Independent thinking for complex markets and current events
Paul Tudor Jones says the US is more dependent on equity prices than ever, and explains what a 35% correction would trigger in the economy: “We’re 252% of stock market cap to GDP. In 1929 we were 65%. In 1987 we got to ~85-90%. In 2000, 170%. If you think about the periodicity of significant …
Sorry Trump, the math ain't mathing. The only reason you can claim that is your April 4th tariff threat forced businesses to front run orders, even worse than the $6 QE. Now the economy is collapsing, layoffs are hitting everywhere, just like Hoover in 1929. https://t.co/RiYezViUBR pic.twitter.com/XwRqKVkusa — Financelot (@FinanceLancelot) February 13, 2026 Wow. Tech …
Dow Jones to Gold ratio is now at a level only seen 4 times in history:2026, 2008, 1973 & 1929 Every single time this has happened it's marked a fundamental change to the economic system: Banking Act of 1933Convertibility of the Dollar 1971Economic Stabilization Act of 2008 https://t.co/XQLCNKzbYu pic.twitter.com/OecvQCRg7R — Financelot (@FinanceLancelot) January 25, 2026 …
When asked if we’re in an AI bubble, Ray Dalio replied: “Indicators show that we’re about 80% in the last two times” – referring to 1929 and 2000. Dalio uses a bubble indicator tracking data back to 1900. It measures several factors: – How much leverage exists – Who’s using that leverage – The ratio …
“This was not a short squeeze rally… This was real, honest-to-goodness, new money buyers coming in,” says veteran trader Bert Dohmen. As silver surges nearly 90% for its best year since 1980, the legendary analyst who called the 1987 crash, the dot-com bust, and the 2008 meltdown is sounding his loudest alarm in 49 years. …
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=dxiSOlvKUlA October 1929 — the most powerful financial machine in history was about to collapse. Investors were euphoric. Stocks were unstoppable. And then, within hours, it all fell apart. This is the untold story of America’s final financial hours before the 1929 crash — the panic on Wall Street, the desperate phone calls, and the …
EVERY matching piece for a crash like ’29 is now in place. by David Haggith One article for the headlines on Tuesday, since The Daily Doom doesn’t have holiday editions, asks if we are heading for a 1929-style stock market crash. If you’ve read me for long, you know I lean strongly that way. I think we …
https://www.newsnationnow.com/entertainment-news/food/food-banks-struggling-federal-support/ Wow. Seeing it all in a chart makes me speechless. We’ve gotten so good at hiding financial pain. Instead of bread lines like we saw in 1929 we have EBT cards. Food banks are seeing record numbers though too but no one talks about it. https://t.co/QtD9XdGLRQ — QE Infinity (@StealthQE4) September 27, 2025 The …
Dow Theory Crash Indicator: Every single major crash over the last 100 years had the exact same setup: DJIA hit a new high, but the transports failed to do the same (1929, 1937, 1966-1975, 1987, 2000, 2007, 2020). And when transports fail to confirm the DJIA high, the wheels come off the equity bus and …
If insiders aren’t buying, why should anyone else? BREAKING NEWS: Out of the top 200 insider trades over the last week (by value). 0/200 were buy orders. I have never seen anything like this in my life. pic.twitter.com/QS2r2QvSR9 — Kevin Malone (@Malone_Wealth) August 29, 2025 https://twitter.com/NorthmanTrader/status/1961448152004759780 The last time the FED Rate Cut: September 2024: …
Emergency overnight repurchase agreements (REPO) are $0. Very interesting. REPO is how the Federal Reserve injects liquidity into the banking system during a financial crisis. We're not seeing that. This flash crash is purely orchestrated by the banking cartel and hedge funds. https://t.co/NU4j7hm9G8 pic.twitter.com/mGTjT60V3n — Financelot (@FinanceLancelot) April 4, 2025 This flash crash is happening …
This is the year of the Snake…..and so was 1929 and 2001. Just saying…. pic.twitter.com/btzh7T81VO — Lance Roberts (@LanceRoberts) January 30, 2025 Trump said he is ready to impose 25% tariffs on Canada and Mexico. If he follows through, the tariffs will not be imposed on Canada or Mexico, but on Americans who buy Canadian …
Because while the economy looks solid, it's built on debt, inflation, and overvalued assets. Add in rising interest rates and global instability, and the conditions are ripe for a sharp correction, even in a seemingly strong market. — Rooted_In_Reality (@realonesknow87) December 30, 2024 Trump Just said we are heading to a 1929 scenario in the …
My take is that 30yr mortgage is in a pause before heading higher. — Alistair (@kiwiangloameric) December 21, 2024 BREAKING: 30 year average US mortgage rates are above 7% again, per Mortgage News Daily. — unusual_whales (@unusual_whales) December 21, 2024 $500 billion for 5 days? 🤨 https://t.co/RkcFxJ0OGq pic.twitter.com/NXfcFpSr3f — Financelot (@FinanceLancelot) December 21, 2024 Extremely …
by Martin Armstrong QUESTION: Marty, is it possible we are witnessing the greatest financial trap to unsuspecting global citizens as they ‘build a digital prison’ as many opine OR is this the perfect monetary system that will give opportunity to impoverished nations to rise out of the ashes? We see kids, millenials to Gen X, buying …
Just now on Bloomberg. ‘We are positioning our clients for 1929’ pic.twitter.com/hBjCQ6bsQY — Godzilla Trader 🦖 (@David_Tracey) November 26, 2024 https://twitter.com/leadlagreport/status/1861597028020822103 🚨WARNING🚨 Crash alert! 2024 vs 2008 Keeping it simple. Musical chairs. No room for complacency. pic.twitter.com/vXGvJOSyaO — The Great Martis (@great_martis) November 26, 2024 Jim Cramer just said on CNBC to NOT lose faith …
Jumping ship before the biggest crash since 1929? https://t.co/y2JhS9Cfdk — Financelot (@FinanceLancelot) May 20, 2024 https://twitter.com/1CoastalJournal/status/1792640143809036363 I haven't talked about banks recently. Yesterday, the largest U.S. bank JP Morgan tanked when Jamie Dimon said he will retire sooner than expected (less than 5 years) AND no stock buybacks at these levels. Recall the stock tanked …
The reversion will be interesting. Either the long-term bills rate increases sharply, or the short yields plunge. I wonder which will happen? h/t Ok_Significance_4008
Stock valuations mirror the extremes of 1929 and the market is at risk of a steep crash, investor John Hussman has said per BI. "Investors are presently enjoying the double-top of the most extreme speculative bubble in US financial history," Hussman wrote. — unusual_whales (@unusual_whales) March 28, 2024 Stocks look like they’re in the most …
via creditbubblebulletin: As my thoughts turned this week to “Issues 2024,” my mind returned to the great American economist Hyman Minsky (1919-1996). The dynamic evolution of Capitalistic systems, innovation and financial structures, the “Financial Instability Hypothesis,” “Ponzi finance”, “stability is destabilizing”… No economist’s work is more germane to Issues 2024 than the brilliant Minsky. Minsky …
by mark000 Start of June 1929 DJIA was 300. Start of September 380. That’s a 25% gain in 3 months. A full blown delusional manic meltup. Then the worst crash ever in October and by mid November the DJIA was 50% below the September all time high. Outlook is as doomish today. Europe and China …
There won’t be a bull run, the money supply growth rate is negative right now https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/M2SL Where did that liquidity go to? Yes equities, real estate, bonds and consumer goods all around the world. What happens if the liquidity that got borrowed and is collaterized by bonds, real estate and equities gets less? Yes prices …
by DesmondMilesDant Why do those years sound so familiar… Oh right! 1929: The first crash of the Great Depression 1970: Dawn of Stagflation 1987: Black Monday Naw just has to be coincidence right? Right? Dow officially has the longest daily win streak since 1987. Ultra bullish. pic.twitter.com/3mLedordLU — Mac10 (@SuburbanDrone) July 26, 2023 13 straight …
https://twitter.com/MFHoz/status/1670916372975570944 https://twitter.com/MFHoz/status/1669723760742604805 Small-caps have been underperforming large-caps for nearly 10 years looking at this relative strength chart, but prior to that we saw small-caps outperform over the prior 10-12 years. Think we’re due for another small-cap outperformance cycle? pic.twitter.com/3jYF1YPLOE — Bespoke (@bespokeinvest) June 19, 2023 🚩🚩 UK 2-YEAR GILT YIELDS RISE TO 5% FOR FIRST …