Independent thinking for complex markets and current events
Overall Consumer Confidence Index up 0.6 points to 91.2. Present Situation Index down 3.0 points to 116.4. Expectations Index up 3.0 points to 74.4. Data from Conference Board survey released today. Expectations still low and below key recession threshold. Slight improvement but mixed signals on current vs future views. Oil price relief mentioned as one …
“Middle East: Due to high tensions in the region, the security environment remains complex and can change quickly. We remind U.S. citizens in the Middle East of the continued need for caution and encourage them to monitor the news for breaking developments. The State Department Travel Advisories for Bahrain, Israel, the West Bank, Jordan, Kuwait, …
JUST IN – U.S. embassy in London issues security alert urging Americans in the UK to exercise increased caution in public spaces stating "a terrorist attack is highly likely." The alert comes as British authorities elevate the national terrorism threat level to "severe." pic.twitter.com/9d8RsV44bj — Disclose.tv (@disclosetv) May 1, 2026
The US Department of State issued a worldwide security alert Sunday, urging Americans across the globe to be wary over threats from Iran-linked groups. “The Department of State advises Americans worldwide, and especially in the Middle East, to exercise increased caution. Americans abroad should follow the guidance in security alerts issued by the nearest U.S. …
Bark @barkmeta Nobody wants to talk about what this headline ACTUALLY means… “Thousands of CEOs say AI had no impact.” They’re not saying it because it’s true. They’re saying it so you don’t quit before they’re done with you. Hiring is frozen at every major company. College graduate unemployment just hit a record. AI budgets …
via TopFinanceTakes Chart’s showing QQQ sitting around 45-50 net options sentiment lately -neither hugely bullish nor bearish. Feels like the market’s a little unsure where to lean right now. Price is making all-time highs, but option flow hasn’t fully caught up. Kind of a “waiting for the next spark” vibe. Chart: Prospero.ai A few of the …
Wow, the put/call ratio is at its lowest level in five years! The last time it was this low was at the peak of the COVID-19 market bubble. pic.twitter.com/G4qKKTgag4 — Data Driven Stocks (@stockdatamarket) September 20, 2025 Interesting. They’re betting trillions on this but hedging in case it all goes wrong. This isn’t bubble talk …
Markets cheered, but the message was hawkish. Powell didn’t promise cuts. He didn’t hint at September. He made the Fed’s caution sound like reassurance. That’s not dovish. That’s tight policy, carefully cloaked. “Risks to inflation are tilted to the upside, and risks to employment are to the downside — a challenging situation,” Powell said. Stocks …
Florida has rose to the top of the most expensive state when it comes to Home insurance over the past couple of years. But as if that’s not bad enough, our state run insurance company Citizens is now denying over half of all of the insurance claims that have come in over the past 12 …
Not crazy at all. Creative! — Sandra Pappas (@magasilviaday) October 1, 2024 Photos show standard yellow caution street signs in NYC, each marked with a black stencil of Trump’s face. It appears to be a subtle reminder to voters about Trump. h/t MustRemainAnonlymous
‼️S&P 500 IS AS EXPENSIVE AS DURING THE DOT-COM BUBBLE‼️ 90% of the market sectors have their P/E ratios in the top 25% historically. This is in line with levels seen during the Dot-Com Bubble and before the 2022 bear market. Long-term expected returns are not promising now. pic.twitter.com/8ECIeiuVR4 — Global Markets Investor (@GlobalMktObserv) September …
2/ The Fed has been on an unprecedented hiking cycle since 2022 Taking rates from near 0% to 5.5% in just 1.5 years pic.twitter.com/3eVzwmSreS — Bravos Research (@bravosresearch) August 27, 2024 4/ High rates negatively impact the housing market Given the high rate sensitivity of that sector — Bravos Research (@bravosresearch) August 27, 2024 6/ …
In Florida in 2022 more than 30% of all insurance claims went unpaid and when you look at the biggest insurance carriers like Allstate and State Farm that number jumps up to over 50% of unpaid insurance claims. Of course, some of them are fraudulent, some of them don’t qualify for payment, but a lot …
CAUTION: Bitcoin has now broken back into its rising channel after spending 4 months above it Until the channel resistance is reclaimed, downside risk is elevated pic.twitter.com/joLSQk2hcA — Bravos Research (@bravosresearch) July 2, 2024
Location: Worldwide Event: Due to the potential for terrorist attacks, demonstrations, or violent actions against U.S. citizens and interests, the Department of State advises U.S. citizens overseas to exercise increased caution. The Department of State is aware of the increased potential for foreign terrorist organization-inspired violence against LGBTQI+ persons and events and advises U.S. citizens overseas to …
With fund managers reaching their highest bullish sentiment since January 2022 and cash levels dropping close to the contrarian sell signal, coupled with the Financial Stability Board’s advice to hedge funds to increase liquidity for market shocks, there are indications of an impending market reversal. Fund Managers are the most bullish on stocks since January …
"Investors have piled into [Bitcoin] funds at a historic clip since their Jan. 11 launch, with total assets in the 10 U.S. spot bitcoin funds on the market swelling to nearly $50 billion."@jackpitcher20 pic.twitter.com/0FHGsqLYEU — Daily Chartbook (@dailychartbook) March 6, 2024 Bitcoin mania is back on the scene as investors rush into cryptocurrency funds at …
In a concerning turn of events, the Nasdaq has experienced a nearly 4% decline in just three trading days, resulting in a staggering loss of $600 billion in market capitalization. This downturn erases all gains made since December 13th, highlighting the volatility in the market. Adding to the unease, the Magnificent 7, a group of …
The current VIX level of 13 reflects a hesitancy among investors to take a bearish stance on the prominent Big 7 stocks. Global corporate buybacks, on a downward trajectory since 2019 despite heightened volatility in inflation and interest rates, may indicate a erosion of savings. As downgrades to U.S. earnings estimates persist for nine consecutive …
@KeithMcCullough warns that the recent surge in Regional Banking ($KRE) and Real Estate ($XLRE), often seen as positive, could be a bear market bounce, potentially misleading investors before a recession. Drawing parallels to the Great Financial Crisis, McCullough highlights this as outright panic buying and suggests the current crisis might surpass the GFC, impacting Main …
JUST IN: The US State Department has issued a 'worldwide caution' travel alert — unusual_whales (@unusual_whales) October 19, 2023 JUST IN – U.S. State Dept issues "worldwide caution" travel alert. pic.twitter.com/uTwaX6CsZu — Disclose.tv (@disclosetv) October 19, 2023
Market loves it. Bond yields are down. via YAHOO: DALLAS (Reuters) -Top ranking Federal Reserve officials indicated Monday that rising yields on long-term U.S. Treasury bonds, which directly influence financing costs for households and businesses, could steer the Fed from further increases in its short-term policy rate and substitute the work done by financial markets …
Your body especially, your arteries, can become filled with calcification if taken incorrectly. Best video I’ve found on the subject. This guy doesn’t expose the dangers of taking vitamin D fully but shows the result of taking it wrong. h/t Mad Kelly
People are moving money from banks to money market funds due to high interest rates This means banks will have less money to lend and they will be more careful with who they lend to pic.twitter.com/jmdzNAqR56 — Bravos Research (@bravosresearch) August 4, 2023 Capital Economics predicts 40% decline in commercial real estate values. Commercial real …