter.com/8mgHaUHMdH — Markets & Mayhem (@Mayhem4Markets) December 26, 2024 The cryptocurrency market faced a sharp sell-off this morning, rattling investors as major assets like Polkadot (DOT) and Chainlink (LINK) suffered notable declines. This heightened volatility has reignited concerns about the stability and resilience of the decentralized finance space. https://www.marketwatch.com/data-news/large-cryptocurrencies-drop-on-polkadot-chainlink-decreases-f5dac385-6bcc987e3d17?mod=mw_latestnews
⚠️US HOUSEHOLDS STOCK ALLOCATION HIT A NEW RECORD⚠️ Americans' exposure to stocks as a % of financial assets rose to a record 43.4% in Q3 2024. The percentage has DOUBLED over the last 15 years. It has now surpassed the 2000 Dot-Com Bubble levels by 5 percentage points. pic.twitter.com/2cegQ67N3s — Global Markets Investor (@GlobalMktObserv) December …
The MEDIAN duration of unemployment is 10.5 weeks. It was Dec 2008 by the time this series hit such lofty levels, 1 full year after the recession had begun, which took @nberpubs a record 366 days to backdate By then, the recession was 12 months old. It didn’t end until Jun 2009 https://t.co/VolPahwwiQ — Danielle …
A powerful 7.4 magnitude earthquake struck Port-Vila, Vanuatu, at a depth of 10 km, sparking concerns about aftershocks and triggering a tsunami warning. Local authorities are assessing the damage, including reports that the U.S. Embassy sustained damage. Residents are urged to stay alert as emergency services respond to the unfolding situation. 🚨🇺🇸🇻🇺BREAKING: U.S. EMBASSY DAMAGED …
The global consumer is in secular decline (with an average 10:1 spending, saving, consuming capability over low-income nation consumers) …and the global low-income nation producers will have fewer and fewer customers of means to purchase their products. Few will acknowledge that a “free-market economy” amid depopulation of consumers is incompatible with a financial system that …
So why are we at all time highs? pic.twitter.com/wxMt4agzwH — JettBlast (@JettBlast00) December 15, 2024 🚨BUY-EVERYTHING ON LEVERAGE MANIA IS A WARNING🚨 Leveraged ETFs volume on US single-stocks hit $84 BILLION last week, the most on record. This value has DOUBLED in just a few weeks as trading speculation has hit insane levels.. 👇https://t.co/CLOnsa8mwt — …
BREAKING: Total US public debt hits a record $36.17 TRILLION, up $1 trillion over the last 105 days. US federal debt has risen by an average of $9.5 billion per day over the last 105 days. At the current pace, total US debt would hit $40 trillion for the first time in history by February …
by confoundedinterest17 CMBS delinquencies are on the rise. The delinquency rate for commercial mortgage-backed securities (CMBS) tied to office properties reached 10.4 percent in November 2024, approaching the 10.7 percent peak reached during the 2008 financial crisis. The ascent is the fastest two-year increase on record, with rates climbing 8.8 percentage points since late 2022, …
$VIX Lava build up . Eyes on 23 it goes and she blows. pic.twitter.com/ezjlIzk9qS — The Great Martis (@great_martis) October 10, 2024 VIX at S&P 500 all time high: pic.twitter.com/KvsULR4SY8 — Mac10 (@SuburbanDrone) October 9, 2024 GoOgleMicrosoft Both below the undercarriage.Classical churn before they resume downtrend. Cattle remain oblivious. pic.twitter.com/dterX0hgCV — The Great Martis (@great_martis) …
It’s a joke. The US took in less than $4.5T in income in 2023, yet serviced $33T in debt. The US debt was $5.6T 24 years ago (2000), but revenue was $2.025T. Interest payments were $660B in 2023 and $220B in 2000. Expected to be $890B in 2024. Point being, the US is being financed …
Samsung Electronics, the world's top maker of smartphones, TVs and memory chips, is cutting up to 30% of its overseas staff at some divisions, three sources with direct knowledge of the matter told @Reuters. Read more https://t.co/U07j1AM2pe pic.twitter.com/imSKS6qwyq — Reuters Asia (@ReutersAsia) September 11, 2024 Samsung is reportedly planning to announce some major layoffs worldwide …
Daily $VIX options just hit the highest level since 2018 Volmageddon and yet the house of cards is still standing Do you know what this means? That when things will be “serious” for real $VIX will fly The theoretical $VIX level hit in 1987 was 172.79, that’s the ATH (so far) https://t.co/KrJgjr9gp9 pic.twitter.com/i68O8zHTJQ — JustDario …
"Recession Triggered" The Everything Bubble pops as jobs collapse and the dreaded Sahm Rule triggers. Japan's implosion is icing on the cake. Morgan and Citi are now predicting a full point of rate cuts in the next 2 meetings — that qualifies as panic in Central Banking.… pic.twitter.com/pPHTDXMDMz — Peter St Onge, Ph.D. (@profstonge) August …
Governor Hairdoo. Gavin Newsom's greatest hits.pic.twitter.com/03YDfXWXxM — Citizen Free Press (@CitizenFreePres) May 7, 2024
by Chris Black The easiest solution to dealing with the loneliness and soul-crushing alienation caused by modern utopian society is to die of a fentanyl overdose. Dying from a drug overdose is a solution to the biggest challenges we face every day as a result of living in a utopia. ABC News: The overdose crisis …
