A hub for independent voices and hard truths
Japan's 2-year bond yield has surpassed levels last seen during the 2007-08 crisis. pic.twitter.com/RFlJtwEfp7 — Koyfin (@KoyfinCharts) February 4, 2026 we have entered fear pic.twitter.com/7wCRBfGDch — amit (@amitisinvesting) February 3, 2026 We will get another wave of inflation… …but not …
The correlation is not perfect every time, but it is well-supported by data and market behavior over multiple cycles. One more final push and bonds switch to bullish. Here's the 10Y. Right on the edge of resistance.$TLT pic.twitter.com/ZJly6dvUAe — Fibonacci …
Powell admitted that even though the markets are pricing in multiple rate cuts this year, Powell himself has no idea if the Fed will be cutting rates at all this year. The truth is the Fed should be hiking rates. …
For reference, Chinese yields are already lower than during the peak of the Great Financial Crisis and the pandemic meltdown. Something huge is happening in China – and we should pay attention. 2/ pic.twitter.com/zwWT9y7jsQ — Alf (@MacroAlf) December 20, 2024 …
They believe that the prices of these bonds will drop, which typically happens when interest rates rise. By shorting these bonds, they’re hoping to profit if their predictions about the market come true. Largest 2-Year Treasury Short Position in History …
10-year Treasury yields being the highest relative to 2-year yields since 2022 indicates a widening gap. This is typically seen as a signal of improving economic conditions or inflationary pressures in the long term, as investors demand higher returns for …
Japan's fiscal + monetary foundations are cracking. Everyone should be aware how a breakage will affect global capital flows and their family's wealth. $JPY pic.twitter.com/TCOWHUeGCt — IceCap (@IceCapGlobal) May 31, 2024 It looks like the #BOJ (Directly or through proxy …
Billionaire investor Stan Druckenmiller, known for his market insights, is making significant moves by taking “massive” bullish positions in two-year notes. His actions come as growing worries about the economy loom on the horizon. Recent data showing a spike in …
The decision to issue 2-year treasuries instead of 30-year bonds may not have been a mistake; it could be indicative of a forthcoming forced liquidation in the financial markets. Most of the global financial system and global banking system is …
Source: BlackRock 2023 global outlook Q4 update https://www.blackrock.com/us/individual/literature/whitepaper/bii-global-outlook-in-charts.pdf The S&P 500 earnings yield is a measure of how much income investors are receiving per dollar invested in the stock market. It is calculated by dividing the total earnings of the companies …
by BoatSurfer600 As rates rise and the economy slows, banks tighten their credit lending standards out of fear of higher loan losses. If the credit to the economy dries up more than anticipated, then the slowdown might accelerate. A credit-starved …