Independent thinking for complex markets and current events
They keep telling everyone inflation is “cooling” while the numbers keep jumping the moment you look closely. This is why the hawks on the Fed are screaming no rate cut. Most recent food inflation data from Consumer Edge. Highly respected. Food inflation costs are surging. Up from 2.8% to 3.2% as of November 9th. We …
Our country needs to do something about the skyrocketing costs for Medicare for seniors. We are getting an 11% increase in our premiums yet a 2.8% COLA. This doesn’t come close to covering costs for most seniors. Please help us here @realDonaldTrump cc: @Scavino47 @StephenM pic.twitter.com/8n7os47Wcz — Farm Girl Carrie 👩🌾 (@FarmGirlCarrie) October 25, 2025 …
*IMF CUTS GLOBAL GROWTH FORECAST TO 2.8% IN 2025, CITING CENTURY-HIGH U.S. TARIFFS — Investing.com (@Investingcom) April 22, 2025 US Philadelphia Fed Non-Manufacturing Activity Apr: -42.7 (prev -32.5). 👇🏼 pic.twitter.com/YwRqrzxYT4 — Kalani o Māui (@MauiBoyMacro) April 22, 2025 U.S. FACES “MANUFACTURED” RECESSION IN 2025, IIF WARNS The IIF expects a policy-driven downturn—not a shock like …
Latest estimate: -3.7 percent — April 01, 2025 The GDPNow model estimate for real GDP growth (seasonally adjusted annual rate) in the first quarter of 2025 is -3.7 percent on April 1, down from -2.8 percent on March 28. The alternative model forecast, which adjusts for imports and exports of gold as described here, is …
Summary: The University of Michigan’s final report shows five-year inflation expectations jumped to 4.1% in March, the highest since February 1993. Consumer sentiment plunged 12% from February, reaching its weakest level since November 2022. Two-thirds of respondents expect unemployment to increase over the next year. Major U.S. equity indices dropped sharply following the release, with …
Core inflation is back on the rise, and this is a trend we can’t ignore. With economic growth forecasts slipping, this kind of data paints a bleak picture for what’s to come. This isn’t a simple uptick; it’s a warning signal. We’re looking at the possibility of stagflation becoming a serious concern by 2025. Rising …
The Atlanta Fed's 🇺🇸 Q1 GDPNow forecast just dropped to -2.8% down from -1.5% pic.twitter.com/aA87kp6f5w — Evan (@StockMKTNewz) March 3, 2025 The Atlanta Fed’s latest revision of the Q1 GDPNow forecast—dropping from -1.5% to -2.8%—is a serious red flag. It paints a picture of an economy struggling to keep its footing. The fact that the …