Independent thinking for complex markets and current events
Japan’s own fiscal house, buried under the weight of the largest debt load on earth, could unravel, forcing a liquidity crisis that spreads to Europe and the United States. Central banks that copied Japan’s easy money policies will face the same reckoning, only without the cushion of a domestic savings pool to absorb the shock. …
🚨 BIGGEST OUTFLOW IN HISTORY 🚨 Capital is leaving Canada faster than ever—like it just got a hard elbow to the head. 🏃💨💸” pic.twitter.com/eoS6LmpRzR — Market Mania 🏴☠️ (@MarketManiaCa) August 28, 2025 Canada printes two consecutive quarters of negative annualized GDP growth pic.twitter.com/cxRUGbVJ3r — Mike Zaccardi, CFA, CMT 🍖 (@MikeZaccardi) August 29, 2025 Foreign investors …
https://twitter.com/_Irate_American/status/1960045925671272913 Musk: “Why Are They Allowing the Rape of Europe?” Tesla entrepreneur Elon Musk highlighted skyrocketing sexual assaults unfolding in the EU, following outrage over the stabbing death of a 17-year-old Dutch girl by a migrant who had been arrested for rape just days earlier. Responding to a chart illustrating how rape figures have surged …
Trump’s tariff memo didn’t mention gold. So how did Customs decide to hit the precious metal? The reclassification came through on July 31. No press release, no Treasury announcement. Just a quiet move that sent prices soaring worldwide. Gold shot up to $3,440 an ounce on COMEX. Retail prices in Delhi topped ₹1,02,700 per 10 …
Russia bombed Kyiv overnight, killing at least 8, including a 6-year-old boy, and injuring 82. Among the wounded were 10 children, the youngest just 5 months old. Putin keeps bombing Ukraine because Trump lets him. pic.twitter.com/ltSi26UoI9 — Republicans against Trump (@RpsAgainstTrump) July 31, 2025
Trump’s latest tax pitch isn’t new. It’s redundant. On July 22, he floated the idea of eliminating capital gains taxes on home sales. The problem? That tax already doesn’t apply to most sellers. Since 1997, federal law has allowed homeowners to exclude up to $250,000 in gains if single, or $500,000 if married filing jointly. …
Trump made a bold tax pitch during a meeting with the Philippine president. He proposed no federal tax on profits from selling a primary residence. The idea mirrors a bill introduced by Rep. Marjorie Taylor Greene called the No Tax on Home Sales Act. Details are scarce but the effects are clear. Currently, single filers …
Powell avoided the rate topic entirely. No hints. No guidance. Instead, he opened the Fed’s capital rule review on July 22 with a blunt message: big banks need stronger capital buffers, and they need freedom to compete. The speech dropped at 10:04 AM Eastern. No policy lines. Just structure. Fed is reviewing how it calculates …
Positioning for a market downturn in 2025 has become more tactical than ever especially after June’s macro fireworks and the July 11 CPI print looming ahead. Equities hover near record highs while the 10-year Treasury yield has climbed to about 4.42 %. Some traders now split their risk between long duration bond ETFs and targeted inverse …
Some numbers never move. Not because they shouldn’t. Because Congress never bothered. The U.S. tax code is riddled with thresholds that were set decades ago and never indexed to inflation. They sit frozen in time while the cost of everything else climbs. The result is a quiet tax hike that hits middle-income Americans hardest. Start …
2008 starts to look like a warm-up… The new synthetic mortgage back securities 2008 is going to look like a bull market. https://t.co/jZHvpWq6dQ — The Great Martis (@great_martis) June 25, 2025 .@pulte is easily the most ignorant bloated imbecile to head any federal housing bureaucracy and that's really saying something. Why would any self-respecting bank …
*SWISS CENTRAL BANK CUTS KEY INTEREST RATE BY 25BPS TO 0.0%, LOWEST SINCE JUNE 2022$CHF 🇨🇭🇨🇭 pic.twitter.com/Ajfw639gAz — Investing.com (@Investingcom) June 19, 2025 Zero yields are back! For those who believed zero and negative interest rates were something of the past. It already happened again, even without a new economic or financial crisis. The Swiss …
The UK government’s attempt to raise revenue through higher capital gains taxes has backfired, triggering an exodus of high-net-worth individuals and a 10 percent drop in net tax collections. Officials had anticipated increased revenue, but instead, the policy has led to fewer taxable transactions and a shrinking tax base. This is a textbook example of …
Just gonna post this here and let it speak for itself pic.twitter.com/g2pNaSLRJH — Pledditor (@Pledditor) May 16, 2025 We are probably nearing that stage in the bubble where their internal pitch decks explicitly admit the funding hinges on their ability to create a large enough 'Irresponsibly Long $BMGL' twitter group that they can raise capital …
On Tuesday, May 13, multiple areas in Beijing were hit by a rare and extreme hailstorm, shocking residents and causing widespread damage. The hailstones that fell across the capital were unusually large, with some reportedly bigger than eggs, slamming into the ground. The channel lists such natural disasters as: 1) Geological emergencies: Earthquake, Volcanic eruption, …
The AI boom has reached an unsustainable level. Investors are throwing money at projects with little regard for the real risks or long-term viability. Hundreds of billions of dollars are flowing into the AI sector like a river, and the vast majority of it is going to waste. This is not a natural growth pattern; …
The current regulatory capital rules were designed for banks, making them complex and not tailored to investment firms’ business models. These changes would reduce the volume of legal text by 70%. This is part of the FCA’s work to make sure its rulebook works better for the UK market and to remove unnecessary burdens on …
Capital is rushing to the sidelines: In March, hedge funds conducted their most aggressive selling of world stocks since 2013, according to Goldman Sachs data. Not even the 2020 pandemic saw such a sharp exposure reduction in global equities. This was particularly driven by… pic.twitter.com/6t3dsIPsh0 — The Kobeissi Letter (@KobeissiLetter) April 14, 2025 Warren Buffett …
An oil shock is coming. Yes, I know, deflation….blah…recession…blah…oils is plunging…blah blah. Gold & silver are heading for a huge bull era. I don't care about fairytale narratives. Oil will follow AFTER this drop. Way past $100 and, in all likelihood, past $200. https://t.co/gQM2gxLmhQ — Northstar (@NorthstarCharts) April 9, 2025 Something like this (priced in …
Just like 2000, Saylor doesn't have a plan to strategically deploy capital. As soon as he gets money he blows it, regardless of price. This erratic, cocaine addict behavior is the reason he destroyed MicroStrategy 25 years ago. https://t.co/uLGVOgw2fv — Financelot (@FinanceLancelot) April 8, 2025 Why MICROSTRATEGY is definitely a PONZI explained: We all have …
🔥🔥NEW — POILIEVRE ANNOUNCES NO CAPITAL GAINS ON ANY INVESTMENT RE-INVESTED IN CANADA This is huge! Stocks, real-estate, bonds, businesses, farms, crypto … sell it, and buy a Canadian asset? Capital gains are deferred! pic.twitter.com/NB2BEBwb71 — Tablesalt 🇨🇦🇺🇸 (@Tablesalt13) March 30, 2025
BARCLAYS JUST CUT ITS YEAR END TARGET FOR THE S&P 500 DOWN TO 5900 FROM 6600 pic.twitter.com/iUeRyNjouC — Evan (@StockMKTNewz) March 26, 2025 UBS trying everything to prevent its capital reserve requirement from increasing by up to $25 Billion "UBS Group AG executives have suggested that a permanent limit on the size of its investment …
For 2024, long-term capital gains offer a rare tax loophole for married couples filing jointly. If taxable income stays below $96,700, those gains are taxed at 0%. With the standard deduction of $30,000, that effectively means a couple can make up to $126,700 in total income and still owe nothing on long-term capital gains—assuming no …
Simon, a trader on Twitter, has been tracking the shifting winds in the market. The old-school bulls are adjusting their year-end targets downward, while inflation concerns refuse to fade. The new narrative? US assets are set to deflate as foreign capital retreats home. The market just endured a 10% correction, and now, after the fact, …
At this point I am convinced $MSTR is a social experiment to see how long people will keep buying into the scam cap raises when the facts are literally staring them in the face and the company is not even hiding it. Like, what else can Saylor get away with. — Foul Tarnished (@gitgud111) February …
(Bloomberg) — Capital One Financial Corp. and Discover Financial Services shareholders voted in favor of the planned $35 billion merger of the two financial-services companies. Investors representing 85.1% of Capital One’s outstanding shares voted in favor of the deal, while stockholders representing 81.6% of outstanding Discover shares gave their approval, the companies said in a …
Midwest state set to become ‘liquid gold’ capital of the world after billions more gallons of oil discovered. North Dakota could help America become a dominant player in the oil industry after experts found a significant amount of undeveloped oil resources yet to be extracted. Geologists determined the middle Three Forks reservoir in McKenzie County …
by Michael The past couple of weeks have been really, really strange. On New Year’s Eve, four of the most iconic buildings in the entire country were all hit by lightning. In our political capital, the Washington Monument and the U.S. Capitol were hit. In our financial capital, the Empire State Building and One World Trade Center were …
Was looking through 2024 capital gains taxes: Capital gains tax Capital Gains Rate Single Taxable Income 0% Up to $48,350 15% $48,351 to $533,400 20% Over $533,400 h/t WarmFormal9881
Announced late today: Capital One Financial Corporation (NYSE: COF) and Discover Financial Services (NYSE: DFS) today announced that each company intends to hold a special meeting of stockholders on February 18, 2025 for the companies’ respective common stockholders to consider and vote on Capital One’s acquisition of Discover and related matters. It seems like the incoming …