Independent thinking for complex markets and current events
Buying starter homes is cheaper than it was last year, and you can thank mortgage rates for that. But while starter home prices themselves are more expensive than a year ago, the income needed to afford them fell when mortgage rates did, according to Redfin. For monthly payments on a starter home with a median …
https://twitter.com/RJRCapital/status/1836734007062470665 US 30 Yr minus the 3-month pic.twitter.com/f1UqwiYV2Z — Michael J. Kramer (@MichaelMOTTCM) September 19, 2024 https://twitter.com/RJRCapital/status/1836735432463102043 hedge funds starting to hedge with short bonds ETFs Macro furus long bonds in shambles — Alessio (@AlessioTMAD) September 19, 2024 Cuts ✂️ & Returns 📉 📈 pic.twitter.com/x4wS2qdlNp — Win Smart, CFA (@WinfieldSmart) September 19, 2024
30-Year Treasury Yield fell below 4% for the first time this year 🚨 pic.twitter.com/giQ4QczZtV — Barchart (@Barchart) September 11, 2024 Risk appetite has deteriorated sharply in September to its lowest for nearly two-and-a-half years pic.twitter.com/mdIHyhEb5t — Win Smart, CFA (@WinfieldSmart) September 11, 2024 BREAKING 🚨: Crude Oil Hedge Funds are now the least bullish on …
The cost of a mortgage payment has risen 57% over the past two years, whereas household income has only grown 9%. This level of affordability is typically not sustainable: https://t.co/SwtLfrB2Mc — Reef Insights (@ReefInsights) April 24, 2024
by confoundedinterest17 Yikes! Bidenomics is a disaster! MBA mortgage purchase applications are down 54% from Pandemic Peak. I was going to play “The Wreck of the Edmund Fitzgerald” by Gordon Lightfoot and rename it “The Wreck of The US Economy.” Mortgage demand fell to a new 30-year low in January 2024, down 54% from the pandemic …
by confoundedinterest17 Another day, another dose of bad fiscal/monetary news. Not surprising with the US Treasury being run by Janet Yellen, who doesn’t seem to know much economics. In fact, with Biden/Congress spending like drunken sailors in port, inflation and The Fed’s counterattack, we see that interest of US debt just hit $1 TRILLION! $1.027 trillion in interest …
Homebuyers today face paying $500,000 more in the course of a 30-year mortgage than they would have done two years ago after rates shot up to 8 percent. Analysis by DailyMail.com found that in 2021, an individual purchasing a $400,000 home would pay just $1,621 each month on their loan. However, today that figure stands …
🚨🚨🚨 The average 30-year fixed mortgage rate hits 8.00% for the first time since 2000. Taking into account mortgage rates, incomes, and house prices, October 2023 stands out as the least affordable month for U.S. housing this century. Spread: 308 bps pic.twitter.com/2MH8BlaXJM — Lance Lambert (@NewsLambert) October 18, 2023 Ladies and gentlemen: Introducing the Nasdaq …
by confoundedinterest17 Alarm! US Treasury yields are a runaway train. The 30-year Treasury yield is soaring and rose above 5% … again. First time since 2007, just before the financial crisis and The Great Recession. The 30Y-5Y yield curve is steepening.
by John-Wetter-2310 If you’re picturing a bunch of bank executives in capes, cackling maniacally as they raise interest rates, you’re not alone. The incredibly sharp rise in mortgage rates has left prospective buyers shocked. In fact, mortgage demand is at its lowest levels since 1995. Why is this happening? Two main reasons: The Federal …
The Bear Market never ended. The end of this bear market rally is rapidly approaching……. https://t.co/kf0JCvL7XA — Win Smart, CFA (@WinfieldSmart) October 5, 2023 G, we already there… Long-duration US TSY bonds have now lost more in % terms than stocks did during the GFC in 2008-2009 The drawdown in Vanguard Ext Duration Treasury ETF …
by confoundedinterest17 Hellzapoppin under Bidenomics! And it isn’t a musical, but a tragedy. Between The Federal Reserve’s outrageous overreaction to Covid (printing like there was no tomorrow), and Biden’s massive spending spree (lots of moldy (green) spending, we have see horrid inflation. And The Fed trying (sort of) to combat inflation, we see that 30-year CONFORMING …
by Ok_Significance_4008 I asked Bard and that’s what it said: A rising 10-year Treasury yield can have a number of implications for stocks. First, it can make it more expensive for companies to borrow money, which can weigh on their earnings. Second, it can make stocks less attractive to investors who are looking for income, …
https://t.co/L7Cj8NMaIm — Win Smart, CFA (@WinfieldSmart) August 3, 2023 Good Morning Everyone! Billionaire hedge fund manager Bill Ackman is making a bold move! He's shorting 30-year Treasury bills using options, and he predicts yields could skyrocket to 5.5% 'soon'. His strategy is a hedge against the impact of long-term rates on stocks in “a world… …
by confoundedinterest17 Bidenomics, aka the Federal government takeover of the US economy with Soviet-style economic central planning, is highly dependent on loose Federal Reserve monetary policy (Janet Yellen and Powell’s wild overreaction to the massively inappropriate Covid shutdowns), So, how is Bidenomics working out? On the bank lending front, commercial and industrial (C&I) lending growth …
Average credit card interest rate hits new record high 22.2% pic.twitter.com/1RcUKBNGP3 — zerohedge (@zerohedge) July 10, 2023 The US 30-year #mortgagerate has spiked to a new high of 7.38%. This is the highest level in more than 22 years. It does not require rocket science to figure out that the spike will have a massive …
by BoatSurfer600 https://wolfstreet.com/2023/06/21/inflation-shocker-in-the-uk-core-cpi-spikes-to-30-year-high-driven-by-spike-in-services-even-as-motor-fuel-prices-plunge/ I like how it excludes food and energy. keks