Independent thinking for complex markets and current events
Another day, another bracket busted. Norway beat Brazil 2 to 1 and booked a place in the quarterfinals. England escaped Mexico 3 to 2 in one of the wildest games of the tournament. Morocco cruised past Canada 3 to 0. France did just enough, beating Paraguay 1 to 0. A week ago, most people would …
by Michael It is supposed to be hot on the 4th of July, but it isn’t supposed to be this hot. Temperatures will be 20 to 30 degrees above average in much of the eastern half of the country. I warned a few days ago that we were going to experience a “4th of July furnace”, and …
This is up 10.5 percent from 717 dollars same period last year. NEADA report say this is record high because electricity prices rise and summer very hot. Since 2020 cooling costs up almost 40 percent even after inflation. One in six households already behind on utility bills. Many low income families under 50k dollars struggle …
2Y Treasury at 4.106% and climbing. Khamenei just killed the uranium transfer framework this morning. The deal trade that crashed crude yesterday is unwinding fast. Short end yields don't lie the market is repricing both the rate path and the geopolitical risk simultaneously.… — Catalyst Pit (@CatalystPit) May 21, 2026 Grok: Rising 2-year Treasury yields …
Bitcoin has begun its descent into chaos. If the pattern plays out as expected, bitcoin:native will bottom at $19,000 in October 2026. This is a warning sign that market liquidity is now drying up. The implications for the stock market are obvious. https://t.co/kZpdAT9PP9 pic.twitter.com/pikN3KMep2 — Financelot (@FinanceLancelot) May 18, 2026
Senate Republicans are pushing a bill to fund $1 billion in taxpayer dollars for Secret Service upgrades. The proposal includes security for President Trump’s ballroom at the White House. The measure comes amid ongoing threats and recent incidents. Democrats have already criticized the high cost. A billion dollars for White House security upgrades is a …
Earnings beat but everything else is collapsing now. Why would people buy houses when AI is replacing their jobs. Here are the numbers for $SPY earnings +27.8% vs +13.9% est. Big tech is absolutely smashing analyst estimates pic.twitter.com/J2ytNQYuqr — Simplifying Stocks, CPA (@FinFluentialx) May 1, 2026 Tech layoffs are skyrocketing: Tech companies announced 81,747 layoffs …
Global Decline in Birth Rates: 1950-2024 1. 🇰🇷 South Korea: 88%2. 🇨🇳 China: 83%3. 🇹🇭 Thailand: 81%4. 🇯🇵 Japan: 80%5. 🇮🇷 Iran: 75%6. 🇧🇷 Brazil: 74%7. 🇨🇴 Colombia: 72%8. 🇲🇽 Mexico: 72%9. 🇵🇱 Poland: 71%10. 🇹🇷 Turkey: 70%11. 🇷🇺 Russia: 69%12. 🇸🇦 Saudi Arabia: 69%13. 🇲🇾… pic.twitter.com/uzih4Ry86I — The Data of Everything (@TheDataHubX) May 2, …
FOMC Day 2: Fed Chair to keep rates steady at 3.50% in likely final act… Market brace for “The Warsh Pivot” as Kevin Warsh prepares May 15 takeover… Inflation ghost: High yields and $111 oil kill hope for a 2026 rate cut… Internal Fed rift: Dissent grows over “over-correcting” for the AI bubble… Fed expected …
Employees at ESPN, a brand synonymous with sports broadcasting for nearly five decades, face an uncertain future. According to John Ourand of Puck, an “unexpected revenue dip” will trigger imminent layoffs at ESPN. “I can now confirm that another round [of layoffs] is approaching,” Ourand wrote. In June 2023, ESPN announced that it had parted …
No credible sources confirm on attacks on US troops in Dubai yet. This must be fake news because trump said Iran's military is destroyed! https://t.co/6rDzYUePxh — Covie (@covie_93) March 28, 2026 Yes, right no military bases. No airspace pic.twitter.com/lBlUjXsAbo — O.V.O.K.E (@Ovokiss) March 28, 2026 Over 500 US troops targeted in Dubai strikes; heavy casualties …
Here you go, as expected. Fujairah oil terminal in UAE, a critical hub for oil exports, has been hit in retaliation pic.twitter.com/mKgXd4kr3J https://t.co/B0Seeyxqyq — JustDario 🏊♂️ (@DarioCpx) March 14, 2026 US embassy in Iraq BOMBED! air defenses have been destroyed by IRAN. BREAKING: Iranian drone strikes the US Embassy in Baghdad, Iraq, smoke seen rising …
Markets are teetering on the edge and the tension is growing by the hour. Michael Hartnett warns that if the S&P 500 falls to roughly 6,600, policymakers may feel forced to act. At the same time, Jerome Powell is expected to signal that stagflation risks are rising, meaning slower growth coinciding with higher inflation. This …
🌬️ Heavy snow and high winds continue in the Great Lakes and Northeast. 🌧️ An atmospheric river will continue to bring heavy precipitation to the Pacific Northwest and northern Rockies. 🌨️ A major winter storm will develop across the northern High Plains tonight into Saturday… pic.twitter.com/g0xjYwCmSm — National Weather Service (@NWS) March 13, 2026 🌨️Confidence …
Key statements: – “All US bases should immediately be closed in the region, those bases will be attacked” – “We will obtain compensation from the enemy. If they refuse, we will take their assets to the extent we deem appropriate, and if that is not possible, we will destroy an equivalent amount of their property” …
Trump: We did a little excursion. A couple weeks, a few weeks of excursion, had to take an excursion, but it's doing well. The market is holding up well. I figured we would be hit a little bit, but we were hit less than I thought and we will be back on track in a …
https://www.iranintl.com/en/202603020451 Holy shit… Iran is now strikcing Gulf energy infrastructure, as well as Cyprus Iran was a lot more prepared than anyone expected, and Trump/Israel canot continue this war for much longer if this goes on Energy prices are spiking And we're only at day 3 The world economy… — Mario Nawfal (@MarioNawfal) March 2, …
Waiting for updated orders and commands 🇮🇱🇮🇱🇮🇱 pic.twitter.com/L9Lmf0Ty8Q — A Vast Right-Wing Conspirator (@AVRWC) February 28, 2026
The core producer price index, which excludes volatile food and energy prices, increased a seasonally adjusted 0.8%, more than the 0.6% gain in December and well ahead of the Dow Jones consensus estimate for 0.3%. On an all-items basis, headline PPI rose 0.5%, also above the forecast for 0.3% and 0.1 percentage point more than …
Current AI chatbots "hallucinate", make up false information, at least 30% of the time. So one third of the time, the AI confidently feeds you rubbish. — StokPix (@StokPix) February 15, 2026
The reality is that both OpenAI and Anthropic are going to spend hundreds of billions of dollars just trying to out compute each other over the next decade. Instead of guessing which massive software model wins the war at a $500B+ premium, the real opportunity is buying the… — 5to9_M.J. (@5to9_MJ) February 14, 2026 $1T …
Someone getting fired for forgetting to cook the data. https://t.co/kL4Co6W9Su — TT3 (@TradingThomas3) January 30, 2026 (Kitco New) – Gold continues to see significant selling pressure and could face further headwinds as inflation in the U.S. remains persistent, with producer prices rising more than expected last month. The headline Producer Price Index (PPI) rose 0.5% …
Will rising PPI force the Fed into sudden rate hikes? So far, the best-performing assets of the Trump presidency are gold and silver. Do you think that’s a good sign? — Peter Schiff (@PeterSchiff) January 13, 2026 The Nov. PPI, a leading indicator of CPI, rose more than expected. YoY prices jumped by 3%, versus …
🚨 BREAKING TRUMP TO MAKE AN URGENT ECONOMY ANNOUNCEMENT TODAY AT 2 PM ET. EXPECT HIGH MARKET VOLATILITY!! pic.twitter.com/bVhSoG7D2Q — 0xNobler (@CryptoNobler) January 13, 2026 Based on recent reports, Trump’s 2 PM ET announcement today is a speech to the Detroit Economic Club, focusing on boosting U.S. manufacturing amid new tariffs on countries trading with …
The U.S. labor market ended 2025 on a soft note, with job creation in December less than expected, according to a report Friday from the Bureau of Labor Statistics. Nonfarm payrolls rose a seasonally adjusted 50,000 for the month, lower than the downwardly revised 56,000 in November and short of the Dow Jones estimate for …
The House on Thursday is expected to advance a three-year extension of Obamacare subsidies, sending the bill to the Senate where it faces an uphill climb. The enhanced Affordable Care Act tax credits were a key factor in the longest-ever government shutdown last fall. Their expiration at the end of 2025 led to premiums rising …
President Donald Trump said Venezuela will turn over 30 million to 50 million barrels of sanctioned oil, which will be sold at market prices. But those 50 million barrels are only the first tranche and shipments will continue indefinitely, sources close to the White House told CNBC. U.S. sanctions will be selectively rolled back as …
“4 distressed office buildings in Los Angeles, California. Brookfield and its lenders (and receivers and special servicers) are peddling four active offerings that total about 4.9M SF of Class A office space in the Financial District, roughly 18% of the total inventory. EY Plaza: Colliers is marketing the $275M, non-preforming note tied to the property …
BREAKING: September’s trade deficit stuns experts by coming in far lower than expected. EXPECTATION: -$59 BILLION REALITY: -$52 BILLION "This would be the lightest going back to, wow we're really going back. All the way back to June of 2020.” pic.twitter.com/aEmMj0LXqm — Benny Johnson (@bennyjohnson) December 11, 2025 The US trade deficit narrowed unexpectedly in …
https://twitter.com/NorthmanTrader/status/1998841788585365948 Fed Chair Powell: Total PCE rises rose 2.8% over the 12 months ending in September. Excluding the volatile food and energy categories, core PCE prices also rose 2.8%. These readings are higher than earlier in the year, as inflation for goods has picked up, reflecting the effects… pic.twitter.com/q8MPm5lCA6 — FactPost (@factpostnews) December 10, 2025 …