We’re in a new regime: higher volatility, lower liquidity, global deleveraging. Risk assets face bigger price swings and downward pressure…. $6.4 trillion erased from global markets in the past 3 weeks.

The “pain trade” is back… That means for traders it's a good time to consider smaller position sizing, wider stops and much more discerning execution. – Smaller size to reduce total exposure – Wider stops to account for illiquid, volatile trading conditions – Discerning execution to limit overtrading — Markets & Mayhem (@Mayhem4Markets) August 6, …

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The Percentage Of Americans That Worry They Won’t Be Able To Pay Their Bills Is Higher Than It Was During The Great Recession

by Michael Do you remember how painful the Great Recession was?  2008 and the years immediately following were definitely a very dark chapter in our history, but a new study has actually found that the percentage of Americans that worry they won’t be able to pay their bills is actually higher today than it was …

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Real retail sales down 4%, declining for two years—recession looming? Consumer loans delinquencies are steadily marching higher.

Even $2Tn deficits not working? — Chart Cruncher (@NaughtonPaolo) July 16, 2024 Consumer loans delinquencies are steadily marching higher Unemployment is creeping up Corporate profits are cooling off pic.twitter.com/CsTOmBbGlm — Win Smart, CFA (@WinfieldSmart) July 15, 2024 Trucking Employment Continues to Decline The latest data on trucking employment paints a concerning picture for the transportation …

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Inflation Slows To 3.0%, But Shelter Still Rising At 5.2%, Electricity Up 4.4% (Core Prices Continue To Rise And Have Never Been Higher)

by confoundedinterest17 Are you ready? You can tell an election is on the radar since inflation numbers are settling down for the most part. According to the BLS, overall inflation fell slightly in June to 3.0%. Shelter CPI is up 5.14% YoY as M2 Money growth has been rising slowly … again. Core CPI also ‘missed’, rising just …

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Companies hope to roll unsustainable debt at lower rates after Fed cuts, but higher credit spreads loom.

Spot on. Many companies are banking on Fed cuts to ease their debt burdens, but higher credit spreads could still pose a significant risk — Blue&White (@LiorBershtling) July 11, 2024 Don’t panic, that’s the Private Equity arm of $GS not the bank 🙅🏻‍♂️ Narrator: mmmmmm…. Great catch @kshaughnessy2 👏🏻 https://t.co/nb2Qudpz7X pic.twitter.com/1DZCQZ8Ifv — JustDario 🏊‍♂️ (@DarioCpx) …

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100s Of Thousands Of People Getting Slammed With Higher Mortgage Payments!

Thousands of homeowners are facing the challenge of higher monthly mortgage payments. Specifically, those who took out adjustable-rate mortgages (ARMs) five years ago are now experiencing the unpleasant shock of significantly increased home payments. Unlike fixed-rate mortgages, ARMs offer a low introductory rate for a fixed initial period, but after that period, the rate adjusts …

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41% of consumers plan to cut restaurant spending; over 50% expect higher grocery expenses.

According to the 2024 KPMG Consumer Pulse Survey, U.S. consumers are adjusting their spending habits this summer due to inflationary pressures. Here are the key findings: Essential Goods and Services: Consumers expect to spend less on personal care products (considered essential) and restaurants, travel, and entertainment. About 21% of consumers anticipate spending more on personal care …

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Housing supply is starting to build, leading to the cooling effect on prices. Total active listings are now 35% higher than they were a year ago

Supply is starting to build, which is leading to the cooling in prices. Total active listings are now 35% higher than they were at this time a year ago, according to Realtor.com. To put that in perspective, however, even after the recent growth, inventory is still down more than 30% from typical pre-pandemic levels. “Some …

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UNEXPECTEDLY: Delivery Drivers Got Higher Wages. Now They’re Getting Fewer Orders.

Food-delivery apps have responded to cities’ new wage-increase requirements for gig workers by ratcheting up fees. Now, they are contending with frustrated consumers, plunging restaurant orders and an exodus of delivery drivers. Lawmakers in New York City, one of the cities where pay increases for delivery drivers recently were adopted, say that their changes have …

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S&P 500 forward P/E ratio near Tech Bubble peak despite higher cost of capital; Insiders relentless selling

Gravity is unrelenting and inevitably prevails. The forward P/E ratio of the S&P 500 is now nearly as high as it was at the peak of the Tech Bubble. It's understandable that during periods of euphoria, less experienced investors might claim that valuations are irrelevant. I… pic.twitter.com/wxuM2GcZ5T — Otavio (Tavi) Costa (@TaviCosta) June 20, 2024 …

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Yields eventually will rip higher due to issuance not inflation

Yields eventually will rip higher due to issuance not inflation — QE Infinity (@StealthQE4) June 14, 2024 BOSTON (Reuters) – U.S. bond market participants are worried market liquidity will keep deteriorating as the U.S. Treasury continues to issue large amounts of debt to back deficit spending while dealers struggle to keep up with the ballooning …

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Your Vote Won’t Stop Higher Taxes, And Here’s Why

No matter who’s in the White House, the federal government is facing a reckoning. Here’s why “business as usual” is over… From Peter Reagan for Birch Gold Group We already know that Bidenomics hasn’t helped American families in their economic struggles. Persistent inflation and higher taxes have already taken their toll on family budgets. Back in …

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California Wants Higher Gas Prices and EVs, Virginia Did, But Changed Its Mind

via Mike Shedlock Common sense returns to Virginia as California Governor Gavin Newsom Struggles to defend inane policy. Let’s start with Newsom and gasoline prices. In a Wall Street Journal Op-Ed, Newsom says “What people pay at the pump isn’t simple supply and demand but the result of a highly concentrated and opaque market.“ Here are the …

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Gold, copper both at all time highs, every commodity exploding higher as inflation set to storm right back.

Gold, copper both at all time highs, every commodity exploding higher as inflation set to storm right back. pic.twitter.com/8vcunH1zAF — zerohedge (@zerohedge) May 20, 2024 JUST IN: Gold prices rise to a new record high of $2,450, now up 23% in just 3 months. Gold prices are now up 35% since October, even outperforming the …

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Higher refinery costs could increase summer gasoline prices says US EIA

Average monthly prices for regular-grade retail gasoline in the U.S. could increase by more than $0.10/gal if refinery output is lower than expected, according to an analysis published by the U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA). In the EIA’s May Short-Term Energy Outlook (STEO), which serves as the Base case for analysis, the EIA forecast summer regular …

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Biden’s Misrepresentation On Trump Tax Cuts, Someone Who Is Married With Two Kids Making $85,000 Will Pay $1,700 More In Taxes (Inflation Tax Is 166% Higher Than Under Trump)

by confoundedinterest17 I doubt if Biden really understands what he is saying. He simply reads (badly) off a teleprompter. Biden has repeatedly claimed that no new taxes on anyone making less than $400,000. Remember, he has repeatedly said “You have my word as a Biden.” Which is worthless, by the way. There are TWO taxes that …

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Costs soon: Your electricity is going way way higher. EPA power plant rules will drive up energy costs and further destabilize U.S. grid.

Brace for higher electricity bills as EPA rules demand costly changes to power plants. CNN’s Bill Weir declares Biden’s coal power plant rules mark the demise of coal energy in America. Key Points: EPA requires carbon capture tech for coal plants, starting 2032, to continue operating past 2039. Carbon capture captures CO2 emissions, but costs …

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California’s $20 minimum wage hike leads to job losses, higher prices.

The ripple effects of California’s $20 minimum wage hike are becoming increasingly evident, with fast food restaurants across the state grappling with job cuts and price increases, further burdening businesses, workers, and consumers alike. California’s minimum wage increase to $20/hour has led to job losses, reduced working hours, restaurant closures, and higher prices. Fast food …

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YOU DON’T SAY: IMF’s Gopinath says high U.S. deficits fueling growth, higher interest rates.

As the IMF’s Gita Gopinath highlights the repercussions of high U.S. deficits on global economic dynamics, concerns arise over the sustainability of economic growth amid rising deficits and the need for comprehensive fiscal reforms. Important Information and Details: IMF’s Gita Gopinath highlights the impact of high U.S. deficits on global economic dynamics. U.S. deficits are …

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The TOTAL COST of being SICK from conventional food vs. the “higher” price of organic food that yields much better health and immunity

via naturalnews Got irritable bowels? You may want to know that science proves that populations consuming higher levels of pesticides also experience a higher rate of irritable bowel syndrome (IBS), according to an in-depth study published in Environmental Toxicology and Pharmacology. Yes, over 18,000 cases of IBS were studied to obtain these results. How many …

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Home prices spike again, 6 percent higher than last year.

The index for home prices increased in January at its fastest rate since November 2022 as supply constraints and inflation continue to raise prices, according to data from S&P Global. The Case-Shiller U.S. National Home Price Index increased 6.0% year-over-year in January, up from 5.6% in December, according to a press release from S&P Global. Growth in …

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