Independent thinking for complex markets and current events
The U.S. trade deficit in goods widened 22.1% to $103.6 billion in July from $84.9 billion, according to the Commerce Department’s advance estimate released Friday. The deficit was much wider than expected. Economists expected the deficit to widen to $87.7 billion, according to the Econoday research firm. “The wide fluctuations in trade flows associated with …
Before you get too bullish, be aware that $SPX is facing liquidity headwinds pic.twitter.com/YOnBnVeBRU — Cam Hui, CFA (@HumbleStudent) May 4, 2025 Keeping a close eye on volatility on Monday. Both $VIX futures and 3 month VIX futures broke the 50 day moving average on Friday. If volatility finishes the day flat that's a huge …
Fed allowed M2 to grow yet again in Mar, setting new record of nearly $21.8 trillion, or ~$3 trillion above the pre-pandemic trend; we aren’t getting back to normal, and the Trump admin will be getting ZERO help from Powell anytime soon… h/t Boo_Randy_II
The labor market is not secularly tight, robust, or whatever useless terms are thrown around on here. The headwinds continue to mount against labor. Fed policy impact having a lagged impact time on Sunbelt vs other West Coast states, but continues to be seen in openings. pic.twitter.com/svpB2tUO7i — Don Johnson (@DonMiami3) April 28, 2024
Supply-driven rising oil price could potentially cause headwinds for S&P 500 pic.twitter.com/ghrmjBFAta — Win Smart, CFA (@WinfieldSmart) April 23, 2024 Twitter is the most bullish on the economy in more than 4 years pic.twitter.com/Ypo3Z8CAQv — Win Smart, CFA (@WinfieldSmart) April 23, 2024 S&P 500 Nears Worst Month in Over a Year as Rising Yields Signal …
Just in: Average monthly payment for new vehicles financed hit an all-time high of $738 in August. (via Edmunds) — Car Dealership Guy (@GuyDealership) September 11, 2023 This kind of business failure happens when things are collapsing. They may have had bank lines pulled. Who knows but larger businesses like this don’t usually go under …