If the market is down hard again tomorrow then we will know that Goldman was tipped off about an imminent ground invasion.

Trump said Iran asked for more time. Mediators say that’s not true.

Trump extended his energy strike pause to April 6th, claiming it was at Tehran’s request.

Mediators directly involved in the talks say Iran never asked for that and hasn’t even delivered a final response to the 15-point plan.

So either Trump fabricated the request to justify backing down from another deadline, or there’s a back-channel the mediators aren’t seeing.

Given the pattern of ultimatums followed by walk-backs, the first option feels more likely.

The real picture from mediators: Iran is interested in talking but leadership hasn’t signed off.

Source: WSJ