The Fed’s Housing Bubble 2.0 is toast

2/8 The amount of income you need to qualify for a mortgage has more than doubled. Logically, most of these people are left with one choice: stay in their current apartment or house, whether they like it or not. pic.twitter.com/UWrz0IxvWJ …

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Fed’s Beige Book August 2023: “Some Districts highlighted reports suggesting consumers may have exhausted their savings and are relying more on borrowing to support spending.” “Many contacts suggested “the second half of the year will be different” when describing wage growth. Ruh-roh…

by Dismal-Jellyfish https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/files/BeigeBook_20230906.pdf This report was prepared at the Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City based on information collected on or before August 28, 2023. Highlights: “Some Districts highlighted reports suggesting consumers may have exhausted their savings and are relying …

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The Fed’s “No Billionaire Left Behind” monetary policies are having their intended effect

https://twitter.com/NorthmanTrader/status/1691133559824699395 https://twitter.com/NorthmanTrader/status/1691142197314207744 Most recently, the Fed said they no longer expect a recession. JP Morgan agreed with them. Can the Fed really achieve a soft landing with 7%+ mortgages, $1 trillion in credit card debt and soaring bankruptcies? Follow us …

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Recent intra-day reversals are due to institutional dumping of tech stocks, selling to retails. The weak 30 year treasury auction + Fed’s BTFP emergency lending window at a new all time high = We are in the final countdown.

These massive intra-day reversals we've been seeing lately are a result of institutions dumping Tech stocks en masse. A process known as "distribution" i.e. selling to retail late money. Here we see (Chaikin) money flow has collapsed. Note the difference …

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In June, folks earned a bit more in, spent more, causing PCE, excluding food and energy (the Fed’s barometer for if inflation is still growing) to jump up .2% for the month and 4.1% year-over-year. Still more than DOUBLE the Fed’s target of 2%!

by Dismal-Jellyfish https://www.bea.gov/news/2023/personal-income-and-outlays-june-2023 Wut mean?: In June, people earned $69.5 billion more, which is a 0.3% monthly rise–more money earned more money to spend, adding to inflation… Prices of things people bought (PCE price index) went up slightly by 0.2%. Even …

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