A hub for independent voices and hard truths
4/ Trump even stated he wouldn’t rule out a recession in 2025 That added fuel to the sell-off as investors reassess US economic growth Especially under a president who is less focused on short-term economic prosperity pic.twitter.com/M3lDTxZm1Y — Bravos Research (@bravosresearch) March 22, 2025 6/ Google Trends data shows searches …
by Michael Most Americans have absolutely no idea how we got into the mess that we are in today. The reason why the U.S. government is 36 trillion dollars in debt and our society as a whole is 102 trillion dollars in debt is because the system is performing exactly as it …
by Michael The Chinese have made enormous mountains of money by exporting cheap goods to the rest of the world, and this has given them a tremendous amount of economic power. Now they are attempting to extend their economic domination by constructing hundreds of very large self-sustaining “special economic zones” in …
by Michael As a nation, we have literally been in the process of committing financial suicide for decades. Sadly, some people have responded to the new administration’s efforts to get debt levels under control by committing acts of extreme violence. Our society is deeply addicted to debt and that must stop. …
Corporate Insiders are dumping shares at the fastest pace in AT LEAST the last 2 decades 🚨 pic.twitter.com/LyqZTw4h6N — Barchart (@Barchart) March 16, 2025 Corporate insiders are making their move. They aren’t just trimming their holdings—they’re dumping shares at a rate unseen in over twenty years. When the people running …
Corporate profits as a share of national income have increased to 15.7%, an all-time high. Compensation of employees as a share of national income is 62.1%, near an all-time low. Why has a larger share of national income accrued to corporate profits? pic.twitter.com/BdUhxNne6H — Eric Basmajian (@EPBResearch) March 13, 2025 …
WASHINGTON (AP) — Trump says he’s lifting tariffs on most goods from Mexico for 4 weeks amid economic fears from trade war. https://finance.yahoo.com/news/trump-says-hes-lifting-tariffs-163610783.html https://finance.yahoo.com/news/trump-likely-defer-tariffs-usmca-153549096.html Update: Tariffs against Canada are also paused https://finance.yahoo.com/news/trump-likely-defer-tariffs-usmca-153549096.html h/t Patrick_Liu
Legendary investor Warren Buffett discussed the economic impact of tariffs in a rare media interview published on Sunday. Buffett was interviewed by CBS News’ Norah O’Donnell as part of a documentary on Washington Post publisher Katharine Graham, and the legendary Berkshire Hathaway CEO talked about the economic impact of the …
by Michael We haven’t seen an economic shift of this magnitude in a long time. Four years of “Bidenomics” absolutely devastated the U.S. economy, and that is one of the primary reasons why Kamala Harris lost the election. The American people truly hate what has happened to the economy, and …
Donald Trump and Elon Musk are dramatically reshaping the federal government while the GOP-led Congress has passed a budget resolution to dramatically cut spending while also cutting taxes. What will the impact of these significant moves be on the economy, and will they help forestall an economic collapse driven by …
by confoundedinterest17 In appreciation of German conservatives winning in their recent election, Citi’s economic surprise index fell to -7.80 in February. This is the remnant of Biden/Democrats horrible economic policies and fear of Trump’s tariff policies. Gold, Bitcoin and the S&P 500 are doing quite well on the prospects for …
via notayesmanseconomics At the moment so many events are focused on Europe. At the present headlines are being created by the war in Ukraine and possible changes as to how that may play out. On its own it poses challenges as in the new situation both the Euro area and …
January saw a sharp pullback in consumer spending, suggesting a potential slowdown in economic growth, according to a Commerce Department report released Friday. Retail sales dropped 0.9% for the month, following an upwardly revised 0.7% gain in December.. Much worse than the expected 0.2% dip. These figures are adjusted for …
Tariffs on Mexico and Canada begin on February 1, or do they? Whether President Trump is merely posturing or not, the threat is real and the situation globally they would be starting from makes for a difficult mix. That’s why the dollar is rising, rates are falling, and real economy …
by Mike Shedlock A group of 76 economists upped their inflation forecasts through 2027. Trump’s Return Nudges Economists’ Inflation Outlook Higher The Wall Street Journal reports Trump’s Return Nudges Economists’ Inflation Outlook Higher Economists are starting to model the effects of President-elect Donald Trump’s plans to raise tariffs, cut taxes and …
The common prediction that the Federal Reserve will cut rates as a response to an economic downturn due to high interest rates misses a significant global economic factor: the widespread collapse of major currencies, driven by governments’ heavy spending to fend off recessions. This scenario complicates the traditional narrative of …
Germany factory orders fell 5.4% in November from October, WAY above the 0.2% drop expected. A significant decrease in large-scale orders drove the weakness. German manufacturing has been in a recession for over 2.5 YEARS. ⚠️ANOTHER WEAK ECONOMIC DATA FROM GERMANY⚠️ Germany factory orders fell 5.4% in November from October, …
by notayesmanseconomics This morning economic eyes are again looking East. Let us start with this from the Financial Times. China’s regulators sought to reassure markets on Monday as equities and the renminbi extended losses in a rocky start to the year, following weak economic data and geopolitical uncertainty ahead of …
by CyberInu4200 Need smooth brained ppl to comment. When you look at post 2008 (GFC) there was a relatively stable uptrend till 2020. After that we pretty much saw the stimulus check bubble burst in 2022 and now I could somewhat see the AI bubble burst later on. Not really based …
Recession dont exist in a AI market, its a thing of the past. Economic textbooks are being rewritten. White-Collar Recession: A Warning Sign A white-collar recession often serves as a precursor to a broader market downturn. Similar trends were observed in 2000 and 2008, both of which were followed by …
Private jobs are in full economic collapse already https://t.co/Id684m0Ubw — Darth Powell (@VladTheInflator) December 30, 2024 Way overstretched. The correction is going to be historic. https://t.co/bTDpnWMbqN — Uncle Milty’s Ghost (@his_eminence_j) December 31, 2024 Every time corporate insider buying reaches elevated levels, it has often coincided with stock market bottoms …
Remember how I warned you all that after the election, we'd suddenly start getting "surprise" and "unexpected" downward revisions on all of the allegedly glowing economic numbers? 😎 Now watch corporate earnings and forward estimates revise down. — Uncle Milty’s Ghost (@his_eminence_j) December 30, 2024 PAY ATTENTION. Warning signs are …
Because while the economy looks solid, it's built on debt, inflation, and overvalued assets. Add in rising interest rates and global instability, and the conditions are ripe for a sharp correction, even in a seemingly strong market. — Rooted_In_Reality (@realonesknow87) December 30, 2024 Trump Just said we are heading to …
by Michael All over America, our core urban areas are teeming with tent cities, hordes of homeless drug addicts, and vast throngs of newly arrived migrants that don’t have anywhere to go. When I wrote about this topic one year ago, homelessness in the U.S. was at an all-time record …
Economic data keeps surprising to the downside!! Citi Surprise Index 👇 pic.twitter.com/DPdKUV0ji2 — James E. Thorne (@DrJStrategy) December 29, 2024 They are currently 10 million Americans who are delinquent on their student loans. On January 1, they are going to start seeing their credit scores deteriorate. Not a good outcome …
My take is that 30yr mortgage is in a pause before heading higher. — Alistair (@kiwiangloameric) December 21, 2024 BREAKING: 30 year average US mortgage rates are above 7% again, per Mortgage News Daily. — unusual_whales (@unusual_whales) December 21, 2024 $500 billion for 5 days? 🤨 https://t.co/RkcFxJ0OGq pic.twitter.com/NXfcFpSr3f — Financelot …
https://twitter.com/MXAddict/status/1867588810462171277 Over 1,800 CEOs have resigned in 2024, making this the highest year of CEO exits on record #MacroEdge — MacroEdge (@MacroEdgeRes) December 13, 2024
by Michael The number of job openings in the United States has been “falling off a cliff”, and that is a major red flag. The last four years have been an economic nightmare for most Americans, and that is one of the primary reasons why Donald Trump won the election. But as …
By Egon von Greyerz As we approach what usually should be a blissful holiday period, the treacherous path the world is now on does not bode well for 2025 and beyond. Two global crises will dominate the world for at least several years and possibly decades. FINANCIAL CRISIS The crisis …