JPMorgan warns investors should brace for 1970s-style stagflation

U.S. stocks smashed a new record high last week, but the rally may not last for long thanks to heightened risks that the economy returns to a 1970s-style stagflation scenario, according to JPMorgan Chase strategists. In an analyst note to clients, the bank’s chief market strategist Marko Kolanovic warned that the economy may turn away …

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Are we on the brink of a 1970s-style inflationary surge or facing the storm of a hard landing? Only time will tell.

In a deja vu moment, the Federal Reserve’s swift rate cuts raise unsettling parallels with the inflationary misstep of the 1970s. Back then, premature optimism led to soaring inflation after initial rate reductions. Today, historical cues point to rising unemployment during rate-cut cycles, contradicting the Fed’s sanguine predictions. The specter of a challenging economic future …

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