Michael J. Kramer’s assessment was stark: “My global liquidity model shows that the drain is not over yet; bonds and stocks are affected.” His words echoed through the financial sphere, underscoring the severity of the situation.
“The Japanese Yen is getting completely obliterated this month,” the data revealed, painting a grim picture of currency devaluation. Plummeting to its lowest level in 34 years, with the potential to break 38-year lows, the Yen’s decline sent shockwaves through markets.
Behind the scenes, a high-stakes game unfolds. The estimated Yen carry trade, with investments totaling approximately $4.5 trillion, looms ominously over stocks and bonds. With the US stock and bond markets boasting a total market cap exceeding $100 trillion, the stakes couldn’t be higher.
As the Japanese Yen teeters on the edge, the Bank of Japan stands ready to intervene. But their actions could exacerbate the liquidity drain, further destabilizing markets.
Meanwhile, Republic First Bank’s collapse, with $6 billion in assets seized by regulators, adds to the growing unease. Signs of diminishing short-term funding market liquidity hint at the potential tightening of financial conditions.
In this precarious economic landscape, the warning signs are clear: a serious liquidity drain is underway, and the implications are profound.
Sources:
My global liquidity model shows that the drain is not over yet; bonds and stocks are affected. pic.twitter.com/5B7x3wepqL
— Michael J. Kramer (@MichaelMOTTCM) April 27, 2024
The estimated Yen carry trade* in stocks and bonds is ~$4.5 trillion
The total market cap of the US stock and bond markets is more than $100 trillion.
*Borrowing in a currency with low interest rates (Yen) and invests the proceeds in a higher-yielding currency (Dollar). https://t.co/YTqK2O0auU
— Global Markets Investor (@GlobalMktObserv) April 27, 2024
BREAKING: 🇺🇸 Republic First Bank collapses and is seized by regulators.
RFB has assets totalling $6 billion https://t.co/nPiFDNArPe
— Financelot (@FinanceLancelot) April 27, 2024
Market liquidity check pic.twitter.com/VkNzPq6t2L
— zerohedge (@zerohedge) April 22, 2024
this is it. we're moving to a new stage of the Endgame.
Japanese Yen ripping through barriers like paper, passing each level where the BoJ intervened before. The slow motion meltdown has finally begun to accelerate, and authorities are powerless to stop the decline, unless they… pic.twitter.com/LhX9AWExIo
— Peruvian Bull (@peruvian_bull) April 27, 2024
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