A hub for independent voices and hard truths
Trigger Warning: Chart of the Day: Citi Surprise Index vs SFR9 My hypothesis is that the US economy has begun to slow due to the long and variable lags of monetary policy finally starting to offset the positive benefits that have come from higher government deficits putting… pic.twitter.com/KP9FXPKLqH — Craig …
Applications for unemployment benefits now surge to new highs, a sign that the white-hot labor market is starting to cool off. First-time applications for unemployment benefits rose last week to 231,000, the highest level since August, per CNN. Thursday’s data also showed that the number of continuing claims, or applications …
Here is the list of the top leveraged banks. pic.twitter.com/tDrNb3kzIw — The Coastal Journal (@1CoastalJournal) May 12, 2024 Who didn’t see this coming? This is just getting started unfortunately. Almost $1 trillion of debt is rolling over in 2024 and needs to be refinanced at higher rates. Good luck with …
Gold Miners Hit 12-Month Highs 🚨 pic.twitter.com/BwNkPODSXx — Barchart (@Barchart) May 11, 2024 Gold miners reach 12-month highs, marking the first instance in 45 years where gold has been less volatile than Treasuries, signaling a shift in perception of safety in the investment landscape. This development should set off alarm …
By Martin Armstrong Home prices in the US are near all-time highs. As I repeatedly stated, we can no longer look at real estate on the national level. Demand and value are contained to certain states and areas of certain states that the public has deemed most desirable, largely due …
As Bitcoin’s price tumbles by over 22% from its peak, marking its descent into a bear market, investors face a stark reality check after a prolonged period of soaring values. With prices dipping below $60,000 for the first time since February and recording the most significant drop since November 2022, …
Gold’s surge against inflation forecasts a looming market upheaval as IMF warns of global spillovers from escalating U.S. debt levels. With yields climbing and Powell signaling prolonged rate hikes, the Fed faces a daunting task amid inflationary pressures and fiscal dominance. #Gold is breaking out versus #Inflation – A big …
The Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia’s report reveals alarming trends, with almost 3.5% of card balances overdue by at least 30 days, the highest on record. This surge in delinquencies, coupled with rising minimum payments and increased credit card balances, underscores the growing financial strain on US households. BREAKING: 🇺🇸 …
2/ On 1st Oct 2007, Gold broke out to ATH for the 1st time in 1.5 years Thereon, the US unemployment rate began rising rapidly and economy growth slowed down Which ended in the 2008 Financial Crisis pic.twitter.com/Ws5AjjTaz3 — Bravos Research (@bravosresearch) April 10, 2024 4/ Today, Gold is once …
Credit card interest rates just hit a new record high in Feb – American families are paying over $240 billion a year just in interest on this debt, before a single dime goes to paying down the principal: pic.twitter.com/N6UxBnyZcl — E.J. Antoni, Ph.D. (@RealEJAntoni) April 6, 2024 https://twitter.com/WallStreetSilv/status/1776411944087384164 https://twitter.com/StealthQE4/status/1776409323754729972 "Can …
New Home Prices are now down 20% from their highs, in bear market territory, and falling faster than rates seen in 2008. 🔥🔥🔥 Source Re:Venture Consulting pic.twitter.com/ZCSU0jgxVA — Wall Street Mav (@WallStreetMav) March 27, 2024 So far, the demand signals have only continued to decline Mortgage apps were down YoY …
Increased focus on the Japanese yen as carry trade comes to an end. Nikkei index reaches all-time highs after three decades, despite aging population and extreme debt-to-GDP ratio of over 250%. Global macroeconomic landscape experiencing significant shifts. h/t theSilverVigilante
#JustDarioDaily 🚨MORGAN STANLEY – BIG BALANCE SHEET LOSSES HIDDEN BEHIND EXOTIC DERIVATIVES CURTAINS (AGAIN)? 😳🚨 When you've spent enough time trading inside a bank and watching markets for hours a day sometimes you're able to spot if something suddenly starts behaving… https://t.co/u0OcVSS8Jq pic.twitter.com/XT4nAo6R37 — JustDario 🏊♂️ (@DarioCpx) March 7, 2024 …
Millions of American motorists are feeling pain at the pump again. Have you noticed how rapidly prices are rising lately? If you want to avoid having a major headache over the next few months, you should definitely start stocking up on fuel while prices are still relatively low because that …
High priced in growth indicates lower future expected returns. For the future, expect low price growth or price contraction if AI isn’t the cash cow the market thinks it is, all while Microsoft remains a highly profitable company that will keep paying it’s dividend. h/t ChampionshipUsed9855
The S&P 500 may be hitting a record high, but how much of the market does that actually apply to? And you look at other indexes like the iShares Micro Cap Stock Index, again, you see the same exact pattern here. Down in late 2012, early 2022, bottoms out around …
The surge in Americans holding multiple jobs, surpassing recession levels, is a red flag for economic well-being. Despite government assurances of a soft landing, the reality is stark – many are compelled to juggle multiple jobs merely to make ends meet. This disturbing trend, reaching heights not seen since past …
Starting off 2024 with: – Record U.S. debt – Record U.S. debt interest payments – Expected record U.S. Treasury issuances in 2024 – Record speculative-grade debt maturing over the next 5 years – Moody’s downgrades U.S. to "negative" from "stable" – Interest rates near… pic.twitter.com/idv0E9kdgW — Genevieve Roch-Decter, CFA (@GRDecter) …
The volatility index, $VIX, surged 14% today, marking its most significant daily jump since October 13th. This unsettling start comes as oil prices soar, the 10-year note yield approaches 4%, and the Dow experiences a 200+ point drop. Interest rate cut futures, indicating market expectations, have slightly retreated, but still …
by betsharks0 Surely nothing can go wrong here.
Women with multiple jobs on all-time highs. pic.twitter.com/5ujwXq7xCG — Swordfish (@Swordfishv44183) December 11, 2023 This economy is all about setting records. Multiple job holders hitting record highs. Another sign households are struggling. #employment pic.twitter.com/AqhwTnWvmF — Greg (@GS_CapSF) December 10, 2023
By Graham Summers, MBA What comes next for stocks? The S&P 500’s performance for the month of November 2023 was one of the best single month performances for stocks in the last 30 years. Stocks finished the month up 9.5%, a truly incredible return. The big question is “what’s next …
By Graham Summers, MBA The S&P 500 is consolidating after one of its best monthly performances in the last 30 years. Thus far in November, the S&P 500 is up 8.5%. If the month ended today, it would be one of the top 10 monthly returns for the S&P 500 …
In a harrowing turn, new home prices have plummeted by a staggering 18%, marking the most significant annual decline on record, surpassing even the depths of the 2008 financial crisis. The grim reality intensifies as builders face a crisis, with mortgage demand hitting its lowest since 1994, and housing defaults …
As Thanksgiving approaches, the financial markets reflect a robust performance, with the S&P 500 ETF ($SPY) marking an 8.8% increase for the month and a remarkable 20.3% gain for the year. The Nasdaq 100 ($QQQ) outshines, boasting an impressive 47.1% surge. Global stock funds experience a notable influx, attracting around …
by ChampionshipUsed9855 Another interesting point is that NVIDIA stock-based compensation equals 10% of its revenue. That is record high Pul/Call ratio on 2-year low:
As gold in Japan inches closer to another record-breaking high, the economic woes persist, with the country’s economy contracting at its most rapid annualized quarterly pace in two years during the third quarter. This juxtaposition underscores the prevailing economic challenges and the continued appeal of gold as a safe-haven asset …
by ChampionshipUsed9855 The probability of a recession in the next 12 months is 56.2%. This means that there is a more than 50% chance that the economy will contract in the next year. The odds are highest in over 10 years, and this has been driven by concerns about trade …
Retail beef prices in the U.S. are at record highs, pushing up prices of beef-based products from burgers to steaks and steak tartare. That’s largely thanks to a shrinking cattle supply, as well as higher input costs, market watchers told CNBC. And they don’t expect it to ease any time …
