A hub for independent voices and signals
The Jerome Powell era is ending with a whisper, not a bang. Today is almost certainly his final rate-setting meeting before Kevin Warsh takes the keys on May 15. The Fed is expected to hold steady at 3.50% because $111 …
BREAKING: A recession model that has predicted every single US downturn in 80 years just hit 49%. The threshold is 50%. Every time it has crossed that line, a recession followed within 12 months. No exceptions. And the data behind …
What is often overlooked is that the Fed primarily controls demand-side inflation, not supply-side inflation. In other words, it can influence how much people borrow and spend, but it cannot directly increase supply, like producing more oil. This means that …
Americans in their late 30s and early 40s can now enlist in the U.S. Army after the service raised its maximum enlistment age to 42, according to updated Army regulations published this month. The change was formalized in a document …
US asset demand shows no sign of abating. Demand for bonds rises and bond yields decline.https://t.co/MKLFCKQfrf pic.twitter.com/Y7YdQtGapA — Daniel Lacalle (@dlacalle_IA) February 14, 2026 NY Fed's Q4 GDP forecast now at 2.71% – getting closer to ATL Fed's 3.68% pic.twitter.com/zUGsltCT9n …
The Trump administration will draw down 700 law enforcement officers from Minnesota on Wednesday, border czar Tom Homan said. After that approximately 25% withdrawal, around 2,000 federal agents will remain in the state, he said. Homan announced the pullback after …
Federal investigators are zeroing in on California after a staggering $70 billion goes missing, triggering panic inside Governor Gavin Newsom’s administration as serious fraud questions mount.
The economy for the bottom 80% has been in recession for 18 years. pic.twitter.com/vuclc5haGe — Darth Powell (@VladTheInflator) January 13, 2026 57% of Americans believe the economy to be undergoing a recession, per Gallup. — unusual_whales (@unusual_whales) January 14, 2026 …
by confoundedinterest17 A good Federal Reserve don’t. Print money, that is. The Federal Reserve prints a lot of money (M2). Unfortunately, it largely benefits elites (the top 1%). The bottom 50% get some benefits, but the gains in net worth largely …
The Tim Walz comment about “war against the federal government” is beyond reckless. The Democrat Party must address its systemic hate of America & growing use of violence. https://t.co/DaJOI6kUTf — Matt Shaheen (@MattShaheen) January 8, 2026 BREAKING: Minnesota Governor, Tim …
How do fake stores pull six times the SNAP volume of a real supermarket without alarms? HOLY CRAP. Federal prosecutors just blew the lid off a $7 MILLION SNAP fraud scheme in Boston. Two Haitian nationals have been charged for …
The Trump administration will start garnishing the wages of student loan borrowers in default in early January, a spokesperson for the U.S. Department of Education confirmed to CNBC on Tuesday. It will be the first time a portion of borrowers’ …
Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland President Beth Hammack said she saw no need to change U.S. interest rates for months ahead after the central bank cut borrowing costs at its last three meetings, The Wall Street Journal reported on Sunday. …
After 17 years of money printing, the Fed is boxed in. Cut rates and inflation returns. Hold tight and risk deflation. With debt soaring and spending still hot, Brandon Smith of alt-market.com describes the next phase of this crisis… By …
https://twitter.com/NorthmanTrader/status/1998841788585365948 Fed Chair Powell: Total PCE rises rose 2.8% over the 12 months ending in September. Excluding the volatile food and energy categories, core PCE prices also rose 2.8%. These readings are higher than earlier in the year, as inflation …
by Michael For decades, an insidious Big Brother control grid has been growing and evolving all around us, and now artificial intelligence is allowing authorities to do things that they have never been able to do before. Shockingly, that includes …
“Here’s what’s going on with the Fed and Wall Street right now and it’s kinda wild when you understand the full picture (save this). The Fed created something called the Standing Repo Facility (SRF) back in 2021 as basically an …
by confoundedinterest17 Like tuna surprise (bleech!!), Fed Chair Powell announced a move towards reinvesting maturing MBS into ST Treasury bill decreasing the duration of The Fed’s balance sheet. Fed’s QT Surprise: Powell announced that maturing mortgage-backed securities (MBSs) will be reinvested into short-term …
While everyone clocked out for Friday, On October 31st, another subprime lender, Bayside Credit is no longer originating loans. We updated our clients on the impacts today. Another “isolated” event, for sure. — Unicus (@UnicusResearch) November 2, 2025 In October …
WARNING 🚨 BANKS BORROW $50 BILLION IN EMERGENCY LIQUIDITY FROM FED REPO WINDOW TODAY ‼️ 🚩 $20 BILLION THIS MORNING AND $30 BILLION MORE IN THE AFTERNOON ⚠️ CRISIS INCOMING 🚩 https://t.co/lLWvoC191y pic.twitter.com/ekoTvK6ewz — The Butcher of Wall Street Marcel …
December rate cut odds are ticking lower after Fed member warns of stagflation #MacroEdge pic.twitter.com/QHlkPIADLo — MacroEdge (@MacroEdgeRes) October 31, 2025 Fed’s Logan: WE FIND IT DIFFICULT TO CUT RATES AGAIN IN DECEMBER INFLATION IS TOO HIGH INFLATION TAKING TOO …
Authored by Lau Vegys via InternationalMan.com, Jerome Powell, the Fed’s chairman, recently gave the clearest signal yet that the Federal Reserve’s so-called “quantitative tightening” is about to end. Speaking at the National Association for Business Economics conference in Philadelphia recently, …
The National Guard is building a “quick reaction force” (QRF) of some 23,500 troops trained in crowd control and civil disturbance that can be ready to deploy to U.S. cities by early next year, according to a leaked memo reported …
The Fed’s expansion of the money supply inflates asset prices and stock portfolios, while eroding the purchasing power and standard of living of the bottom 90%. The top 10% of wealthy Americans now control 60% of the nation’s wealth America’s …
Authored by Charles Hugh-Smith via oftwominds, Only the wealthy will benefit from ZIRP, and the benefits of “the wealth effect” and “trickle down” have not just diminished–they’re now negative. Welcome to the era of ZAP. Correspondent Scott suggested I consider …
Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell said the central bank is nearing a point where it will stop reducing the size of its bond holdings, but gave no long-run indication of where interest rates are heading. Though balance sheet questions are …
🚨BREAKING — Chicago Mayor Brandon Johnson issues an executive order prohibiting ICE from using any city-owned property. pic.twitter.com/6bqaIWGZns — Election Wizard (@ElectionWiz) October 6, 2025 Chicago Mayor Brandon Johnson signed an executive order Monday blocking federal immigration agents from using …
We’re f**ked. 👀👀 https://t.co/ISfWNlDKun — Amanda Goodall (@thejobchick) October 3, 2025 AI bubble now 17 times bigger than dot-com boom and four times larger than subprime crisis, analyst warns — MarketWatch — NewsWire (@NewsWire_US) October 3, 2025 Nice bubble you've …
Something is breaking in Washington. James Comey could be facing an indictment any day, accused of lying to Congress about leaks from 2020. John Bolton had agents storm his office and take stacks of secret documents, some marked classified. These …
Authored by Mike Shedlock via mishtalk, The battle is over inflation vs jobs, two vastly different opinions. Fed governor Stephen Miran was a senior White House adviser until his confirmation to the central bank board on September 15. Miran replaced …