Independent thinking for complex markets and current events
JUST IN – 200 US troops wounded in seven countries during Iran war: spokesman — Insider Paper (@TheInsiderPaper) March 16, 2026 Bahrain, Iraq, Israel, Jordan, Kuwait, Saudi Arabia & UAE. More than 200 US service members injured so far in seven countries since the start of Iran war, @ellee_watson reports. Ten are considered seriously wounded, …
Federal Reserve officials say geopolitical tensions could push inflation higher and complicate monetary policy decisions Federal Reserve policymakers are monitoring the conflict with Iran for its potential impact on inflation and consumer prices, as energy prices have jumped since the outbreak of hostilities. Oil prices briefly surged over $100 a barrel amid fears of supply …
Mossad Commentary @MOSSADil 🚨 ISRAEL PREPARING FOR AN EARLY END TO THE WAR WITH IRAN Israeli officials believe the U.S. could soon push for a halt to the war. But based on the pace of American military preparations and coordination, Israel is not impressed that the fighting is actually nearing an end. Inside Israel, Trump’s …
Russia is providing Iran with intelligence to carry out attacks on US forces in the Middle East The targeting data includes the locations of American warships and aircraft in the region, and is being shared with Tehran since the conflict escalated. 📰 The Washington Post pic.twitter.com/i7ktTPiQ7o — Visegrád 24 (@visegrad24) March 6, 2026 Russia is …
Global snowfall next 15-days Haven't done the calculations, but I firmly believe this is the snowiest January in history for the Northern Hemisphere. While we don't have good data for 1740 that was the Little Ice Age, and it was actually quite dry. pic.twitter.com/FLR4iSYy2v — Ryan Maue (@RyanMaue) January 8, 2026
The $16 billion company is pushing more into the transaction side of the real estate industry, which Jeremy Wacksman calls ‘a better business to be in.’ On his Zillow account, Jeremy Wacksman has “favorited” every home he’s ever lived in, just to keep tabs. Among them: a two-story, 2,500-square-foot house with four bedrooms, 2½ bathrooms …
A relentless atmospheric river storm continued to drench Southern California on Christmas Day, unleashing heavy downpours that have already dumped more than half a foot of rain in some areas and triggered widespread flooding. Mandatory evacuation orders remain in effect for several communities, particularly those near wildfire burn scars, as saturated hillsides pose a high …
California is looking at historic precipitation from onslaught of atmospheric rivers in next 10-days. Could be 20" or 30" mostly rain in the Sierra from "firehose of moisture" directed right at coast with strong jet stream. This going to be really bad. pic.twitter.com/k10Wml7gLB — Ryan Maue (@RyanMaue) December 17, 2025
🚨 BREAKING: President Trump is set to make an announcement to the nation Tuesday at 2pm ET from the White House This comes immediately after his scheduled cabinet meeting. Any guesses? 👀 pic.twitter.com/COvDWMQXZd — Nick Sortor (@nicksortor) December 2, 2025 Grok: Based on the White House schedule and reports from ABC News and USA Today, …
CARACAS, Venezuela — The country is hemmed in by the largest U.S. military presence off South America in decades. For two months, U.S. forces have been blowing up boats off its coast, killing scores; President Donald Trump has warned “land is going to be next” — and then denied land strikes are coming. The government …
Something inside Europe has shifted. The fear that kept people silent, the complacency that kept governments blind, both are breaking. In St. Petersburg, thousands began singing a song banned for nearly two decades, a song about overthrowing Putin. The Telegraph described it as an “unexpected outburst,” but it was more than that. “Crowds in St …
Denmark has frozen all military leave, called up its reserves, and banned civilian drones nationwide. France has sent anti-drone teams. Sweden has delivered radar systems. Germany has docked a warship off Copenhagen. These are not routine steps. They are coordinated military actions against a wave of drone incursions over Danish airspace, including flyovers of airports, …
“Realistically, we are talking about a figure of around 1,000 wounded troops per day,” said Germany’s Surgeon General Ralf Hoffmann. “The Ukrainians often cannot evacuate their wounded fast enough because drones are buzzing overhead everywhere. The nature of warfare has changed dramatically in Ukraine. Injuries now come less from gunfire and more from explosions and …
Interest payments on the national debt hit $1.049 trillion in the first 10 months of FY2025, up 30% from the same period last year. https://www.cnbc.com/2024/09/12/interest-payments-on-the-national-debt-top-1-trillion-as-deficit-swells.html The Treasury confirms the government is on track to spend $1.2 trillion on interest payments for the full fiscal year ending October 2025. https://www.investopedia.com/why-interest-payments-are-blowing-up-the-federal-budget-8712197 The U.S. Treasury’s own fiscal dashboard …
SPY Closed at 614.91. The index is brushing against its all-time high of 616.39. Short-term momentum is still intact, but breadth is thinning. RSI is hovering near 60, not overbought, but not fresh either. The next two weeks are light on macro data, but earnings season kicks off July 12 with the banks. If the …
by Michael Did anyone out there actually believe that Iran would roll over and surrender once we bombed their nuclear facilities? Needless to say, that was never going to happen. The guys running Iran are lunatics that would rather die than surrender. They are “Twelvers” that are eagerly anticipating the arrival of “the Mahdi”, and …
The missiles landed. The headlines screamed. And Wall Street barely blinked. The Israel-Iran conflict, now in its fourth day, has already claimed over 220 lives and triggered direct strikes on nuclear and energy infrastructure. But the market? It’s moved on. Traders have filed the war under “already priced in,” and the indexes have returned to …
BREAKING: Bank of Japan to supply U.S. Dollars against pooled collateral. This can trigger a sudden Yen carry trade unwind in U.S. stocks as investors liquidate positions to cover losses, especially in low-liquidity environments.pic.twitter.com/0cP3EGiT1F https://t.co/RFacCZofsY — Financelot (@FinanceLancelot) June 3, 2025 Whooopsie! And now you also have the T-Bills dumping that completes the whole picture …
Dip buying failed for the first time in almost 6 weeks w a red week posted on $SPY The winds are shifting — Merlin Capital 🧙♂️ (@merlinscapital) May 23, 2025 My main question about tariffs is if we see the EU attack the Mag7. The US might have a trade deficit with the EU but …
🇨🇳🇺🇸CHINA PREPS FOR “EXTERNAL SHOCKS” AS TRADE WAR ESCALATES Xi’s Politburo is scrambling emergency plans and new monetary tools as Trump’s 145% tariffs slam the world’s number 2 economy. Beijing says it's done talking until the U.S ditches all unilateral tariffs – and it's not… https://t.co/MhpDMuo9ne pic.twitter.com/LCJSitlqNI — Mario Nawfal (@MarioNawfal) April 25, 2025 China …
The view from China: “The US is not getting ripped off by anybody” “The problem is the US has been living beyond its means for decades. It consumes more than it produces. It has outsourced its manufacturing and borrowed money in order to have a higher standard of living than it’s… — Amena Bakr (@Amena__Bakr) …
🇺🇸 🇨🇳 🇦🇺 China has just HALTED all liquified natural gas imports from the United States. This leaves tankers in limbo with BILLIONS of dollars of contracts. China will now go with Australia for their natural gas needs instead. Australian is inking new deals throughout Asia… pic.twitter.com/l2eOvZiy4L — ADAM (@AdameMedia) April 11, 2025 But I …
Bitcoin is about to make a big move. And according to china liquidity injection, is to the downside. pic.twitter.com/lO5XrNFgR2 — Guilherme Tavares (@i3_invest) March 27, 2025 Bitcoin Mauling season on approach. pic.twitter.com/v1IkbAhCTz — The Great Martis (@great_martis) March 26, 2025 Trying to pump bitcoin with rumours 😂😂 The cult is relentless. https://t.co/kAveiDRf5R — The Great …
Goldman Sachs estimates over $4.7T in notional options exposure will expire this Friday, including $2.8T in $SPX options and $645B in single stock options. That’s about 8.2% of the Russell 3000’s market cap—however, smaller than March 2024’s expiration. pic.twitter.com/MHe6ul0v99 — Wall St Engine (@wallstengine) March 21, 2025
Trade wars, the pandemic, and geopolitical tensions have disrupted global supply chains. Reshoring efforts are increasing in an attempt to bring more manufacturing back to the US. Bank of America says domestic small- and mid-cap stocks in sectors like industrials and healthcare may benefit most. The 2000s was the golden era of globalization. The idea …
by Michael Months of negotiations have proved fruitless, and it appears that we really are about to get a “full-fledged war” in the Middle East. Sadly, I don’t think that any of the parties involved have really thought this through. Both sides have been arming themselves to the teeth since the last war ended in …
The weather bureau issued storm warning signal 3 – the second-lowest on its scale of five – on Sept 4 evening and said the weather over the coast of Guangdong will deteriorate on Sept 5 and Sept 6. The observatory said it will assess the need to issue higher alert. If the weather office issues …
CORPUS CHRISTI, Texas − An enormous storm system sweeping across the Gulf of Mexico strengthened Wednesday into Tropical Storm Alberto, the first named storm of the 2024 Atlantic hurricane season, as parts of Texas braced for almost a foot of rain. Areas of Mexico could be deluged with 20 inches. The National Hurricane Center issued …
Canada and EU has already cut rates this year The global economy awaits the most coordinated easing since the Great Financial Crisis. 10 out of 11 major central banks are expected to cut rates in the second half of 2024, the most banks in 16 years.👇https://t.co/4SILXocj5M — Global Markets Investor (@GlobalMktObserv) June 8, 2024 Today's …
The U.S. stock market finds itself at a critical juncture, with inflation emerging as a primary concern amidst the backdrop of robust economic recovery. Recent data releases, particularly the Consumer Price Index (CPI) for March, have revealed a notable deviation from the Federal Reserve’s target of 2%. The CPI registered a yearly rate of 3.5%, …