Heads Up

The sharpest signals, deepst dives and must-read reports from Citizen Watch Report.

Trump’s tariffs on Mexico and Canada mark the first step; China and others to follow. The last big trade war was in 1930 at the start of the Great Depression.

The last significant trade conflict between the U.S. and Canada was indeed during the Great Depression in the 1930s. The Smoot-Hawley Tariff Act of 1930 led to increased tariffs on thousands of imported goods, which resulted in retaliatory tariffs from Canada and other countries, exacerbating the economic downturn. The last big trade war between the …

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President Trump’s First-Day Executive Orders and Actions: A Summary

GUARANTEEING THE STATES PROTECTION AGAINST INVASION Presidential Actions January 20, 2025 Restoring Names That Honor American Greatness Presidential Actions January 20, 2025 Designating Cartels And Other Organizations As Foreign Terrorist Organizations And Specially Designated Global Terrorists Presidential Actions January 20, 2025 Reforming The Federal Hiring Process And Restoring Merit To Government Service Presidential Actions January …

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Simply Unaffordable! The Most Unaffordable And Most Affordable Cities In USA (San Jose/New York City Are Least Affordable, Detroit/Cleveland Are Most Affordable)

by confoundedinterest17 Some cities in the USA are simply unaffordable. The Visual Capitalist calls most unaffordable cities as least affordable. San Jose California and New York City are the two most unaffordable cities in the USA. According to household spending. On the flip side of the affordability coin is … Detroit Michigan and Cleveland Ohio. Followed closely by Dayton Ohio and El Paso Texas. Fortunately, I live …

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Option pricing reveals deep market anxiety. Puts outprice calls by 1000%. Thin liquidity exposed as money funnels into few coins

June opex spx Call option 6500 strike $46.5June opex spx Call option 5500 strike $81.5 — Simon Says (@Seniorstrategen) January 18, 2025 It's a pretty huge sign the doors are closing in tbh When you see this and all the coins are red, and everything is being funneled into like 3 coins, you start to …

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The 30-year yield hits 15-year high, pressuring US sustainability significantly. Gold is looking really strong and may soon break out of its triangle pattern.

This is arguably one of the most critical macro developments unfolding today. Even when adjusted for inflation, the 30-year yield has reached its highest level in 15 years. The US cannot sustain this for long, in my opinion. It will need either higher inflation or a… pic.twitter.com/CBshI3xGwd — Otavio (Tavi) Costa (@TaviCosta) January 15, 2025 Gold is looking …

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Key price increases over 4 years: Auto insurance +59%, fuel oil +44.5%, shelter +24.4%… BLS reports inflation accelerated to 4.8% annualized.

Price Increases over last 4 years…CPI Medical Care: +9.5%CPI Apparel: +12.0%CPI New Cars: +19.0%CPI Used Cars: +19.6%CPI Food at home: +22.7%CPI Shelter: +24.4%CPI Food away from home: +25.1%CPI Electricity: +28.2%CPI Gas Utilities: +31.6%US Home Prices: +38.3%CPI… — Charlie Bilello (@charliebilello) January 15, 2025 BLS reports inflation accelerated to 4.8% annualized. They're handing Trump a lit …

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We need a new rule for future elections to ensure fairness.

In the wake of recent political events, it’s become increasingly clear that a new rule is necessary for future elections. Specifically, once the current president loses, they should not be able to sign any new legislation, executive orders, or pardons without the newly elected president also signing off. This proposal aims to ensure a smooth …

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Watch John Ratcliffe, Pam Bondi, and Marco Rubio confirmation hearings live.

Senate Intelligence Committee holds a confirmation hearing for John Ratcliffe, President-elect Trump’s nominee for CIA director. #foxnews President-elect Donald Trump’s pick to lead the Justice Department, Pam Bondi, testifies before the Senate Judiciary Committee on Capitol Hill. #FoxNews President-elect Donald Trump’s pick to lead the Department of State, Marco Rubio, testifies before the Senate Foreign …

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We are currently in the ‘Anxiety’ stage. The great bear market began in early 2025.

I believe we are currently in the ‘Anxiety’ stage. The great bear market has begun at the start of 2025 🐻 byu/Fun_Slip_4350 inWallStreetbetsELITE Stock market facing poor breadth, overvaluation, rising interest rates, trade war risks, and problems with Apple & Nvidia. The stock market is suffering from horrible breadth, massive overvaluation, pressure from sharply rising …

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18 Incredible Statistics About America’s Rapidly Growing Retirement Crisis That Will Blow Your Mind

by Michael We are facing an unprecedented retirement crisis in this nation.  Millions upon millions of Baby Boomers are retiring, and most of them are struggling.  In fact, it has been estimated that 80 percent of our retirees are either struggling right now or are in serious danger of falling into financial insecurity.  We are supposed to …

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What Should Be Done To People That Are Looting Or Committing Acts Of Arson During The Los Angeles Fires?

by Michael What would you do to criminals that are using the California fires as an opportunity to loot homes?  And what would you do to criminals that are setting additional fires?  There are no words that are sufficient to describe the immense devastation that we are witnessing in the Los Angeles area.  Thousands upon thousands of …

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Bid up asset markets until they explode due to feedback through the economy. 30-year treasury real yields at 2008 levels, bond market worried beyond inflation.

This week (Wednesday morning) is CPI. Commodity prices back to 20 year highs. This is what I call Ponzi inflation. Bid up asset markets until they explode due to feedback through the economy. pic.twitter.com/VyscoXucnF — Mac10 (@SuburbanDrone) January 14, 2025 M2 money supply is a key indicator of liquidity It represents the total amount of …

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December PPI rises 0.4%, annual increase hits 3.3%, goods lead with 0.7%, matching expectations.

January 14, 2025. The report shows that the prices for final demand goods increased by 0.6% in December, which was in line with expectations. The 9.7% jump in gasoline prices significantly contributed to this overall increase. Here’s a detailed breakdown of the latest Producer Price Index (PPI) report for December 2024: Producer Price Index (PPI) …

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August: Stocks gapped down, VIX surged, low on Monday. Today: Gapped down, complacency, bounce likely week’s high. The big boys are liquidating their market positions

Compare to August. On the Monday after the jobs report, stocks gapped down and the VIX exploded. Monday open was the low of the week. Today, the market gapped down amid relative complacency. This morning BTFD bounce could be the high of the week. pic.twitter.com/PnHNYjtIWw — Mac10 (@SuburbanDrone) January 13, 2025 This incipient bear market …

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Rent Prices Spike By 60% And Now Americans Are Spending Their Entire Paycheck On Housing Costs

It’s more expensive than ever to rent. In fact, rents were unaffordable in 2024 for almost 25 million households in the United States, an all-time high, according to a report on America’s Rental Housing by the Joint Center for Housing Studies of Harvard University released this month. The most astonishing finding highlighted by analysts in …

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Ackman warns: No insurance, sell and move. Musk agrees: Broken system.

In a stark warning to property owners, billionaire investor Bill Ackman has taken to social media to advise, “When the insurance companies stop writing policies in your city, sell and move out.” This statement comes in the wake of major insurers pulling back from certain high-risk areas, signaling deep-seated issues within those locales. Echoing Ackman’s …

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I love community notes

I wouldn’t even just call it missleading, its abject fraud. They are dliberately linking to the act blue donation page rather than linking directly through the charity. And not just leaving out the 4% cut, but lying about it. Anyone looking on google to donate could see this tweet and will think they are just …

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The 20-year Treasury Yield Topped 5% Wednesday For The First Time Since October 2023 -One of The Highest Yield Since 2007

by Ok_Significance_4008 A high 20-year Treasury yield of 5% can negatively impact the stock market in several ways: Increased borrowing costs: Higher yields make borrowing more expensive for companies, impacting their profitability and potentially slowing down economic growth. This can reduce investor confidence and negatively impact stock prices. Reduced attractiveness of stocks: When Treasury yields rise, they …

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This Is One Of The Most Catastrophic Disasters In U.S. History, And High Winds Could Spread The Fires To New Areas Of L.A. Until Wednesday

by Michael High winds returned to Los Angeles on Sunday morning, and that is making one of the most catastrophic disasters in U.S. history even worse.  Already, more than 60 square miles in the L.A. area have been burned.  To put that in perspective, the entire city of Washington D.C. covers just over 68 square …

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LA County cut fire budget while spending heavily on…

Woke items: ‘Midnight Stroll Transgender Cafe’ https://www.foxnews.com/politics/la-county-cut-fire-budget-while-spending-heavily-dei-woke-items-midnight-stroll-transgender-cafe First, the LA fire department’s budget actually increased by more than 7% compared to the previous fiscal year: https://www.latimes.com/california/story/2025-01-10/how-much-did-the-l-a-fire-department-really-cut-its-budget Second, LA county has a budget of $49.2 billion for the 2024-2025 fiscal year (source). The amount allocated to the Gay Men’s Chorus of Los Angeles ($14,010), for instance, …

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Bass fires LA Fire Chief for truth; crisis leadership questioned. She spoke out this afternoon, relieved of duty this evening.

Los Angeles Mayor Karen Bass has dismissed Fire Chief Kristin Crowley, mere hours after Crowley publicly criticized the city’s leadership for its handling of the recent wildfires. The swift action by Bass has sparked debate over whether this was a move for accountability or an act of retaliation against criticism. The controversy erupted following an …

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Mel Gibson’s home lost to fire; values family, not things.

In a poignant moment of reflection after losing his home of 14 years to the ravaging Los Angeles wildfires, award-winning actor, producer, and director Mel Gibson shared his experience on “Elizabeth Vargas Reports.” Gibson, who was in Austin when the fires broke out, returned to Los Angeles to find his home had been completely obliterated …

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AOC, bipartisan group propose bill banning Congressional members, families from stock trading. If you’re writing laws that move markets, you shouldn’t be trading stocks.

In a move that might just restore some faith in government, Representatives Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (AOC) from New York, alongside colleagues from both sides of the political aisle, have introduced legislation aimed at prohibiting stock trading by members of Congress and their families. This isn’t some fringe proposal; it’s a bipartisan effort signaling a rare moment …

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This is a great depression on steroids

China’s Unemployment Skyrockets Again, Hitting 50% @ALTtered_CLIpsSs India has 49 % already without any degrees of impact and you are only one percentage higher @Gabriel-mr5gf This is a great depression on steroids @Old-biker War is coming. I’m old enough to know the sighs. It has started and is spreading over the last few years. Take …

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President Trump just called on Gavin Newsom to resign as Governor of California.

President-elect Donald Trump said Wednesday California Gov. Gavin Newsom should resign as wildfires burn across the Los Angeles area, claiming the fires are the governor’s fault. “One of the best and most beautiful parts of the United States of America is burning down to the ground,” Trump wrote on social media platform Truth Social. “It’s …

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