Independent thinking for complex markets and current events
Big GDP downgrade shows growth slowing faster than expected. Market may price in more Fed rate cuts soon. This adds fuel to recession fears even if not full crash. Atlanta Fed slashes Q2 GDP growth forecast from 3 percent to 1.2 percent. Source: https://www.atlantafed.org/research-and-data/data/gdpnow
Chicago homeowners are getting HAMMERED with $700 higher property tax bills so the Hyatt Regency could pocket a $150 MILLION break. And guess who owns Hyatt? JB Pritzker’s family. You pay more. His empire pays less. pic.twitter.com/KVPWFIU5IR — Darren Bailey (@DarrenBaileyIL) January 20, 2026 Factcheck: Partially. The Pritzker family owns a major stake in Hyatt …
Prosecutors in California will file murder charges against Nick Reiner, the younger son of Rob Reiner and Michele Singer Reiner, Los Angeles County District Attorney Nathan Hochman said Tuesday. Hochman said his office is expected to file two counts of first-degree murder with a special circumstance alleging multiple murders Tuesday afternoon. Nick Reiner also faces …
The correlation is not perfect every time, but it is well-supported by data and market behavior over multiple cycles. One more final push and bonds switch to bullish. Here's the 10Y. Right on the edge of resistance.$TLT pic.twitter.com/ZJly6dvUAe — Fibonacci Investing⚡️ (@FibonacciInves1) June 24, 2025 You are here. Right before a HUGE Fed rate cut …
Nasdaq 100: Risk off! The 5-week MA just crossed below the 50-week MA. Last time this happened, we saw a continuation of the downward trend. pic.twitter.com/ZNfIy7bXmR — Guilherme Tavares (@i3_invest) March 31, 2025 Ignore the mass layoffs, they’re not the story. Capital is rotating into oil, aerospace & defense – a lot of short-cycle, defensive …
Downward #earnings revisions have been outpacing upward revisions. As you know,we have been stating for quite a while that #estimates were way to high and would have to adjust lower for #economic realities.H/T @sentimentrader pic.twitter.com/rzDVOxozSy — Lance Roberts (@LanceRoberts) March 31, 2025 BofA says trend followers have been ramping up US equity "SHORTS" ahead of …
Buckle up. The market might not be as stable as it looks. **SPY/TLT (MY BAD)!!😬 — Guilherme Tavares (@i3_invest) February 26, 2025 Maybe it's just coincidence, but this chart seems too significant to ignore. The consumer discretionary-to-staples ratio just formed a near-perfect double top, revisiting late-2021 levels. In my view, this is likely the beginning of a …
Remember how I warned you all that after the election, we'd suddenly start getting "surprise" and "unexpected" downward revisions on all of the allegedly glowing economic numbers? 😎 Now watch corporate earnings and forward estimates revise down. — Uncle Milty’s Ghost (@his_eminence_j) December 30, 2024 PAY ATTENTION. Warning signs are EVERYWHERE. https://t.co/BiwXM5MWdj — Uncle Milty’s …
Something doesn’t add up here: Downward economic data revisions have become the new normal. So far, US industrial production data has been revised down in 9 out of the last 10 months. Meanwhile, Job openings have been revised downward in 15 out of the last 20 months. As for the labor market, monthly jobs reports …
Do Not use OZEMPIC. Period.Skeletal Sharon Osbourne, 72, 'On Irreversible Downward Spiral' After Ozempic Use: 'It's Totally Wrecked Her Metabolism and There Is No Going Back' via @radar_online https://t.co/9Atc2Ewe2W — BigSkyRambler (@BigSkyRambler) November 18, 2024 Sharon Osbourne has sparked health concerns once again due to her Ozempic use with one pal commenting: “It’s wrecked her …
via Reuters A look at the day ahead in Asian markets. If deepening gloom around China and a surging Japanese yen are the local market drivers in Asia, the Fed’s upcoming interest rate decision hangs heavily over world markets as growing hopes for a 50 basis point cut push the dollar to new lows for …
WARNING: Labor market conditions index has been steadily declining This systematically happens prior to recessions pic.twitter.com/w3YYWHR566 — Bravos Research (@bravosresearch) August 26, 2024 US firms’ ‘low firing’ approach may turn to more layoffs, Fed’s Barkin tells BBG WASHINGTON, Aug 26 (Reuters) – The “low-hiring, low-firing” approach that U.S. businesses currently take to their employment decisions …
Between the ongoing sugar hangover from their onanistic coverage of Obama Night at the 2024 Democratic National Convention, and the anticipation of speeches from President Bill Clinton and the Governor of Stolen Valor, the Regime Media evening newscasts mostly neglected to report on a piece of data that is potentially damaging to the electoral prospects …
The “pain trade” is back… That means for traders it's a good time to consider smaller position sizing, wider stops and much more discerning execution. – Smaller size to reduce total exposure – Wider stops to account for illiquid, volatile trading conditions – Discerning execution to limit overtrading — Markets & Mayhem (@Mayhem4Markets) August 6, …
$AMZN AMAZON Q2 2024 EARNINGS EPS $1.26, EST. $1.04 NET SALES $147.98B, EST. $148.78B OPERATIONS INCOME $14.67B, EST. $13.59B OPERATIONS MARGIN 9.9%, EST. 9.13% AWS NET SALES $26.28B, EST. $25.98B AWS NET SALES EX FX +19%, EST. +17.2% NORTH AMERICA NET SALES $90.03B, EST.… — FinancialJuice (@financialjuice) August 1, 2024 Amazon, $AMZN earnings: EPS $1.26 …
New month, same trend! #Germany's industrial production declined again in May. The level remains 15% lower than the peak of 2017! pic.twitter.com/DEIhyzExjr — jeroen blokland (@jsblokland) June 7, 2024
Job openings in the US for the previous month were just revised down by 115,000 jobs. 12 of the last 14 job openings reports have been revised lower after the fact. Economists in D.C. project strength in the initial headline, then quietly lower it a month later. Fake economy. pic.twitter.com/Z0yovx0unK — Joe Consorti (@JoeConsorti) April …
Pierre Lassonde, Former Chair WGC 2005-2008 • Despite the record high gold price, interest in gold is not present in America but is in China and India. • Central banks in China and India have bought 1,200 tons of gold last year, one third of all gold produced every year. • The gold ETF has …
In a world inundated with headlines and media narratives, it’s crucial to question the numbers presented to us. Recent revelations about jobs reports paint a concerning picture, revealing a pattern of deception to meet political agendas and manage public perception. According to Zerohedge, 10 of the last 11 months have witnessed downward revisions in jobs …
Jobs report is out: October is lower than expected, plus more downward revisions from initial reported numbers. Unemployment is also up. 34% of reported jobs gained were in government, while manufacturing lost 35,000 jobs. View post on imgur.com Unemployment among Hispanic workers rises at faster pace in October than overall rate Among Hispanic Americans, the …
via reuters: LONDON, Oct 2 (Reuters) – Hedge funds using computers to trade equities are expecting to start selling to the tune of $20 billion to $30 billion in the next two weeks given retreating stock markets, a UBS (UBSG.S) note seen by Reuters shows. Hedge funds using algorithms to follow market trends have turned …
The market is on the brink of a weekly bearish MACD cross Signaling a downward shift in momentum This week's close will be crucial pic.twitter.com/XH14SmzsSU — Bravos Research (@bravosresearch) August 17, 2023 MARKETS ABSOLUTELY POLEAXED INTO THE CLOSE; CORRECTION TERRITORY FOR EQUITIES LOOMS * — The_Real_Fly (@The_Real_Fly) August 17, 2023 The S&P 500 just broke …
*SAUDI PLANS NEW OIL CUTS AS PART OF OIL DEAL It’s important to note here that every Saudi cut = loss of market share + subsidy for other producers Saudi’s tried this up until 2015 to support prices until they realized they were losing huge mkt share & opened flood gates pic.twitter.com/fqkZXSTiXe — Adem Tumerkan …
