Independent thinking for complex markets and current events
by TonyLiberty The fact that cash now provides a better return on investment suggests a significant change in market dynamics in terms of risk vs. reward. When cash is paying a higher yield than stocks, it means that investors are willing to accept a lower return on their investment in order to have access to …
Tesla reported third-quarter results after the bell Wednesday. The company’s shares rose as much as 2.4% in extended trading after the report crossed, but then sank more than 4% after CEO Elon Musk cautioned that the Cybertruck would not deliver significant positive cashflow for 12 to 18 months after production begins, and emphasized that the …
pic.twitter.com/BTKEqWGsmi — DreadyBear (@DreadyBear) October 17, 2023 Beige Book pic.twitter.com/3eHwN6EZMm — Win Smart, CFA (@WinfieldSmart) October 19, 2023 #recession … #GFC2 #Transports edition#Freight #Logistics #Trucking 📉 🥶 https://t.co/0T1cLhA5l8 pic.twitter.com/oJbgD7uB5x — Invariant Perspective (@InvariantPersp1) October 19, 2023 U.S. #economic forecasts across Wall Street, Main Street, and C-Suite for 2024. 84% of #CEOs expect a #recession next …
As companies face increasing costs and other challenges, corporate earnings might soon start to fall, and this could impact the stock market during an important earnings season. Now is not the time to disregard this chart during what could be the most important earnings season of this business cycle. Corporate earnings are currently at a …
https://twitter.com/Kacper_PK_CH/status/1713631923891745067 https://twitter.com/JustinRose/status/1713736857622651300
by AmazedVein64 JP Morgan’s earnings beat this quarter tells only the rosy part of an otherwise devolving picture. JP Morgan reported a new net debt position on their balance sheet of $42 billion dollars, and they have taken out new debt that they owe other banks and investors over the long term up to levels …
Source: BlackRock 2023 global outlook Q4 update https://www.blackrock.com/us/individual/literature/whitepaper/bii-global-outlook-in-charts.pdf The S&P 500 earnings yield is a measure of how much income investors are receiving per dollar invested in the stock market. It is calculated by dividing the total earnings of the companies in the index by the price of the index. As you can see from the …
https://t.co/r1fajgbAWx — Win Smart, CFA (@WinfieldSmart) October 6, 2023 But how about this? Are they forced to realize? https://t.co/3waHF3dHho — Win Smart, CFA (@WinfieldSmart) October 6, 2023 Bank Earnings in One Week:Place Your Bets or Brace For Impact?! "US bank stocks are the market’s Achilles heel just now. They need to participate in any recovery …
by B3stAuD1t0rofA11tiME There is no way in hell they hit the expected EPS of 3.50 after reporting 3.29 in Q2 before the password crackdown was fully baked in These idiots thought the college kids returning to campus after watching Netflix all summer on mommy and daddy’s account were going to sign up When you have …
From the WSJ: A surge in interest rates likely worsened unrealized losses on bonds and loans held by U.S. banks in the third quarter, further straining their balance sheets as they face pressure to pay more to keep depositors. Unrealized losses were a key cause of Silicon Valley Bank’s failure in March, which spurred other …
Analysts are repeating the same mistake made during the 2008 Financial Crisis by revising earnings upwards despite a contraction in leading economic indicators, raising major warning signals. The US is experiencing deficit spending near 10% of GDP, reaching levels last seen in 2008, yet the Fed maintains that there is no recession in sight, leading …
by confoundedinterest17 You know Bidenomics isn’t working at all when the best I can say about it is … the current housing bubble isn’t as bad as the house price bubble of 2006. We are truly in Biden’s ShamWow economy! Yes, if I look at real home prices less real median earnings we can see that …
by confoundedinterest17 We are livin’ la vida Bidenomics! The 30-year conforming mortgage rate is currently 7.23%, up 161% under Biden and Bidenomics (code for massive Federal spending on green initiatives that go to large Democrat donors and Ukrainian oligarchs). Meanwhile, M2 Money supply is up 9.4% under Biden. At the same time. home prices are …
1970s inflation vs 2020s inflation: When you compare the inflation rates from 1972-1976, it’s almost identical to today. However, 2 years later we saw inflation spike to 11%. The peak inflation rate in the 1970s aligns perfectly with the 2022 peak. Are we about to see another… pic.twitter.com/SXwTUEdhh2 — The Kobeissi Letter (@KobeissiLetter) August 24, …
AI is a 100% Silicon Valley/Wall Street/CNBS manufactured scam. Europe is negative, the Dow will likely open negative. Here is what it looks like when cyclicals get monkey hammered by Powell and the AI hype cycle. pic.twitter.com/1C7OxH5ZTn — Mac10 (@SuburbanDrone) August 24, 2023 $NVDA gives up earnings gains pic.twitter.com/T2AnqRuwzA — Don Johnson (@DonMiami3) August 24, …
Lord give me the confidence of an investor piling into NVDA at 226x trailing PE ahead of earnings being released. pic.twitter.com/kNSGxq1RLd — Genevieve Roch-Decter, CFA (@GRDecter) August 21, 2023 What was their total position size? — Genevieve Roch-Decter, CFA (@GRDecter) August 21, 2023 Material change ! — Genevieve Roch-Decter, CFA (@GRDecter) August 21, 2023 $NVDA …
via WSB trader: esterday was the final Friday before NVDA’s earnings report. Honestly, I don’t even want to speculate about how it’ll turn out. What I do know is that, regardless of the outcome, I’ll have an edge against both those betting on the continuation of the AI rally and those anticipating a bubble burst. I’ve …
NEW — Target Posts First Quarterly Revenue Miss In Six Years, Citing Inflation and Consumer Boycotts “Target CEO Brian Cornell pointed to macro pressures including inflation for tempering sales but also ‘negative guest reaction to our pride collection’…The last time Target’s… pic.twitter.com/j7beojNROF — Chief Nerd (@TheChiefNerd) August 16, 2023 Target Sales Dipped in Last Quarter …
by AdMaleficent2789 I believe the AI “bubble” will not “pop”, but the recent two weeks is the first real dip we have seen YTD and causing people to rethink everything that has worked the past 6 months (nothing, just holding). It has gotten myself to question my positions in NVDA, PLTR, AI etc… I feel …
by confoundedinterest17 “Bidenomics is indeed working!” claims Karine Jean-Pierre. “Cost is going down … wages going up, that is Bidenomics.” Excuse me Karine. REAL weekly earnings growth remains negative as inflation outpaces weekly earnings growth. As of Q2 2023, REAL median weekly earnings growth is a dismal -3.57% YoY. And if you are black, Bidenomics …
The Omaha-based conglomerate’s operating earnings totaled $10.043 billion last quarter, 6.6% higher than the figure from the same quarter a year ago. Net income totaled $35.91 billion, compared with a $43.62 billion loss during the second quarter last year. Berkshire’s massive cash pile grew to $147.377 billion at the end of June, near a record …
If we continue repeating the 2020 pattern a rally should begin today and last until August 18th OpEx. I'm guessing Apple and Amazon's after-hours earnings reports will be the narrative. https://t.co/KjjSGWQMd0 — Financelot (@FinanceLancelot) August 3, 2023 The narrative for market crashes must have 3 elements: 1) It affects everyone2) Generates widespread fear3) It's something …
by confoundedinterest17 President Jimmy Carter is usually the bar for terrible Presidents. Under Carter, the US experienced economic stagnation and soaring inflation. At least it led to the election of Ronald Regan! So, Biden’s much mentioned Bidenomics have produced REAL MEDIAN WEEKLY EARNINGS FOR MEN that is currently below 1979 levels under Jimmy Carter. Even …
via WSB These are my AAPL options. There are many like them, but these ones are mine. My AAPL options are my best friend. They are my life. I must master the market as I must master my life. My AAPL options, without me, are useless. Without my AAPL options, I am useless. I must …
by WarrenBuffe Community Banks to Face Margin and Earnings Pressures in 2023 – Rising Rates and Liquidity Crunch Shift the Landscape for US Banks https://www.spglobal.com/marketintelligence/en/news-insights/research/community-banks-margins-earnings-squeezed-by-liquidity-crunch https://www.spglobal.com/marketintelligence/en/news-insights/research/liquidity-pressures-put-funding-in-the-crosshairs-at-community-banks
Earnings beyond the US are picking up, but whether this is organic growth or the product of a falling dollar is unclear, because the MSCI earnings estimates are all quoted in dollars. With the DXY decisively breaking through support, it likely is a factor to some degree. pic.twitter.com/Bwqyv4dEqu — Jurrien Timmer (@TimmerFidelity) July 19, 2023 …
https://www.cnbc.com/2023/07/19/tesla-tsla-earnings-q2-2023.html Tesla reported earnings after the bell. Here are the results. Revenue: $24.93 billion. That may not compare with the $24.47 billion expected by Refinitiv. Earnings: 91 cents per share adjusted. That may not compare with the 82 cents per share expected by Refinitiv. During the first quarter of 2023, Tesla reported revenue of $23.33 …
High interest rates continue to cause rapid inflows to money market funds from bank deposits This should put pressure on banks causing them to maintain tight lending standards pic.twitter.com/wzZaFSQKjW — Bravos Research (@bravosresearch) July 19, 2023 Beware: Falling inflation is a major headwind to earnings, since the latter is calculated on a nominal basis pic.twitter.com/6pfHKixGLd …
