Independent thinking for complex markets and current events
Beijing cracks open on producer prices, China PPI surges 1.7 percent mom and ends the deflation run, last domino falls hard into 2026. 1.7 percent mom producer price spike ends the long deflation party, China factories crank costs higher, last domino tumbles while global buyers get the bill. They swore deflation was permanent, now look …
Just like the dot com bubble in 1999 where Nasdaq valuations went parabolic on internet hype before the brutal crash. Make no mistake: It IS the largest asset bubble in human history. https://t.co/16W9PBcNIZ — Uncle Milty’s Ghost (@his_eminence_j) April 29, 2026 Nvidia is the Cisco of this generation. They sell real products but the main …
Cracks in the US private credit market are widening: Investors requested a record -$14.0 billion in redemptions from private credit funds in Q1 2026. This is up +146% from -$5.7 billion in Q4 2025 and +278% higher than the -$3.7 billion in the full year 2024. Meanwhile, just… pic.twitter.com/wBJ3bUSW1X — The Kobeissi Letter (@KobeissiLetter) April …
Jim Ferguson @JimFergusonUK 🚨 BREAKING: CRACKS APPEARING IN THE FINANCIAL GIANTS For the first time in its history, BlackRock’s $26 billion HPS Corporate Lending Fund is facing major withdrawal pressure. Investors requested $1.2 billion in redemptions in a single quarter — more than 9% of the fund’s total assets. That’s nearly double the 5% threshold …
AI productivity bubble: Early adopters are already burning out. “There will be a wake up call and a reckoning for entire sectors who are adopting AI.” Natasha Bernal. pic.twitter.com/raHUrKMIgp — Ewan Morrison (@MrEwanMorrison) February 17, 2026 The market is EXTREMELY confused right now. Software like $ADBE and $CRM are getting nuked because of AI risk. …
👇📌TLDR: For those short on time: * Life insurers hold more junk debt than 2007 subprime bonds * Private credit defaults hit 5.8% as fund values drop * Treasury basis trade leverage reached $1.4 trillion * Hedge fund leverage sits at the highest level ever recorded *… — Sagzee (@IAmSagzee) February 13, 2026 WARNING: SOMETHING …
The firm’s senior financial strategist is concerned the advancements in the field of quantum computing will break Bitcoin. Senior financial strategist Christopher Wood said in the latest issue of the GREED & Fear newsletter that he’s removing the 10% Bitcoin allocation from his recommended portfolio. He justified this move by saying that advancements in quantum …
If BlackRock is taking hits now, who is next in private credit? Friday evening news drop Troubled Loans Hammer BlackRock’s Private Credit Fund “A BlackRock Inc. private debt fund expects to mark down the net value of its assets 19% after a string of troubled loans weighed on results, marking the latest sign of pressure …
Gold is closing in on $4,700, and even longtime skeptics now admit the real story is currency decay. Meanwhile, mainstream investment house VanEck asks an interesting question: What is gold really worth if money breaks? By Peter Reagan Your News to Know rounds up the most important developments in precious metals and the broader economy. …
For a year, Wall Street’s dominant theme has been the so-called K-shaped economy, in which the well-to-do have powered financial activity despite lower earners’ struggles. This week, the nation’s largest banks reported a broadly disappointing set of quarterly earnings, marking the first stumble after a yearlong spree of rising markets and softening regulations paid off …
This looks bigger than a protest, the regime is bracing for something ugly and it shows Protesters conducted a sit-in at Tehran’s Grand Bazaar, witnesses say, with security forces ultimately firing tear gas and dispersing demonstrators as the rest of the market shut down. The protest at the Grand Bazaar, the beating heart for centuries …
“They Gave Mortgages to Illegal Immigrants.” – Ed Dowd Most thought the housing bubble was just rent subsidies. Wrong. The FHA was selling homes to illegals, using taxpayer-backed mortgages. “I thought they were just supporting prices via the rental market… but they were actually buying homes.” Now the market’s cracking. – Prices falling. – Layoffs …
Shanaka Anslem Perera ⚡ @shanaka86 NVIDIA POSTED RECORD EARNINGS AND ACCIDENTALLY EXPOSED THE $112 BILLION SCAM WALL STREET MISSED Everyone celebrated. Nobody read the fine print. Nvidia crushed Q3: $57B revenue (+112% in one year), $1.30 earnings. Stock jumped, adding $131B overnight. Here’s what headlines buried. THE $112 BILLION SHAREHOLDER THEFT Since 2018, Nvidia generated …
Text translation: BITCOIN EXTENDS LOSSES TO $95K AFTER CLOSING BELOW $100K FOR THE FIRST TIME IN 190 DAYS BITCOIN ESTENDE PERDAS PARA $95K APÓS FECHAR ABAIXO DOS $100K PELA PRIMEIRA VEZ EM 190 DIAS pic.twitter.com/8fG6sxUZKu — Felipe Demartini (@namcios) November 14, 2025 It’s toast. The XRP people were totally right about buttcoin being useless and …
First Brands BANKRUPTCY shakes credit markets: The collapse WIPED OUT $4 billion in leveraged loans held across ~80 CLOs from PGIM, Franklin Templeton, Blackstone, and others. The sudden failure is a major warning for the broader credit market and leveraged loan sector… More corporate failures to come? ⚠️First Brands BANKRUPTCY shakes credit markets: The collapse …
Week ending September 10 in Vaughan did not just nudge the market downward, it slammed it into a pit nobody wants to admit exists. Detached median sold price fell to $1.36 million, one of the lowest points anyone remembers, down 21 percent year-over-year, and every headline pretends this is just a seasonal wobble, as if …
While the cattle focus on the US market, cracks have begun appearing elsewhere. pic.twitter.com/0xNzPgNRP0 — The Great Martis (@great_martis) September 18, 2025
The illusion of control is gone. What looked like separate flare-ups now feels like one unraveling chain tearing through the eastern seaboard. The Naval Academy locked down under gunfire from a man pretending to be military police. Hours later, the Secret Service scrambling at Yankee Stadium because someone made a credible threat to kill President …
Delinquency rates are now ~1.5 percentage points above the 2008 Financial Crisis peak. At the same time, prime auto loan delinquencies rose to their highest in 15 years. Meanwhile, the total value of auto loans in the US jumped $13 billion, to a record $1.66 trillion in Q2 2025. An auto debt crisis is brewing. …
The market’s heartbeat depends on one stock, and that stock just got a cold. $NVDA's "explosive growth is inevitably set to slow and Wednesday's results will be forensically examined for bumps in the road ahead."@Reuters pic.twitter.com/hCCFZaQMZ5 — Daily Chartbook (@dailychartbook) August 27, 2025 Sam Altman said AI “may be in a bubble.” High capex with …
BALTIMORE,MD **MULTI VICTIM SHOOTING** POLICE REPORTING 6 SHOOTING VICTIMS INCLUDING A 5 YEAR OLD AND 15 YEAR OLD – CHECKING AREA HOSPITALS FOR OTHER WALK IN VICTIMS #BREAKING pic.twitter.com/ROIEiyGv9T — Alertpage, Inc (@alertpage) August 10, 2025 Baltimore Police: "BPD is scene of a mass shooting at the intersection of Spaulding & Queensbury Avenues. Multiple streets …
GLP-1 weight-loss drugs are now the center of a federal crackdown. The FDA has begun seizing counterfeit semaglutide and tirzepatide products from the U.S. supply chain. Some vials contained bacterial contamination. Others were mislabeled or chemically altered. The agency confirmed more than 500 adverse event reports tied to compounded versions. Poison control centers logged nearly …
Just when the GOP thought it could sweep the Epstein mess under the rug, House Republicans themselves helped force its spotlight back. Suddenly the “release all the files” chorus looks bipartisan, not just MAGA claptrap. Trump may have thought calling it a hoax would end it, now even hold‑‘em‑accountable Republicans are telling him to “release …
When a firm like BlackRock takes a hit of this size, it raises deeper questions: Who pulled the capital, and why? Was this a sovereign wealth fund reallocating for political or liquidity reasons? A pension plan de-risking into cash or private markets? Or a strategic exit tied to a shift in dollar exposure? In an …
Eric Basmajian, economist and founder of EPB Research, breaks down the hidden cracks in the U.S. labor market, the return of tariffs, wage stagnation, and the Fed’s precarious monetary stance amid growing recession risks.
The current US administration cannot stop one of the best Biden’s trick to masquerade the health of the economy, why? Guess what’s going to happen to stock the moment NFP prints collapse https://t.co/arwdoBy3s6 — JustDario 🏊♂️ (@DarioCpx) July 7, 2025
Inflation stays hot despite economic slump. So, we got negative consumer spending and negative consumer income, yet hot core PCE (i.e., inflation). Yet, still, stocks are making new all-time-highs on "trade deal" comments? I guess the data, indeed, does not matter. But, at some point, bluster from the @WhiteHouse will not… pic.twitter.com/ePtMrsZadH — Gordon Johnson …
BREAKING: Bank of Japan to supply U.S. Dollars against pooled collateral. This can trigger a sudden Yen carry trade unwind in U.S. stocks as investors liquidate positions to cover losses, especially in low-liquidity environments.pic.twitter.com/0cP3EGiT1F https://t.co/RFacCZofsY — Financelot (@FinanceLancelot) June 3, 2025 Whooopsie! And now you also have the T-Bills dumping that completes the whole picture …
This time, it’s not the Fed cutting rates buying us time. It’s Trump rolling back tariffs. And now everyone thinks we’re back to normal. But even before the tariff war began, the economy was already soft. In December 2024, we got hit with terrible consumer data. Spending collapsed. That sparked a sharp correction. It was …
With foreign central bank appetite for US Treasuries in retreat, what will replace the current system? I don't think anyone knows. The chart below suggests we go back to substantial central bank gold holdings. Maybe. IMHO, fragmentation and a broad erosion of trust is a likely… pic.twitter.com/GoT59qsevI — Axel Merk (@AxelMerk) April 27, 2025