Independent thinking for complex markets and current events
The sharpest signals, deepst dives and must-read reports from Citizen Watch Report.
Michael Burry of ‘The Big Short’ fame is known for predicting the 2007-2008 housing crisis and financial crash. Now, the former hedge fund manager — who’s earned a reputation for spotting potential bubbles — argues in a recent Substack that Wall Street has been overstating tech earnings by 42% over the past decade (1). This …
They can’t keep oil futures capped for much longer. Eventually the market must resolve to reality, which is spot price. Physical barrel of oil just sold in Sri Lanka for $286 way higher than the paper futures price (around $100-110) 13 million barrels per day (mbd) supply missing. Asian + European refiners fighting for every …
BULLETIN – EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED Tornado Warning National Weather Service La Crosse WI 339 PM CDT Fri Apr 17 2026 The National Weather Service in La Crosse has issued a * Tornado Warning for… East central Buffalo County in west central Wisconsin… Northern Trempealeau County in west central Wisconsin… * Until 430 PM CDT. * …
Former President Barry Obama’s high opinion of himself extends to the $30 admission cost to visit his vast presidential library in the failed Democrat-run city of Chicago. Oh, but if you live in Illinois, you can visit for free on Tuesdays or enjoy a $4 discount the rest of the week. BUT, you must show …
Hims stock price growth 25% since the peptide meeting day is set KEY POINTS Investors are starting to focus on what will replace compounded GLP-1 as a growth driver for telehealth companies like Hims & Hers Health. Peptides are gaining attention as a potential new growth vector, despite clinical evidence for efficacy being limited. The …
literally 2 hours ago. pic.twitter.com/eez0zGdkr9 — Kevin (@Tyler_Durden77) April 17, 2026 🚨 JUST IN: President Trump responds to possible ISSUES with the Iran peace deal, following reports that Iran is saying there are "SIGNIFICANT DIFFERENCES" "Well, there could be. Let's see what happens. If there are, we'll have to straighten it out, but I don't …
House Resolution 8250, a bill to require mandatory age verification on operating systems like Windows, iOS, and Android, is being described as a “Trojan horse” for a national digital ID system. Guest Austin Steinbart calls the bill a “disaster” and a privacy nightmare, noting it delegates implementation authority to the FTC, which could use biometrics. …
The world is moving back toward a debt level that used to be associated with the aftermath of major wars. According to the IMF, global public debt reached 93.9% of GDP in 2025 and is projected to hit 100% by 2029. What makes that more striking is that this is not the result of one …
MeidasTouch host Ben Meiselas reports on Donald Trump surrendering to Iran and giving them a deal where the IRGC will control the Strait or Hormuz and charge tolls forever.
The report — released Thursday by Sen. Bernie Sanders, I-Vt., the ranking member on the Senate Health, Education, Labor and Pensions Committee, ahead of a hearing focused on drug prices — found that companies that signed drug pricing deals with Trump have raised the cost of hundreds of medications and launched new ones at an …
17:20 / April 17 The announcement of the opening of the Strait of Hormuz has been made under completely specific conditions and in full coordination with the forces responsible for the matter, and it will practically be highly limited. This passage, which is contingent on the continued implementation of the ceasefire conditions, will have three …
Iran considers the continuation of a US naval blockade as a violation of the ceasefire and would close the Strait of Hormuz again if the blockade is not lifted, the IRGC-affiliated Fars News reported citing an informed source close to the Supreme National Security Council. The source said Iran had initially agreed, as part of …
President Donald Trump said Iran agreed to suspend its nuclear program indefinitely, and will not receive any frozen funds from the US. Trump said in a phone interview on Friday that a deal to end the war, which the US and Israel began with Iran in late February, is mostly complete. Talks over a lasting …
Hahaha imagine thinking the rally is going to continue after OpEx https://t.co/gdiXbNbu6d — Michael Bento (@MichaelPBento) April 17, 2026 What makes the stock market go vertical like this for so long..?? pic.twitter.com/qeHUT1rQM4 — American AF 🇺🇸 (@iAnonPatriot) April 17, 2026 The S&P 500 is offering one of the lowest dividend yields in nearly 150 years. …
Powell gets shown the door in May while Trump lines up the softest replacement possible. Markets bet hard on rate cuts like 2021 never happened. Oil pushes higher on actual shortages and the Fed inherits an even weaker leader picked purely for loyalty. This follows the exact 1970s route with fresher memes attached. Politics wins …
https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrump/posts/116420395293904982 BREAKING: Donald Trump has taken to Truth Social after Iran's foreign minister declared the Strait of Hormuz "completely open" for the "remaining period of ceasefire". Oil prices have dropped by 10% following the announcementhttps://t.co/1jZc7AWiag 📺 Sky 501 pic.twitter.com/PMJ7pxEpo2 — Sky News (@SkyNews) April 17, 2026 Donald Trump hailed a major step toward peace with …
https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrump/posts/116420275523158052
Iran’s internet blackout stretched to 49 days, with connectivity holding at about 2% of normal levels and only limited access to some services, NetBlocks said. US President Donald Trump said he was not sure the ceasefire with Iran needs to be extended, adding that the next round of talks with Tehran could take place over …
by After-Condition4007 Jensen Huang said it himself at the Citadel Securities event back in October: “At the moment, we are 100% out of China. We went from 95% market share to 0%.” That’s not bearish speculation, that’s the CEO of the world’s most valuable chip company publicly quantifying what happened after rolling waves of export …
Latest updates at the top: BREAKING: Dozens of ships are making U-turns in the Strait of Hormuz, heading back into the Persian Gulf after surging toward it following Araghchi's "completely open" declaration, per MarineTraffic data. Iran had warned earlier today that the opening would be "practically… pic.twitter.com/e04F1tOC8z — The Hormuz Letter (@HormuzLetter) April 17, 2026 …
https://x.com/dolfiniran/status/2044891352819781722 Factcheck: @dolfiniran is a legitimate Iranian account. It posts real-time Persian-language analysis of the Iran-Israel conflict and is widely reported in OSINT circles (including Drop Site News and others) as linked to advisors close to Iranian Parliament Speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf. Not an official regime handle, but treated as an insider source with apparent …
by Michael Something is causing the Pacific Ocean to really heat up. Water temperatures have been way above normal, and records are being shattered. As a result of these unusually high water temperatures, immensely powerful storms are being spawned and we are being warned that a “Super El Niño” could be on the way. So …
via Phoenix Capital Research The Trump administration is now actively gaming the inflation data. For decades, the U.S. has understated the true state of inflation by applying various accounting gimmicks to the inflation data: the Consumer Price Index (CPI) and the Producers Price Index (PPI). The primary reasons for this are because A) it allows …
Interesting clip from a recent conversation featuring Matthew Piepenburg. He argues that rising debt levels are forcing governments into a corner where they prioritize protecting bond markets over preserving currency value… something we may be starting to see play out globally. Curious what people think about this perspective. h/t thetimeisgold
by Michael Most people out there still seem to believe that the war in the Middle East will rapidly come to a conclusion and economic conditions will return to normal soon. Meanwhile, the price of physical oil is going absolutely nuts, the price of fertilizer is going absolutely nuts, and we are being warned that …
View post on imgur.com Donald J. Trump @realDonaldTrump I’m on Air Force One heading to Las Vegas and Arizona for Greetings and Speeches on NO TAX ON TIPS, a WINDFALL for our Great American Citizens. I am watching one of the Least Attractive and Talented People on all of Television, Jessica Tarlov. Her voice is …
People in New York City who are looking forward to the city-owned grocery stores promised by the new democratic socialist (communist) Mayor Zohran Mamdani are going to be waiting for quite a while. Not only is the first new store going to cost upwards of $30 million in tax dollars, it’s not going to be …
🔴 EN DIRECT L'Iran participera au Mondial-2026, annonce le président de la Fifa https://t.co/hs2994Zhgn pic.twitter.com/wXaTItSEKR — RTL France (@RTLFrance) April 16, 2026 FIFA says Iran will participate in the 2026 World Cup despite ongoing tensions. Concerns remain about safety and politics surrounding the tournament. FIFA says the sport should remain separate from global conflicts. https://www.aol.com/news/iran-play-2026-world-cup-115741363.html
American troops and equipment reportedly exited via Jordan as Damascus moves to take over the last US-held base. The last remaining US troops in Syria left their base in Hasakah on Thursday, ending a 10-year presence in the country aimed at fighting the Islamic State group, Syrian officials told Middle East Eye. Following the withdrawal …