Independent thinking for complex markets and current events
He is insane. I am as MAGA as they get. I was a Front Row Joe, 42 rallies, walked the halls of congress 3 times for Trump, became a state delegate, then a national delegate ALL TO SUPPORT TRUMP. He has absolutely lost me, in fact I'm eyeing the 25th amendment for him because… https://t.co/gQ3xptKrH3 …
“THIS IS NOT LOOKING GOOD Look at these yields… – Germany 10Y is exploding – France 10Y keeps going up – Italy, Spain, Portugal, Greece all rising together THIS ISN’T HAPPENING BY ACCIDENT. This is europe repricing sovereign risk again. Here’s exactly why it matters: Germany is still holding things together, but the rest of …
https://www.reuters.com/business/us-banks-tap-fed-repo-facility-overnight-rates-climb-signaling-funding-strain-2025-10-15/ US repo rates hit high of 4.36% on Wednesday Liquidity is declining, should be monitored, analyst says US Treasury settlements are one factor for funding rate rise NEW YORK, Oct 15 (Reuters) – U.S. banks borrowed $6.5 billion from the Federal Reserve’s Standing Repo Facility (SRF) on Wednesday, central bank data showed, and repurchase …
Rescue workers were helping hundreds of hikers trapped by heavy snow at tourist campsites on a slope of Mount Everest in Tibet, Chinese state media said late Sunday. About 350 hikers had reached a meeting point in Tingri country and rescuers were in contact with another 200, state broadcaster CCTV said. Rescue workers were helping …
France is staring at a fiscal standoff that feels less like governance and more like extortion. Prime Minister Gabriel Attal has been told he cannot pass a budget or even remain in office without Socialist backing. Their price is blunt: a new “Zucman tax,” two percent annually on assets above one hundred million euros Reuters. …
Factories are shutting. Shops are closing. Workers are walking out under stress that has nowhere to go. The air smells of fear and exhaustion. Bank accounts are shrinking while bills climb. The institutions meant to protect us are either blind or complicit. Every metric screams warning. Every statistic is a cry ignored. The economy is …
Let’s break it down. Inflation is eating everything. Since 2020, prices are up more than 20% across the board. Groceries, rent, gas, insurance. All higher. Wages? Barely moved. The average paycheck rose less than 14% in that same time. That means workers are losing money every year. Jobs aren’t what they used to be. Openings …
Powell admitted that even though the markets are pricing in multiple rate cuts this year, Powell himself has no idea if the Fed will be cutting rates at all this year. The truth is the Fed should be hiking rates. Cutting rates instead would just compound the Fed's mistake. — Peter Schiff (@PeterSchiff) May 7, …
by confoundedinterest17 ARMs?? Adjustable-rate mortgages (ARMs) have climbed to the highest origination volume share since 2008 as the yield curve steepens and bank lending demand picks up. The majority of ARM lending goes to high credit borrowers with jumbo-sized loans, which many banks see as a good fit to keep in their portfolios as they are …
https://twitter.com/FinanceLancelot/status/1910788259770147302 https://twitter.com/akm515/status/1910812182364795356 https://twitter.com/onechancefreedm/status/1910793081261089209 It has undoubtedly been an extremely volatile week for financial markets and that includes the U.S. bond market to be sure. As an example, the poster child for the U.S. bond market, the 10yr Treasury, saw its biggest week-over-week increase since 1981. As we often discuss, mortgage rates are based on bonds …
Tesla shares jumped to an all-time high on Wednesday, surpassing their prior record reached in 2021, sparked by a post-election rally and Wall Street’s increased enthusiasm for Elon Musk’s electric vehicle company. The stock rose to an intraday high of $415, which is 50 cents above its previous peak, and was on pace to close ahead of its …
The 1987 crash was largely influenced by the Fed’s rate hikes amid inflation concerns. It does feel like we’re seeing similar warning signs, rising inflation, interest rate hikes, and market volatility, though predicting an exact repeat is tricky. 1987 vs 2024 ✍️ Dow Jones: Let's analyze the lead-up to the 1987 crash vs. now. 12-month …
Global investment bank UBS published a report Monday highlighting the enduring value of gold as a hedge, despite a recent pivot among speculators toward equities following the U.S. presidential election. While the market appears optimistic, UBS cautions that policy uncertainty under the new administration remains high. Noting that a downtrend in the U.S. dollar and …
🇺🇸MORTGAGE RATES KEEP CLIMBING AS MARKET BRACES FOR TRUMP-ERA IMPACTS The average 30-year fixed rate rose to 6.86%, as the market processed economic shifts expected under Trump’s presidency. While overall mortgage applications barely budged, edging up 0.5%, refinancing requests… pic.twitter.com/gVINTAlqhS — Mario Nawfal (@MarioNawfal) November 13, 2024
via Michael Lebowitz The financial media frequently opines on what the daily gyrations of the VIX (implied volatility index) signal regarding investor sentiment. Despite how often it is quoted and discussed, many investors do not truly appreciate what implied volatility measures. We take this opportunity to help you better understand implied volatility. Furthermore, we discuss …
New extended video shows the shooter Thomas Crooks crawling into position on the rooftop as President Trump is speaking.pic.twitter.com/gQZ1mCgQWf — Citizen Free Press (@CitizenFreePres) July 15, 2024 Three snipers were stationed inside building used in Trump assassination attempt There were three snipers stationed inside the building the shooter used during Saturday’s shooting of former President …
Wholesale auto inventories continue to climb at a brisk pace and to new all-time highs pic.twitter.com/jFaLjMYGmi — Liz Ann Sonders (@LizAnnSonders) July 11, 2024
Gold prices could skyrocket to $3,000 per ounce within the next 12 to 18 months, according to Bank of America’s latest analysis. Michael Widmer, a commodity strategist at the bank, suggests that a combination of factors — increasing investment demand, geopolitical tensions, Federal Reserve rate cuts and central bank purchases — could boost the yellow metal’s appeal …
Yields moving higher quickly today are a reminder that interest expense is skyrocketing at a terrifying pace because rates started moving up with ever-rising debt levels over the last two years, after being suppressed by low Fed Funds rates and QE policies in the years prior. pic.twitter.com/mxEMpkotTb — David Sommers (@dgsommersmkts) May 28, 2024 The …
The numbers: Initial jobless-benefit claims rose by 22,000 to 231,000 in the week ending May 4, the U.S. Labor Department said Thursday. That’s the highest level since last August. Economists polled by the Wall Street Journal had estimated that new claims would rise to 214,000. Last week, claims rose a revised 1,000 to 209,000, compared with… …
by confoundedinterest17 President Obama selected Slow Joe Biden as his Vice President because 1) he was white and 2) an alleged foreign policy wizard in The Senate. Between Afghanistan, Ukraine, Israel, Taiwan and every other foreign policy disaster under his leadership, I am beginning to doubt Biden’s foreign policy acumen. For example … For the 9th …
When everyone is telling you that you are so smart for buying #bitcoin at $73,000 and insulting you for doing the opposite. You might be entering into a good contrarian trade. That said, as I told Mike Maloney in an interview decade ago, $BTC can turn into a massive pump job. — Peter Spina ⚒ …
Berkshire Hathaway (NYSE:BRK.B) (NYSE:BRK.A) Q4 operating earnings rose 28% from a year ago, driven by improvements in insurance underwriting and investment income, which more than offset declines at its railroad, utilities and energy, and other businesses. The company doubled the amount of its common stock it repurchased to $2.2B during the quarter compared with $1.1B …
by confoundedinterest17 I had a wonderful time speaking at the Passive Investors Conference last night. One question I was asked was “Why doesn’t Powell (the current Fed Chair) pull “a Volcker” to cool inflation. She was referring to former Fed Chair Paul Volcker’s sudden raising of The Fed’s target rate which resulted in a cooling …
$MSFT costume IV indicator Hedging activity has risen as yields continue to climb.. all big tech look the same. Also Netflix before earnings and then popped higher +15%. 🧐 Microsoft on Tuesday after the close with google. If earnings are good many will get fucked. Few. pic.twitter.com/vjTJpG9rTf — Alessio (@AlessioTMAD) October 22, 2023 BofA turns …
Economy and stock market is about to melt down. People have no savings left and cannot keep their heads above the rising tide of inflation. https://twitter.com/_/status/1692500764524986609 SAN FRANCISCO (KGO) — This week, for the first time, American credit card debt surpassed $1 trillion. Getting into credit card debt at any time is not good, but …
by confoundedinterest17 I am anxiously waiting for the US inflation report tomorrow, so I am just looking at the US Treasury yield curve, mortgage rates and cryptos today. The US Treasury 10Y-2Y yield curve stumbled (just like Biden and Bidenomics) to -91.166 basis points as the turnaround in M2 Money growth has stalled. Bankrate’s 30Y …