A hub for independent voices and signals
Trigger Warning: Chart of the Day: Citi Surprise Index vs SFR9 My hypothesis is that the US economy has begun to slow due to the long and variable lags of monetary policy finally starting to offset the positive benefits that …
Applications for unemployment benefits now surge to new highs, a sign that the white-hot labor market is starting to cool off. First-time applications for unemployment benefits rose last week to 231,000, the highest level since August, per CNN. Thursday’s data …
Here is the list of the top leveraged banks. pic.twitter.com/tDrNb3kzIw — The Coastal Journal (@1CoastalJournal) May 12, 2024 Who didn’t see this coming? This is just getting started unfortunately. Almost $1 trillion of debt is rolling over in 2024 and …
Gold Miners Hit 12-Month Highs 🚨 pic.twitter.com/BwNkPODSXx — Barchart (@Barchart) May 11, 2024 Gold miners reach 12-month highs, marking the first instance in 45 years where gold has been less volatile than Treasuries, signaling a shift in perception of safety …
By Martin Armstrong Home prices in the US are near all-time highs. As I repeatedly stated, we can no longer look at real estate on the national level. Demand and value are contained to certain states and areas of certain …
As Bitcoin’s price tumbles by over 22% from its peak, marking its descent into a bear market, investors face a stark reality check after a prolonged period of soaring values. With prices dipping below $60,000 for the first time since …
Gold’s surge against inflation forecasts a looming market upheaval as IMF warns of global spillovers from escalating U.S. debt levels. With yields climbing and Powell signaling prolonged rate hikes, the Fed faces a daunting task amid inflationary pressures and fiscal …
The Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia’s report reveals alarming trends, with almost 3.5% of card balances overdue by at least 30 days, the highest on record. This surge in delinquencies, coupled with rising minimum payments and increased credit card balances, …
2/ On 1st Oct 2007, Gold broke out to ATH for the 1st time in 1.5 years Thereon, the US unemployment rate began rising rapidly and economy growth slowed down Which ended in the 2008 Financial Crisis pic.twitter.com/Ws5AjjTaz3 — Bravos …
Credit card interest rates just hit a new record high in Feb – American families are paying over $240 billion a year just in interest on this debt, before a single dime goes to paying down the principal: pic.twitter.com/N6UxBnyZcl — …
New Home Prices are now down 20% from their highs, in bear market territory, and falling faster than rates seen in 2008. 🔥🔥🔥 Source Re:Venture Consulting pic.twitter.com/ZCSU0jgxVA — Wall Street Mav (@WallStreetMav) March 27, 2024 So far, the demand signals …
Increased focus on the Japanese yen as carry trade comes to an end. Nikkei index reaches all-time highs after three decades, despite aging population and extreme debt-to-GDP ratio of over 250%. Global macroeconomic landscape experiencing significant shifts. h/t theSilverVigilante
#JustDarioDaily 🚨MORGAN STANLEY – BIG BALANCE SHEET LOSSES HIDDEN BEHIND EXOTIC DERIVATIVES CURTAINS (AGAIN)? 😳🚨 When you've spent enough time trading inside a bank and watching markets for hours a day sometimes you're able to spot if something suddenly starts …
Millions of American motorists are feeling pain at the pump again. Have you noticed how rapidly prices are rising lately? If you want to avoid having a major headache over the next few months, you should definitely start stocking up …
High priced in growth indicates lower future expected returns. For the future, expect low price growth or price contraction if AI isn’t the cash cow the market thinks it is, all while Microsoft remains a highly profitable company that will …
The S&P 500 may be hitting a record high, but how much of the market does that actually apply to? And you look at other indexes like the iShares Micro Cap Stock Index, again, you see the same exact pattern …
The surge in Americans holding multiple jobs, surpassing recession levels, is a red flag for economic well-being. Despite government assurances of a soft landing, the reality is stark – many are compelled to juggle multiple jobs merely to make ends …
Starting off 2024 with: – Record U.S. debt – Record U.S. debt interest payments – Expected record U.S. Treasury issuances in 2024 – Record speculative-grade debt maturing over the next 5 years – Moody’s downgrades U.S. to "negative" from "stable" …
The volatility index, $VIX, surged 14% today, marking its most significant daily jump since October 13th. This unsettling start comes as oil prices soar, the 10-year note yield approaches 4%, and the Dow experiences a 200+ point drop. Interest rate …
by betsharks0 Surely nothing can go wrong here.
Women with multiple jobs on all-time highs. pic.twitter.com/5ujwXq7xCG — Swordfish (@Swordfishv44183) December 11, 2023 This economy is all about setting records. Multiple job holders hitting record highs. Another sign households are struggling. #employment pic.twitter.com/AqhwTnWvmF — Greg (@GS_CapSF) December 10, 2023
By Graham Summers, MBA What comes next for stocks? The S&P 500’s performance for the month of November 2023 was one of the best single month performances for stocks in the last 30 years. Stocks finished the month up 9.5%, …
By Graham Summers, MBA The S&P 500 is consolidating after one of its best monthly performances in the last 30 years. Thus far in November, the S&P 500 is up 8.5%. If the month ended today, it would be one …
In a harrowing turn, new home prices have plummeted by a staggering 18%, marking the most significant annual decline on record, surpassing even the depths of the 2008 financial crisis. The grim reality intensifies as builders face a crisis, with …
As Thanksgiving approaches, the financial markets reflect a robust performance, with the S&P 500 ETF ($SPY) marking an 8.8% increase for the month and a remarkable 20.3% gain for the year. The Nasdaq 100 ($QQQ) outshines, boasting an impressive 47.1% …
by ChampionshipUsed9855 Another interesting point is that NVIDIA stock-based compensation equals 10% of its revenue. That is record high Pul/Call ratio on 2-year low:
As gold in Japan inches closer to another record-breaking high, the economic woes persist, with the country’s economy contracting at its most rapid annualized quarterly pace in two years during the third quarter. This juxtaposition underscores the prevailing economic challenges …
by ChampionshipUsed9855 The probability of a recession in the next 12 months is 56.2%. This means that there is a more than 50% chance that the economy will contract in the next year. The odds are highest in over 10 …
Retail beef prices in the U.S. are at record highs, pushing up prices of beef-based products from burgers to steaks and steak tartare. That’s largely thanks to a shrinking cattle supply, as well as higher input costs, market watchers told …
