Independent thinking for complex markets and current events
JNK vs. SPXEarly warning sign that the market rebound has peaked pic.twitter.com/LCtMWAtdE4 — The Maverick of Wall Street (@TheMaverickWS) May 2, 2025 Something is broken that the S&P 500 can rally 90 bps on 19k contracts. Its a fk'n joke pic.twitter.com/9d4gcjdzWt — Michael J. Kramer (@MichaelMOTTCM) May 2, 2025 Liquidity in the S&P 500 futures …
Bloomberg — Ukraine is ready to sign a natural resources deal with the US, a person familiar with the matter said, in a move that could bolster Washington’s support for Kyiv by strengthening their economic partnership. The draft agreement, which envisages creating a joint fund to manage Ukraine’s investment projects, has been finalized and may be signed …
https://twitter.com/newstart_2024/status/1909996115799273649
“My advice to foreign leaders is that if you have not already reached out to President @realDonaldTrump , you need to do so immediately. Trump is, at his core, a dealmaker who sees the world as a series of transactions. Based on his track record to date with foreign governments, law firms, and universities, he …
by Mike Shedlock Across-the-board tariffs of up to 20% are back on the table ahead of April 2 “Liberation Day”. Trump Team Weighs Broader, Higher Tariffs Futures were down sharply overnight on still more conflicting tariff statements from Trump. As I type the Dow is back in the green and the S&P has recovered most …
It looks like a bull flag has formed in CDX HY spread. If that's the case, the real fun is about to start. pic.twitter.com/RuFD8oObMP — Michael J. Kramer (@MichaelMOTTCM) March 26, 2025 So far, the “buy the dip” behavior from retail is very similar to Q1 2022. The $SPX didn’t bottom until Q4 2022. $SPY …
ortugal’s minority government lost a confidence vote in parliament Tuesday, forcing its resignation and bringing the European Union country’s third general election in three years. The government’s fall marks the worst spell of political instability since Portugal adopted a democratic system more than 50 years ago in the wake of the 1974 Carnation Revolution, which …
An early glimpse into Federal jobless claims for next week. https://t.co/iQA4MzwneI pic.twitter.com/QXt3SmTgGd — Anna Wong (@AnnaEconomist) March 7, 2025 Massive spike in job cut announcements pic.twitter.com/06LUZwwXjQ — Peter Berezin (@PeterBerezinBCA) March 6, 2025
JUST IN: Discord is reportedly in early talks about going public through an IPO – Financial Times pic.twitter.com/PaArrKIy34 — Evan (@StockMKTNewz) March 6, 2025 Discord, a social media and messaging app loved by gamers, that “allows users to chat via voice, video, or text,” has held discussions with bankers recently “to discuss preparations for an …
$SPY first-hour trading volume was notably high, with approximately 24 million shares exchanged. A similar pattern occurred on December 30, 2024, when SPY experienced a gap down at the open, followed by two consecutive green hourly candles, before declining further later in the session. This historical context suggests that despite initial buying interest, the market …
Investing early and consistently can have a profound impact on your financial future. The power of compound interest means that the sooner you start investing, the less you need to save each month to reach your financial goals. Conversely, waiting to invest can significantly increase the amount you need to set aside. Let’s explore the …
I believe we are currently in the ‘Anxiety’ stage. The great bear market has begun at the start of 2025 🐻 byu/Fun_Slip_4350 inWallStreetbetsELITE Stock market facing poor breadth, overvaluation, rising interest rates, trade war risks, and problems with Apple & Nvidia. The stock market is suffering from horrible breadth, massive overvaluation, pressure from sharply rising …
Mining stocks: 10+ years of bleeding out. "The longer the base, the higher in space." The breakout will be epic. pic.twitter.com/yIR1lMl3DJ — GoldSilver HQ (@GoldSilverHQ) January 4, 2025 Silver could make a quick run towards $38 by late February or early March then pullback and then start a long anticipated run towards all-time high… pic.twitter.com/KvvzwuIs8d …
California’s job market worsens: employment drops, unemployment rises, labor force shrinks. https://t.co/ANUo7WJBMK — WarnTracker 2.0 (@j77324) December 20, 2024 Nevada’s labor market shows recession signs: employment declines monthly since June. It 100% is. The entire situation is just getting worse, and frankly, nothing is being done besides tax abatements that aren't doing much. They should …
This is concerning: Auto loan early delinquency rates jumped to 8.12% in Q3 2024, the highest in 13 years. Serious delinquency rates surged to 2.90%, also the highest in 14 years. 90+ day delinquencies are now just 58 basis points below the record levels seen in 2009. In 2024, auto loan delinquencies have risen at …
#recession … #StockMarket Bubble edition https://t.co/vl8Sc7lSwq — Invariant Perspective (@InvariantPersp1) November 22, 2024 #recession … #GFC2 US edition https://t.co/5LZ6pkEmk0 — Invariant Perspective (@InvariantPersp1) November 22, 2024 There is also a divergence between the SP500 and the HY Bond A-D Line. Read more about this topic from 2022 at https://t.co/x35ebJJ6Od. https://t.co/qmvpv2h4eH pic.twitter.com/EOTvWebFAU — Tom McClellan (@McClellanOsc) …
Former VP Press Sec Marc Lotter: “The math doesn’t work. The Democrats are down 1.7 million early votes in the battleground states. In urban areas, they are down 1.4 million votes.” Former VP Press Sec Marc Lotter: "The math doesn't work. The Democrats are down 1.7 million early votes in the battleground states. In urban …
BREAKING: Florida Republicans Cast 800,000 MORE Ballots Than Democrats Ahead Of Election Day In Early Voting Where Dems Normally Win. https://t.co/hNrurR7I35 — John Basham (@JohnBasham) November 5, 2024
BREAKING: Former Obama Campaign manager sounds the alarm for Kamala! “The early vote numbers are scary.” “Republicans didn't do what they did last time.” “Republicans do have an advantage in early vote numbers. When the early vote come in… that's scary.” We have them on… pic.twitter.com/ztC5JHlIJV — Gunther Eagleman™ (@GuntherEagleman) November 3, 2024
Polymarket panic sellers look pretty stupid right about now 🤣 AtlasIntel was the most accurate pollster last election. If everyone votes, Trump wins in historic fashion! — Matt Wallace (@MattWallace888) November 3, 2024
Yield erosion accelerates. Dow jones breaches 3 months trend line Nasdaq Double top . Semiconductors Down 13% from A/T high. Gold forewarning. Cattle misdirected with hope and bullish narrative. DXY up 5% from low. The $VIX forewarning. God bless and Godspeed. Yield erosion accelerates.Dow jones breaches 3 months trend lineNasdaq Double top .Semiconductors Down 13% …
114,545 Michigan voters have cast 279,113 ballots from multiple addresses across the state resulting in 164,568 excess ballots as of 10/29/2024, including one ‘voter ID’ casting 29 votes Link to the X post here:https://x.com/mdeperno/status/1851652442288464365 While most people arent paying close attention, there’s a vicious battle going on right now between fraudsters and people desperately trying …
WATCH: Hillary Clinton says Trump is holding a rally at Madison Square Garden to “reenact” Hitler’s rally in 1939 🤡pic.twitter.com/u9Pes1cm4s — Breaking911 (@Breaking911) October 25, 2024 A history lesson for Hillary Clinton from inside Madison Square Garden pic.twitter.com/p2mQ4trrPn — Katie Pavlich (@KatiePavlich) October 27, 2024 Reminder. pic.twitter.com/7OyHVmwL8T — 🇺🇸✦ᎬᎠ✦🇺🇸 (@Edfleet75) October 27, 2024 Katie Pavlich …
I will be willing to bet that almost every single human being has felt uncomfortable when puberty hit. I will be willing to bet that a lot of kids had thoughts of “I wish I was a boy/girl, they have more fun”. Almost every one of us will settle down eventually and get on with …
CHIMNEY ROCK, West Virginia — Blue-collar workers prevailed over bureaucracy in Hurricane Helene-ravaged North Carolina by rebuilding a highway at breakneck speed on their own terms – allowing residents to finally return home. Coal miners from West Virginia – whom locals have lovingly dubbed the “West Virginia Boys” – moved a mountain in just three …
🚨 JUST IN: The early voting data in Nevada is so bad for Democrats that Trump has SURGED to a 65% chance of winning there. Kamala has plummeted to only 35%. pic.twitter.com/nbszpw3FQv — Eric Daugherty (@EricLDaugh) October 23, 2024 It must reach 69%, as foretold in the prophecy https://t.co/oR8p1ZiRha — Elon Musk (@elonmusk) October 22, …
Yes, so we're tracking the frequency of voters to see which ones are voting. A voter is dropped into a bucket depending on how many votes they've cast in the last three general elections (2018, 2020, 2022) Right now, the GOP is getting more of its new voters out (zero bucket),… pic.twitter.com/NRdTS3bAVS — Michael Pruser …
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=G5dgq9oCp1U
"Americans are consuming more capital than they produce. US national net savings by households, businesses and the government have been negative since 1Q23, for only the third time since 1947. The other two times were 2008-11 and 2020." Gavekal pic.twitter.com/jWUcaT66Md — Win Smart, CFA (@WinfieldSmart) September 18, 2024 BREAKING: Total consumer credit jumped by $25.5 …
Using OECD average wages, Americans make 80% more than Europeans. The last time it was this extreme was at the turn of the century. European stocks went on to outperform through 2007, seemingly due to wage competitiveness and the EUR rebound. Whether it repeats, I don't know. pic.twitter.com/DECIDMXTEN — Jeff Weniger (@JeffWeniger) September 13, 2024 …